California Special Election Watch: The Latest California Field Poll

Gov Arnold Schwarzenegger holds 21-month-old Brenna Neault during a campaign stop on Halloween day Monday, Oct. 31, 2005, in Ontario, Calif. Schwarzenegger made the stop to urge voters to support four ballot initiatives aimed at curbing the power of the Democratic-controlled Legislature and the state’s public employee unions.

Reuters has Schwarzenegger may be hurting his own cause — poll.

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s campaigning ahead of election day next week has hurt rather than helped efforts to win support for his four favored ballot initiatives, a poll released on Tuesday found.

The Field Poll released on Tuesday measured voter reaction both before the new approach, from October 18-24, and after, from October 25-30, and found opposition on the rise.

Most recently, 51 percent of likely voters opposed his plan to let a panel of retired judges draw electoral districts, compared to 41 percent the week before. Support for the idea fell over the period to 35 percent from 38 percent.

Flap will post the link to the full Field Poll when it is fully released later in the morning.

The Field Poll of 506 likely voters from October 18-24 and 581 adults the following week found unchanged support at 44 percent for Schwarzenegger’s proposal to give teachers tenure after five years rather than two. Yet opposition rose to 50 percent from 47 percent in the survey, which had a plus or minus four percent margin of error.

The star of the “Terminator” films boosted support for a measure giving him more powers to cut the state budget to 32 percent, up from 28 percent. Yet opposition remained at 60 percent, creating a significant obstacle for perhaps the most ambitious of his special election ideas.

Not the greatest results for the Governor and the California Recovery Team.

But, the impact of Proposition 73 and 75 will be heaviest on voter turn-out.

It is apparent theat Proposition 76 continues to fail badly and Proposition 77 has a long way to go for passage (and then a court challenge after the election).

Stay tuned…..more later and of course the SPIN …….

RIP Prop. 76 according to latest California Field Poll.

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Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page