Posts Tagged “Census”
These are my links for May 12th from 19:39 to 19:42:
- The obligatory “still no idea if Mitch Daniels is running for president” post – Remember all those news stories this morning about Mrs. Daniels’s big speech to the Indiana GOP tonight and how it maybe hopefully possibly might finally offer an inkling as to whether the Hoosier Hamlet was ready to jump in?
Nope:
At an Indiana GOP dinner featuring first lady Cheri Daniels as keynote speaker, Mitch Daniels spoke for a few minutes — and gave little away about his 2012 plans.
“This whole business of running for national office … I’m not saying I won’t do it,” he said, talking about how he had planned to go “to some quiet place … [like the] outdoors cable network” after his term as governor was over…
Cheri Daniels said little that alluded to 2012 in her keynote speech. (Although Daniels fans may want to note that she said: “If Mitch wants me to do something and he thinks the answer’s going to be no, he tells Cindy [Hoye, the executive director of the Indiana State Fair Commission] to ask me.”)
“Look, just make a decision. It’s time,” grumbled Larry Sabato afterwards.
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Daniels is running and after the reception he and Cheri received he will soon announce the formation of an exploratory committee.
Look for it around Memorial Day.
- Hispanic Students – The Education Crisis Everyone Is Ignoring – Hispanics now constitute 16% of the U.S. population, and the Census Bureau estimates they will account for 30% in 2050. This obviously means the number of Hispanic students in our public schools is increasing as well. From just 2001 to 2008, the percentage of Hispanics in public schools grew from 17% to 21%. In Texas, Hispanics already make up the majority of public school students.
You'd think those numbers would grab the attention of policymakers and educators and spur action — but you'd be wrong. Our public schools are woefully unprepared to deal with the fastest-growing ethnic group in the U.S. Only 17% of Hispanic fourth-graders score proficient or better on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (a test given to samples of students each year) while 42% of non-Hispanic white students do. Nationally, the high school graduation rate for Hispanics is just 64%, and only 7% of incoming college students are Hispanic, according to the Alliance for Excellent Education.
These two tectonic issues — our rocketing Hispanic population and the inadequate education of Hispanic students — are on a collision course that could either end in disaster or in another story of successful assimilation in America. The stakes are clear: how we meet this challenge will impact our politics, economy and our society.
The Hispanic population boom understandably caught some states, communities and educators flat-footed. Places with few, if any, Hispanic students just a few years ago now have sizable populations. This week, the Wall Street Journal reported that in North Carolina 16 of 100 counties are more than 10% Hispanic. Just four were in 2000. In Harrisonburg, Va., a sleepy university town in the Shenandoah Valley, about 40% of students in the city schools are Hispanic English-language learners, a figure that has soared over the past decade.
Still, the demographic projections are so well known that no one should be surprised.
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Read it all.
California is already feeling the budgetary effects and academic performance is very poor.
One has to wonder where the next generation of California taxpayers are going to come from when very few of the "new" Hispanic majority have the skills or education to work at any high paying jobs.
California high tech businesses are already moaning about easing VISA restrictions for foreign students to remain in the USA after they finish their educations because there are not sufficient numbers of indigenous highly educated workers.
The fact is any illegal immigrant amnesty is going to guarantee the Mexican border is secure so that this same dilemma will not present itself again – America will be overrun by the third world if it does.
Tags: Census, Daniels, Education, Hispanic, immigration, Pinboard Links, President
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The Pew Hispanic Center has a new report out about Hispanics and the 2010 midterm elections.
More than 6.6 million Latinos voted in last year’s election — a record for a midterm — according to an analysis of new Census Bureau data by the Pew Hispanic Center, a project of the Pew Research Center.
Latinos also were a larger share of the electorate in 2010 than in any previous midterm election, representing 6.9% of all voters, up from 5.8% in 2006.
Rapid population growth has helped fuel Latinos’ increasing electoral participation. According to the Census Bureau, 50.5 million Hispanics were counted by the 2010 Census, up from 35.3 million in 2000. Over the same decade, the number of Latino eligible voters — adults who are U.S. citizens — also increased, from 13.2 million in 2000 to 21.3 million in 2010.
