Polling,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Sarah Palin and Arizona = Not So Much

Just a reminder that Sarah Palin although it is rumored she is contemplating basing her Presidential campaign in Scottsdale, Arizona, she does not poll well there.

We found last month that voters in Arizona don’t care for Palin. Her favorability there is just 39%, with 57% of voters holding a negative opinion of her. We found that she would start out trailing Barack Obama in the state by a 49/41 margin. That would make her only the second Republican to lose the state since 1948.

In addition to having poor numbers for the general election in Arizona, Palin also lags a good deal among Republican voters. Mitt Romney’s in first place there with 23%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 19%. Palin can muster only a third place tie with Newt Gingrich at 15%.

And, her polling in her native state of Alaska is not so good either.

Voters in Arizona do at least like Palin better than the ones back home in Alaska do. Her favorability there is a 33/58 spread and she gets an identical 15% in the primary, which places her 4th in that state behind the triumvirate of Romney, Huckabee, and Gingrich.

I really do not think Sarah Palin will run this year when confronted with these polls. It would be ruining her brand to run in only about 3 or 4 primary races after which she would be out.