Rudy Giuliani,  Sarah Palin

Video: Rudy Giuliani: Sarah Palin Can Win the GOP Nomination But Can She Beat President Obama?

Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani on CNN’s Piers Morgan show

The but is that it depends upon what President Obama does in the next few months. The headline from CNN is incorrect, since Rudy does not doubt Palin can beat Obama – it just depends. For example, if the stock market were to crash and there are massive layoffs, I could see the public blaming the President.

Is this scenario likely? 

Probably not.

With the President surging in the polls and with the GOP better positioned in the Congress, there will be no sense of urgency for American voters to throw out the incumbent President. Sarah Palin is very young for a Presidential candidate and there is no urgency for her to run and then lose in the general election.

It is probably better to say at this point that it may be doubtful for ANY Republican nominee to beat Obama, including Sarah Palin.

I have always maintained that Sarah Palin could beat Mitt Romney in a GOP Presidential primary race, but why bother if your chances of beating Obama are diminished because of the incumbency factor and racial politics.

Better for Sarah to keep her powder dry for a run in 2016 or later. She has plenty of time.