However, even though more Latinos than ever are participating in the nation’s elections, their representation among the electorate remains below their representation in the general population. In 2010, 16.3% of the nation’s population was Latino, but only 10.1% of eligible voters were Latino and fewer than 7% of voters were Latino.
This gap is driven by two demographic factors — youth and non-citizenship. More than one-third of Latinos (34.9%) are younger than the voting age of 18, a share greater than that of any other group. And an additional 22.4% are of voting age, but are not U.S. citizens.
Read it all.
I think both Democrats and Republicans are cognizant of these demographic changes. The issue of the Hispanic vote will be polarizing short term and the GOP may very well cut their losses and abandon states, like California that have large Democratic Hispanic voters. But, this will gradually change as the Hispanic population ages, and assimilates.
Moreover, I think over the long term the result of the demographic shift will be MORE Hispanic Republican candidates, competing against either Anglo or African-American Democrats.
Tags: Census, Hispanic Vote
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These are my links for March 25th from 07:02 to 10:15:
- California Census: O.C.’s ‘most Republican’ status continues to slip – Orange County is still the 800-pound gorilla of California Republican politics, thanks in good measure to the size of the county and the number of major donors. But O.C. continues to slip in its ranking of the state's most GOP counties. And that gorilla may be shedding a few pounds.
In 1999, the party fell below 50 percent of all county voters for the first time since 1984. In 2001, it lost its spot as the California county with the highest percentage of GOP voters. By 2007, it ranked ninth among the 58 counties.
It is now 18th, with a 43-percent share of registered voters, according to Secretary of State rankings released last month. And the slide could well continue.
The party has had difficulty attracting the Latino vote statewide – Meg Whitman won among non-Latino whites in last year's governor's race, but only garnered about 20 percent of the Latino vote. And the Latino population is growing faster in Orange County than statewide, with Latinos projected to become a majority of the county population by 2040.
GOP strongholds
Smaller counties now carry the highest GOP saturation. Modoc County Republicans lead the list, with 49.5 percent of voters, followed by Placer County with 48.2 percent, and Lassen County with 48.1 percent.
Alameda County leads the list for Democrats, with 56.7 percent, follow by San Francisco County with 56.1 percent and Marin County with 54.9 percent.
Orange County Democrats, with 31.9 percent share, rank 10th from the bottom.
Statewide, Democrats have a 44 percent share to Republicans' 31 percent.
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The Census demographic shift away from a white or anglo population has been ongoing for decades.
Now, it will affect politics as racial groups are polarized to vote against Republicans.
But,will it last?
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: Connecticut Dental Board Reviewing Whether Teeth Whitening Should Be Classified as "Dentistry" – Connecticut Dental Board Reviewing Whether Teeth Whitening Shuld Be Classified as "Dentistry"
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Mike Huckabee Has a Slight Edge.. But.. | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Mike Huckabee Has a Slight Edge.. But.. #tcot #catcot
- Video: Why Sarah Palin Calls a Truce With LAMESTREAM Media? | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Video: Why Sarah Palin Calls a Truce With LAMESTREAM Media? #tcot #catcot
- The American Spectator : AmSpecBlog : DeMint’s Defense of RomneyCare is Ignorant…And Dangerous – Sen. Jim DeMint's Defense of RomneyCare is Ignorant…And Dangerous
- Tea party leader says he’d endorse Daniels | The Indianapolis Star | indystar.com – President 2012: Tea party leader says he'd endorse Mitch Daniels
- The American Spectator : Scapegoating Mitch Daniels – President 2012: Scapegoating Mitch Daniels
- Flap’s Links and Comments for March 25th on 06:38 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for March 25th on 06:38 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for March 25th on 06:38 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for March 25th on 06:38 #tcot #catcot
Tags: #catcot, #tcot, California, Census, Demographics
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Yes and President Obama will exploit it in 2012.
