Poll Watch: The Demographics of the 2010 Electorate

President Barack Obama’s efforts this week to stir young voters to turn out in November on behalf of his party’s candidates come as Gallup finds support among this group — so important to the Democrats’ success in 2008 — improving. Gallup’s September polling suggests that young voters remain in the Democrats’ corner, and show increased support at a time when seniors have shifted more to the Republicans. The key question is whether young adults will vote in big enough numbers to offset the impact of the senior vote. The most recent indications on this from Gallup polling are not promising for the Democrats.

Hispanics present a different problem for the president’s party. While they voted strongly for Obama in 2008 and were supposed to be one of the building blocks of Democratic victory in 2010, Gallup’s recent polling suggests their support for Democratic congressional candidates is slipping. This is in line with Hispanics’ dwindling approval of Obama as president, with the initial decline seen in May possibly linked to the Democrats’ failure to pass comprehensive immigration reform.

The fact is the “youth” vote will NOT turn out for the November 2nd elections like they did in the Presidential election year of 2008. There is not a young “COOL” candidate like Barack Obama running. They will stay home while “Senior” voters who are scared to death of ObamaCare and the cuts to Medicare will – and vote the GOP ticket.

Hispanics feel betrayed by Obama. They mistrusted him initially (culturally they do anyway), supported Hillary Clinton, but resigned themselves to support Obama because they just could not vote for the old white guy, John McCain. There have been diminishing expectations for them without an immigration deal and they are weary about becoming another taken for granted minority voting group for the Democrats like African Americans and Jews. Hispanics may very well be ambivalent to this election except in California where Jerry Brown and the SEIU are race baiting with Nicky the $23/hr illegal alien maid for Meg Whitman.