Giuliani Notes: Rudy 28% McCain 24% Romney 8% in Latest ARG National Primary Poll
ARG: National Presidential Preferences
Rudy leads McCain by 4, while Romney fades and Fred Thompson fails to catch fire.
Is this becoming a two candidate race?
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Technorati Tags: Rudy Giuliani
2 Comments
Matt A.
hardly. National polls have become very deceiving ever since they started including these candidates who are not yet running. Its misleading and free press for people like Thompson.
However, even with these polls, Romney is actually making big progress in the state polls. Two weeks ago, he was leading in only Utah. Now he has a significant lead in not only Utah, but also the first primary state of New Hampshire. He is close in Nevada (a statistical tie) and leading in Michigan. He has had polls putting him close in New Hampshire and and Iowa. He is gaining in California and ticked up slightly in the most recent Rasmussen poll (although that is national).
It may take a while, but Romney is the best candidate, and provided he does not screw up his own campaign, has a very good shot at winning the White House. Eventually, Giuliani will fall, and McCain is already not doing so well. Weather or not Thompson will run, I have no idea. If Romney can win both debates before July and tick up in more states, even grab leads, my guess would be that Thompson will decide not to run. Thompson does not have anything to throw against Romney – and he would simply split the vote.
Flap
Matt,
You are a good advocate for Mitt but if Thompson gets into the race Mitt is roadkill. Polls have stabilized and winning four-five states will not nominate a candidate.
I am actually surprised that Mitt has not caught on better. But, 10 per cent does not cut it.