Hispanic population. Latinos made up half of all U.S. population growth in the past decade, by far the fastest growing group. Hispanics have nearly doubled to make up 16% of the country. We’ve said it here before, and now with the new Census numbers out it’s worth repeating: Latinos are already a serious political force in America and their influence will only get bigger. And that could be problematic for Republicans on a presidential level, because overwhelmingly right now, they prefer Democrats. Obama won Latinos 67%-31% in 2008, and they made up just 9% of the electorate. In the 2010 exit polls, when Republicans swept Democrats out of the U.S. House, Hispanics still preferred Democrats by a similar 64%-34% margin. And they made up just 8% of the electorate. In fact, look at the states out West with large Hispanic populations and how Democrats performed out West vs. the Midwest. In states with high Hispanic populations, Democrats were able to keep their losses to a minimum, holding on to Senate seats in Colorado and Nevada, keeping California fairly blue and holding on to House seats in Arizona they should have lost. As one Republican operative said to us in April 2010: “We have problems, clearly, with Hispanics,” the operative said. “If we do not manage an immigration bill appropriately, and we alienate Hispanics, Obama’s going to run up his numbers in the 70s [with Hispanics]. That is not a sustainable model to win.”
The national GOP will soon have to decide on a strategy to reach out to the growing Hispanic population of voters. It will have to be a multi-faceted voter outreach program, while at the same time isolating the growth of illegal immigration, which in turn results (in a decade or so) more Hispanic voters.
As you can see, this will take some finesse.
Or, the GOP can write off most of the Hispanic vote and try to isolate the effects of their numbers to a few states.
There is danger to the Democrats as well, since too much pandering to African-American and Hispanic voters will label them as the NON-white party.
But, for now, President Obama has the advantage going into 2012 and you won’t be seeing too much GOP Presidential campaigning in California.
Tags: Census, Hispanic Vote, President 2012
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Well, not really but you get the idea – they have surged in population growth in California.
Latino children for the first time made up a majority of California’s under-18 population in 2010, as Hispanics grew to 37.6% of residents in the nation’s most populous state.
A new U.S. Census report showed the state’s non-Hispanic white population fell 5.4% over the past decade, a continuing trend offset by a 27.8% surge in Hispanics and 30.9% increase in non-Hispanic Asians.
Though in decline, white Californians remained the state’s largest demographic group at 40.1%. But demographers said Hispanics were poised to take the lead.
Underlying the demographic shifts, California grew at its slowest pace in the past decade in more than a century. The population rose 10% to 37.3 million, an increase in line with the national average.
As in California, Hispanics are gaining ground in many other states, such as North Carolina, as whites are on the verge of becoming a minority among all newborn children in the U.S.
What does this mean for California politics when these Hispanic children mature and start to vote? Just as it is now for the very Blue Democratic California – TOUGH.
Since past electoral history has shown a propensity for Hispanics and Latinos to vote anywhere from 60-75% for Democratic Party candidates, the GOP will be at a demographic disadvantage. There are, of course, districts both Congressional and Legislative where their population numbers will not have as great an impact. And, with redistricting by an impartial commission, the GOP will have a chance there.
So, what happened and why did this growth of Hispanics occur?
Easy- the illegal immigrants from Mexico and Central America of the 1980′s to present had children born in the United States as middle-class whites either died or migrated out of the state to Nevada, Arizona or other states like Colorado.
Mr. Frey said the decline of whites and blacks in the decade, as well as the slowdown of Hispanic growth, is partly attributable to more middle-class families leaving pricey California for more affordable places elsewhere. (…)
“I think it’s a middle-class flight,” Mr. Frey said. “California is still very pricey, so to the extent people can get affordable housing they leave.”
But, California is now a no-growth Democratic state which by the way heavily regulates business.
Good luck with solving that California state budget shortfall.
And, the Republicans? They will be a dwindling minority party like in New York, Massachusetts and Maryland.
Tags: California, Census, Illegal_Immigration
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These are my links for March 9th from 15:22 to 15:28:
- California Census 2010: Where the Children Aren’t – Children are a disappearing presence in the Bay Area, the 2010 census shows, with slow growth or a net loss of the under-18 set in the region's nine counties, as families with young children move to areas with cheaper housing and better job opportunities. But diversity of the youth population is increasing as white and black families leave and are replaced by Asian and Latino families with young kids.
The drop in the overall population of children in the Bay Area would have been greater if not for the increased numbers of two particular groups: Asians and Latinos. In several counties, in fact, the loss of black and white children was mostly balanced out by the increase of Asian and Latino children.
