Giluiani Notes: Latest New Hampshire Poll Has McCain Leading
Union Leader: Hillary widens lead; McCain holds an edge
Democrat Hillary Clinton begins her presidential campaign with a large lead in the first-in-the-nation primary state, while Republican John McCain holds a smaller lead over his two top rivals, according to a new poll.
Polling results provided exclusively to UnionLeader.com today by the Manchester-based American Research Group show:
— New York Sen. Clinton leading Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, 39 to 19 percent, with former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards at 13 percent. No other candidate received more than 2 percent, and 21 percent of likely Democratic primary voters were undecided.
— Arizona Sen. McCain receiving support from 27 percent of likely GOP primary voters, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani at 20 percent each and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 11 percent. No other candidates drew more than 1 percent, while 21 percent of likely Republican primary voters were undecided.
Pollster Dick Bennett said his firm surveyed 600 likely voters in each party primary between Jan. 31 and Feb. 1. The margin of error is 4 percent.
Clinton has widened her lead since ARG’s late December poll, in which she drew 27 percent, compared to 21 percent for Obama and 18 percent for Edwards.
In December, McCain received 29 percent compared to 25 percent for Giuliani — a statistical dead heat — and 9 percent for Romney.
Looks like a good poll for Senator McCain and a good pick-up for Mitt Romney who has pushed Hizzoner to a tie for second.
Will this encourage the Romney folks even more?
You bet.
And it will encourage the Giuliani campaign to step it up.
Update:
Flap has recogitated this poll and thinks that it is incomplete, since in New Hampshire independent voters figure into the mix. Should the Democrats have Hillary blowing out Obama and Edwards in the late polls wouldn’t these independent voters then swing to vote for a GOP candidate? A vote in a race where they could make a difference?
And who would be that GOP candidate? Not John McCain.
Likely, Rudy Giuliani
Now, the question Flap has is how do you poll for this?
Stay tuned…….
Previous:
Technorati Tags: RudyGiuliani