Barbara Boxer,  Carly Fiorina

CA-Sen Poll Watch: Barbara Boxer 48% Vs. Carly Fiorina 43%

June 11, 2010 /

The Hindenboxer sailing over the Golden Gate Bridge

The latest Rasmussen poll has Republican Carly Fiorina within striking distance and incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer below 50 per cent.

Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina both receive small bounces in support following their parties’ nominations for the U.S. Senate race in California.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Boxer picking up 48% support over Fiorina’s 43%. Five percent (5%) would vote for some other candidate and another five percent (5%) are undecided.

These polls will be bouncing all over the place before Labor Day. But, it remains – Senator Barbara Boxer is extremely vulnerable.

Boxer, who is seeking a fourth six-year term, has yet to reach the 50%
level of support in the general election. The good news for Boxer is
that she has the power of incumbency on her side in a state that trends
Democratic. The bad news is that she remains stuck in the 40s. At this
stage of the campaign, any incumbent who earns less than 50% of the vote
is considered potentially vulnerable.

More good news for the Democrat is that 50% of California voters oppose a
repeal of the health care reform law and only 46% in California favor
repeal of the plan. Nationally, most voters support repeal.

Fiorina picks up 80% of the vote from those who strongly favor repeal,
while Boxer is supported by 75% who strongly oppose it.

The nominees are tied among voters not affiliated with either major
political party.

And, Carly Fiorina is within the margin of error in the poll.

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in California was conducted on June 9, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

As far as favorability vs unfavorability:

Boxer is viewed Very Favorably by 21% and Very Unfavorably by 37%. These reviews are slightly worse for Boxer than they were a month ago.

Fiorina’s ratings are 15% Very Favorable and 18% Very Unfavorable, showing little change from before the primary.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Stay tuned…..

2 Comments

  • Chuck Clausen

    June 12, 2010 at 6:12 am

    Carly Fiorina may be just what California needs – is it possible the California voters are leaning a little more right, than they have traditionally given the financial crisis the are experiencing – My wife and I have lived in California twice and loved it – Bay area was a politically leaning pretty far left for us Midwestern folks – is it possible California has more government than it can afford. – we were visiting in California when the voters passed prop 14 ( freezing property values for tax purposes) good idea in the short run, but I suspected devastating over the long haul. The supply/demand factor was driving up real estate value faster than income was increasing for the home owner.. Can’t blame the voters for some short term relief, but in the long run how do you pay for ever increasing public services?