Is the Bradley Effect in Play?

“polls conducted in campaigns pitting white and black candidates against each other are doing a better job of accurately predicting the outcome of the election now than in the past, suggesting that hidden biases that confounded polling in biracial elections in the 1980s and early 1990s are no longer a serious problem.”

Comparing races against GOP African American candidates and their white Democrat opponents is probably not the same as Geraghty aptly notes.

The fact that the polls were wrong with regards to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in the primary elections earlier in the year have pollsters and the campaigns paying attention to a potential “Bradley Effect.”

And, there is the conventional wisdom in GOP circles which have many Republican voters outright lying to pollsters as a matter of disguising election results.

Many a dissertation will be written about this campaign for the Presidency, and the polls.