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Survey USA California GOP Poll

CA GOP PRIMARY: Has Fred Thompson Hit The Ceiling?

Seven months to the newly accelerated and suddenly critical California Republican Primary, the contest re-stabilizes, with Rudolph Giuliani 13 points ahead of John McCain and Fred Thompson, who tie for 2nd place, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely GOP Primary voters, conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, and KGTV-TV San Diego.

Giuliani’s 13-point advantage today is identical to his lead 60 days ago, in SurveyUSA’s May 2007 tracking poll, and a slight increase from the 7-point advantage Giuliani had in June.

Fred Thompson, who went from 11 points in May to 21 points is June, has stopped climbing, and settles in at 19 points in July. Is this Thompson’s ceiling? Or has Thompson, whose official entry into the race may come at any moment, not yet begun to fight?

Mitt Romney runs 4th today, at 9%, down ever-so-slightly from 12% in May and 11% in June.

Undeclared candidate Newt Gingrich is at the moment not a factor, at 6%.

Today, 9% of CA likely GOP voters prefer one of the other Republicans running, who include Mike Huckabee, Tommy Thompson, Ron Paul, Duncan Hunter, Jim Gilmore, Tom Tancredo and Sam Brownback.

The GOP NUTS:

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Rudy maintains a double digit lead with support across California. Remember California’s delegates which are five times as many as Iowa are parceled out by winning each Congressional District in a winner take all format.

The Mayor is showing particular strength in the Central Valley and Bay Areas.

Also, in the expensive television media market, Hizzoner will have the funds to pound opposition candidates with ads.  The only other candidate who can possibly match Rudy is Mitt Romney who is polling only 9%.

Calfiornia looks like a winner for Giuliani.

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4 Responses to “Giuliani Notes: California – Rudy 32% Thompson 19% McCain 19% Romney 9% Gingrich 6% in Latest Survey USA Poll”
  1. […] Rudy continues as the front-runner while Romney has burned funds with television commercials in Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney remains in fourth place in national polling and in important California and Florida. […]

  2. […] Wesley Clark Link to Article mitt romney Giuliani Notes: California – Rudy 32% Thompson 19% McCain 19% Romney 9% Gingrich 6% in Latest Survey USA Poll » Posted at FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog on Tuesday, July 03, 2007 Giuliani Notes: California – Rudy 32% Thompson 19% McCain 19% Romney 9% Gingrich 6% in Latest Survey USA Poll giulianioctober4aweb … ? Mitt Romney runs 4th today, at 9%, down ever-so-slightly from 12% in May and 11% in June. Undeclared … to pound opposition candidates with ads.  The only other candidate who can possibly match Rudy is Mitt View Entire Article » […]

  3. Flap says:

    Garry,

    CRA straw polls with conservative activists are way different from public opinion polls of all GOP voters.

    Rudy leads in all major public GOP polls in California.

  4.  
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