CA-Sen Poll Watch: Barbara Boxer 51% Vs. Carly Fiorina 43%

Pollster’s Interactive poll average graph: Boxer 47.9& Vs. Fiorina 44.2%

The latest poll in this race from the Los Angeles Times/USC is probably an outlier since the venerable California Field Poll has the race closer and they polled at about the same time. Also, there have been some documented deficiencies in the polling sample (Meg Whitman campaign)

There is strong evidence why the LA Times/USC Poll is out-of-step with the California Field Poll, despite the fact that they polled voters at the same time. The Field Poll conducted interviews from September 14-21 and the LAT/USC Poll was in the field September 15-22. The most significant difference is that the LAT/USC poll under-sampled Republicans. That’s why its results differ so sharply from Field and all the other recently reported public polls, as well as our own internal polls. Field provides a far truer representation of California’s 2010 electorate, in our estimation.

But…..this is yet another poll that has Carly Fiorina behind.

Pollster	Dates	N/Pop	Fiorina	Boxer	Other	Undecided	Margin
USC/LATimes	9/15-22/10	838 LV	43	51	–	4	+8D
SurveyUSA	9/19-21/10	610 LV	43	49	6	2	+6D
Field	9/14-21/10	599 LV	41	47	–	12	+6D
Rasmussen	9/20/10	750 LV	43	47	4	6	+4D
FOX	9/18/10	1000 LV	46	47	3	4	+1D
PPP (D)	9/14-16/10	614 LV	42	50	–	8	+8D
FOX	9/11/10	1000 LV	44	46	4	6	+2D
Rasmussen	9/6/10	750 LV	48	47	2	3	+1R

Barbara Boxer has been running television ads statewide for a couple of weeks while Fiorina just started a few days ago.

Now, is the time for Fiorina, before early and absentee voting starts, to light up the California television airwaves – if she wants to win.