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Not too many children in San Francisco with all of the gays who have migrated there either.
- CA GOP issues formal invite to Jerry Brown: Come out from "behind your picnic table" and debate Norquist – In a move that ramps up a high profile battle of words over the state budget, the California State Republican Party has formally issued an invitation to Gov. Jerry Brown to "come out from your office picnic table" and attend the party's upcoming state convention in Sacramento — to debate anti-tax advocate Grover Norquist.
We just got hold of the letter being delivered to Brown's office from state party chair Ron Nehring, who says Americans for Tax Reform President Norquist has already agreed to debate the governor, if it can be arranged at the three day state GOP convention scheduled March 18-20 at the Hyatt Regency in Sacramento. Democrats, including Brown and state party chair John Burton, have been engaged in a verbal tug of war with Norquist over the issue of a special election to let voters decide on tax extensions.
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Jerry Brown just might do it but I would rather have John Burton since he would try to fight Grover after the word exchange. and, I would like to see that.
- Will Another Dream Fade? Obama Should Endorse Same-Sex Marriages for Immigration Purposes – The way out of this inequity is the Uniting American Families Act (UAFA). UAFA would allow U.S. citizens and lawful permanent residents to sponsor their same-sex partners for immigration to the United States. In the last Congress, UAFA was introduced in the House by Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) and Mike Honda (D-CA) and in the Senate by Senator Patrick Leahy (D-VT). Over 120 co-sponsors signed on in House and more than 20 co-sponsors in the Senate.
UAFA would amend the immigration laws by simply adding the term "permanent partner" in sections where "spouse" appears, thus ensuring that a non-citizen permanent partner may receive the same immigration benefits that a non-citizen spouse now receives.
In the lame-duck session of Congress this past December, the DREAM Act that would have legalized undocumented youngsters who have graduated from high school in the United States went down in a disappointing defeat. The Obama Administration's late, but strong, support for the measure proved insufficient. With little hope for comprehensive immigration reform on the horizon, will the administration at the very least step forward to announce support for UAFA and get the ball rolling on this important effort? Let's hope so.
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It is called the Defense of Marriage Act and unless it is repealed or SCOTUS declares it uncosntitutional, it is the law of the land.
End of story.
This legislation will never become law with a GOP House – thank goodness.
Tags: CA_GOP, Census, Gay_Marriage, gay_politics, Grover_Norquist
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These are my links for March 9th from 10:52 to 11:46:
- California Census data will bring a big shift in Legislative and Congressional Districts – When state legislators drew new districts for themselves and their congressional colleagues in 2001, they were interested only in political impacts and largely ignored demographic changes revealed in the 2000 census.
The bipartisan gerrymander was aimed at preserving the numerical status quo in both the 120-member Legislature and the 53-member congressional delegation by designating the partisan ownership of every district.
The public's adverse reaction to the insider deal, however, led to a 2008 ballot measure that shifted legislative redistricting to an independent "citizens' commission" and a 2010 measure that added congressional seats to its duties.
On Tuesday, the Census Bureau released the detailed 2010 census data that the commission will use to draw new legislative and congressional districts, as well as four Board of Equalization districts, and the numbers confirmed that big changes are in the air.
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There will be some big shifts to the detriment of the dominant Democrats, especially in Northern California and the coastal areas.
- Sarah Palin Would Base Presidential Campaign in Arizona – Like Goldwater in ’64? – A source tells Ben Smith that Sarah Palin would base her possible presidential campaign in Scottsdale, Arizona, close to where Bristol Palin recently bought a house.
"Basing a campaign there would be a provocative rejection of any lingering political cost from those who connect her harsh rhetoric and Gabrielle Giffords' shooting — a traditional refusal to retreat. It's also the core of the politically contested, fast-growing new West. And it would also hark back, perhaps not to McCain, more a Washington figure than an Arizona one, but to what now stands as the iconic campaign for many base Republican voters: Goldwater '64
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Sarah's polling numbers against Obama are not very good. She may be able to win a multi-way GOP primary in some states but that is probably the extent of her campaign.
Tags: California, California_Reapportionment, Census
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