Giuliani Notes: Latest Gallup Poll – Rudy Leads the GOP Field
The Gallup Poll: Giuliani Leads GOP Field; McCain Support Down in Latest Trial Heat
The latest Gallup Poll of rank-and-file Republicans’ preferences for their party’s 2008 presidential nomination shows Rudy Giuliani continues to lead the large field of candidates. John McCain continues to place second, but with his lowest level of support to date. Fred Thompson and Newt Gingrich tie for third place.
Of the leading candidates, Giuliani is rated the most positively by Republicans and by all Americans. McCain’s image is also mostly positive. Gingrich has a positive image among Republicans but a negative one among the general population, while Thompson and Mitt Romney are largely unknown.
The Nuts:
Rudy 38%
McCain 16%
Gingrich 10%
Thompson 10%
Romney 6%
No Opinion 4%
Others: 16%
Without Gingrich in the race:
If Gingrich were to stay out of the race, his support would likely be spread among the leading candidates, roughly in proportion to their existing votes, based on an analysis of Gingrich’s supporters’ second choice. Giuliani would be the top choice of 42% of Republicans after Gingrich votes are factored out, with McCain at 18%, Thompson at 12%, and Romney at 7% under this scenario.
McCain vs Rudy Head to Head:
Giuliani has also maintained a steady lead over McCain in a one-on-one matchup of the top two candidates, with a 57% to 38% edge in the latest poll.
Favorable Ratings of Candidates:
Among GOP voters:
Among all voters:
A very good poll for Hizzoner. Rudy is recovering from his slide of a week ago and nobody is catching fire – not even Fred Thompson.
Flap thinks unless Rudy makes a MAJOR GAFFE the race is over.
Here are the latest poll averages from Real Clear Politics:
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