Giuliani Notes: Rudy 26% McCain 18% Romney 15% Thompson 14% Gingrich 6% in Latest Rasmussen GOP Poll
Rasmussen Reports: 2008 Republican Presidential Primary
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows little change at the top of the Republican Presidential field, but former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has gained some ground on the frontrunners.
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani remains on top with support from 26% of those likely to vote in a Republican Primary. Arizona Senator John McCain remains in second with 18%. Last week, Giuliani led McCain by seven points, 25% to 18%.
The potentially big change is that Romney has inched into third place with 15%. That’s just a single point ahead of former Senator Fred Thompson, but it’s also the first time Romney has moved ahead of Thompson since the TV star’s name first entered the race. It will take another week or two to know whether the change is significant or merely statistical noise. It’s also worth noting that Romney is within three percentage points of McCain.
The GOP NUTS:
Mitt Romney’s move at the expense of Fred Thompson is interesting. However, it is too early to tell whether this is a BLIP or a statistical anomaly.
Flap continues to believe that Thompson will NOT enter the race. But, if he does it is a stake in the heart of Romney’s campaign.
This poll was taken before the immigration FLAP of the past few days and it remains to be seen as to how much damage McCain’s position on the Senate illegal immigration bill and his smack-down of Romney have caused his or Romney’s Presidential candidacy.
Rudy is sitting comfortably at 26% awaiting a thinning of the ranks. All national polls show him beating McCain or Romney in head to head races.
Flap’s take is that the more candidates, the better Rudy will do. A Thompson candidacy may then be welcome. Nobody will then emerge to challenge the Mayor as the front-runner.
Let’s look at the Real Clear Politics poll averages:
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