California Proposition 8 – Protect Traditional Marriage – The Final Winning Totals: 52.5% – 47.5%

With 100 per cent of the precincts reporting (at least on the California Secretary of State website) the winning tally for California Porposition 8 which restores the traditional definition of marriage to the California Constitution is:

• Yes – 5,387,939 – 52.5%
• No – 4,883,460 – 47.5%

In Ventura County (where Flap lives):

• Yes – 127,124 – 53.3%
• No – 111,465 – 46.7%

The interactive map from the California Secretary of State continues to be down but here is a screen cap from yesterday.

The exact totals are a little different on this map but the trends are definite. Support for Proposition 8 is widespread and concentrated in southern and northern-inland, central-inland California.

Remember the last internal polling from the Yes on 8 Campaign had the race tied and they counted on a homosexual type of Bradley effect in polling to predict the race.

The history of polling on this issue suggests there is a percentage of people who do not accurately report they support traditional marriage. They do not want to say something that may be perceived as not politically correct. Historically, that polling percentage has averaged about 7 % if you look at all of the states where marriage has been on the ballot. “I don’t think it will be 7 per cent this time, more like 4 or 5 per cent bump that we will get…”

Looks like a 5 percentage point victory and Frank Schubert who ran the Yes on 8 campaign was correct.

Now, Proposition 8 moves to the courts.

Stay tuned………