United States Senate 2006 Election Watch: Election Projections
Election Projection 2006 has GOP retaining control of the Senate.
Current: 55 GOP, 44 DEM, 1 IND
Projected: 51 GOP, 47 DEM, 2 IND
DEM +3, GOP -4, IND +1
| State | Major Candidates | Projected Result |
| Arizona | Jon Kyl (R)-inc vs Jim Pederson (D) | Mod GOP Hold |
| California | Dianne Feinstein (D)-inc vs Richard Mountjoy (R) | Strong DEM Hold |
| Connecticut | Lieberman(I) / Lamont(D) / Schlesinger(R) | Mod IND Gain |
| Delaware | Tom Carper (D)-inc vs Jan Ting? (R) | Strong DEM Hold* |
| Florida | Bill Nelson (D)-inc vs Katherine Harris? (R) | Strong DEM Hold* |
| Hawaii | Daniel Akaka? (D)-inc vs ??? (R) | Strong DEM Hold* |
| Indiana | Richard Lugar (R)-inc (unopposed) | Strong GOP Hold |
| Maine | Olympia Snowe (R)-inc vs Jean Hay Bright (D) | Strong GOP Hold |
| Maryland | OPEN: ??? (D) vs Michael Steele? (R) | Weak DEM Hold* |
| Massachusetts | Ted Kennedy (D)-inc vs ??? (R) | Strong DEM Hold* |
| Michigan | Debbie Stabenow (D)-inc vs Mike Bouchard (R) | Mod DEM Hold |
| Minnesota | OPEN: Amy Klobuchar (D) vs Mark Kennedy (R) | Mod DEM Hold |
| Mississippi | Trent Lott (R)-inc vs Erik Fleming (D) | Strong GOP Hold |
| Missouri | Jim Talent (R)-inc vs Claire McCaskill (D) | Weak GOP Hold |
| Montana | Conrad Burns (R)-inc vs Jon Tester (D) | Weak DEM Gain |
| Nebraska | Ben Nelson (D)-inc vs Peter Ricketts (R) | Strong DEM Hold |
| Nevada | John Ensign (R)-inc vs Jack Carter (D) | Mod GOP Hold |
| New Jersey | Robert Menendez (D)-inc vs Tom Kean, Jr. (R) | Weak DEM Hold |
| New Mexico | Jeff Bingaman (D)-inc vs Allen McCulloch (R) | Strong DEM Hold |
| New York | Hillary Clinton (D)-inc vs ??? (R) | Strong DEM Hold* |
| North Dakota | Kent Conrad (DNL)-inc vs Dwight Grotberg (R) | Strong DEM Hold |
| Ohio | Mike DeWine (R)-inc vs Sherrod Brown (D) | Weak DEM Gain |
| Pennsylvania | Rick Santorum (R)-inc vs Bob Casey, Jr. (D) | Mod DEM Gain |
| Rhode Island | L. Chafee? (R)-inc vs S. Whitehouse? (D) | Weak DEM Gain* |
| Tennessee | OPEN: Bob Corker (R) vs Harold Ford, Jr. (D) | Mod GOP Hold |
| Texas | Kay Hutchison (R)-inc vs Barbara Radnofsky (D) | Strong GOP Hold |
| Utah | Orrin Hatch (R)-inc vs Pete Ashdown (D) | Strong GOP Hold |
| Vermont | OPEN: Bernie Sanders (I) vs ??? (R) | Strong IND Hold* |
| Virginia | George Allen (R)-inc vs James Webb, Jr. (D) | Mod GOP Hold |
| Washington | Maria Cantwell (D)-inc vs Mike McGavick? (R) | Weak DEM Hold* |
| West Virginia | Robert Byrd (D)-inc vs John Raese (R) | Strong DEM Hold |
| Wisconsin | Herb Kohl (D)-inc vs ??? (R) | Strong DEM Hold* |
| Wyoming | Craig Thomas (R)-inc vs Dale Groutage (D) | Strong GOP Hold |
| * – preliminary projection | ||
The Virginia race with the George Macaca Allen FLAP could result in a tie Senate.
The remainder of the projections appear to be within political consensus as Flap reads the polls.
 2006 Senate RealClearPolitics Poll Averages are here.
As it stands today, the GOP will retain control of the Senate but there will be no threat of a “NUCLEAR OPTION” with regards to SCOTUS nominations.
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