Giuliani Notes: California Field Poll – Rudy 36% McCain 24% Romney 7%
California Field Poll: 2008 Republican Primary
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani currently holds a twelve-point lead over Arizona Senator John McCain (36% to 24%) for the 2008 Republican nomination among potential voters in California’s February 5th primary election. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is a distant third at 7%. No other Republican candidate receives more than 4% of voter preferences.
For some months the political press has been focusing primarily on the efforts of Giuliani, McCain and Romney among the likely Republican presidential candidates. Others who have been getting less attention are Colorado Congressman Tom Tancredo, California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Kansas Senator Sam Brownback, Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, and Texas Congressman Ron Paul.
In recent weeks there has been growing speculation in political circles about the possibility of Newt Gingrich, former Georgia Congressman, and/or Fred Thompson, former Tennessee Senator, becoming candidates.When Gingrich and Thompson are included as possible candidates, Giuliani still leads with 29% of the preferences, McCain remains in second at 21%, while Gingrich places third with 9% and Thompson is tied with Romney at 7%.
Rudy is still California dreamin’. Let’s look at some of the poll details.
Graphic courtesy of the Press-Enterprise
Voter Images of the Leading Candidates:
Chances of Voting for each Candidate:
General Election Match-up:
Note: Giuliani is most popular among likely primary voters in Northern California, people older than 50, and those who are not born-again Christians, according to the poll.
A good California poll for Rudy except with the match-up with the Democrats. Rudy has to work on capturing more Republicans and Independents.
A few points movement in either group will make California be in Electoral College GOP play for the first time since Ronald Reagan (in 1984).
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4 Comments
Crystal Dueker
Julie Mason of the Houston Chronicle wrote on Feb. 26, 2005 about the draft Condi movement.
Bob Stein is quoted, “having someone like her being seriously discussed makes it hard for Brownback, Hagel, or Frist to openly start campaigning”.
The reason I bring this up is that so much polling has been about Condi Rice as a contender in the past 2 years, that it is easy to see that other GOP candidates got frustrated at her continued support at 15% to 20%.
So if Fred Thompson and Newt Gingrich can be included in these polls, then why not keep Condi on it too?
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B.
Was it disgusting when Condi Rice and Laura Bush wore head scarves?
Joan Palmer
ON the subject of Condi Rice, there is a new book out, The Faith of Condoleezza Rice by Leslie Montgomery. It gives insider information about her years in segregated Birmingham, Alabama and how important education was in her life. She is a self-made success story.