CA-Sen Poll Watch: Barbara Boxer 49% Vs. Carly Fiorina 45% – Race a Toss-Up

Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer’s bid for reelection in California against Republican challenger Carly Fiorina is once again a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Boxer picking up 49% of the vote, her highest level of support since mid-July. Fiorina earns 45% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Two weeks ago, Boxer held a similar four-point edge – 47% to 43% – over Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard. In surveys since February, Boxer, a member of the Senate since 1993, has earned 42% to 49% of the vote. Fiorina has picked up 38% to 48% support in those same surveys.
 
The latest numbers move this race from Leans Democrat to Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in California was conducted on October 3, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

The fact that Carly Fiorina is this close after two weeks of statewide negative ads by Boxer gives her hope in this race. Fiorina’s statewide television ad campaign is just beginning and although early voting started yesterday in California there is plenty of time.

I will stick to my prediction that this race will come down to last minute television and on the ground GOTV.