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California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Draft Maps: Congressional Winners and Losers
This piece from the Washington Post sums up the California Congressional winners and losers.
Democratic redistricting expert Paul Mitchell projects that the proposed map includes 32 Democratic seats and five Democratic-leaning seats, with 13 Republican seats and three seats that lean Republican. If each side won the seats that were solidly or leaning in their favor, Democrats would see a net gain of three seats in the delegation in 2012.
Similarly, Republican consultant Matt Rexroad estimates the Democrats’ advantage at 3-5 seats, though other Republicans place the estimate slightly lower and insist they will also get new opportunities from the map.
If Democrats could net between three and five seats, it would make California one of their best states in the coming round of redistricting, along with Illinois.
Republican Reps. Elton Gallegly, David Dreier, Gary Miller and Brian Bilbray all get the short end of the stick in the new map and could have difficulty returning to Congress. The GOP would also have to defend Reps. Dan Lungren and Jeff Denham, who saw things get tougher in their respective districts.
On the Democratic side, Reps. Lois Capps, Loretta Sanchez and Jim Costa got more vulnerable, while Rep. Dennis Cardoza remains in potentially competitive district.
In the end, chaos is the order the day in the new map — forcing many incumbents to reevaluatw their political futures, with almost half of the state’s 52 current members of Congress drawn into districts with another incumbent (a 53rd seat is vacant).
The map will now be aired publicly and will have to be approved by Aug. 15, with nine of 14 commissioners required to support it. The commission is comprised of five Republicans, five Democrats and four who don’t belong to either party.
On first glance, it looks like the changing of the guard for Democratic and GOP Congressional incumbents. There will be some retirements and new candidates will emerge from the redistricting in the state legislature.
The biggest winners – Latino politicians and the Democrats.
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Dilbert May 25, 2011 – Compare
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Flap’s Links and Comments for June 10th on 07:34
These are my links for June 10th from 07:34 to 15:29:
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: The American Dental Association Responds to American Association of Public Health Dentistry Curriculum Guidelines for the Training of Dental Therapists – The American Dental Association Responds to American Association of Public Health Dentistry Curriculum Guideline…
- California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission Creates Competitive Ventura County Congressional District Without an Incumbent | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission Creates Competitive Ventura County Congressional Dis… #tcot #catcot
- Update with Link to Interactive Maps: California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Votes 14-0 to Approve First Draft District Maps | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Update with Link to Interactive Maps: California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Votes 14-0 to A… #tcot #catcot
- California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Votes 14-0 to Approve First Draft District Maps | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Votes 14-0 to Approve First Draft District Maps #tcot #catcot
- Maps: First Draft Congressional Districts | Citizens Redistricting Commission – RT @ShaneGoldmacher: And the redistricting maps are online: But with little information for politicos (i.e. who liv …
- Video: Designer Methamphetamine Bath Salts Chemicals Criminalization Bill Passes in New Jersey | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Video: Designer Methamphetamine Bath Salts Chemicals Criminalization Bill Passes in New Jersey #tcot #catcot
- CA-36 Poll Watch: Craig Huey in TIGHT Race Against Janice Hahn | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – RE: The District has an overwhelming Democratic registration but this is a July special election and turnout will be …
- Flap’s California Morning Collection: June 10, 2011 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s California Morning Collection: June 10, 2011 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th through June 10th | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th through June 10th #tcot #catcot
- Day By Day June 8, 2011 – Dick | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Day By Day June 8, 2011 – Dick | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-06-10 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-06-10 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
- Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th on 14:59 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th on 14:59 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: The Morning Drill: June 10, 2011 – The Morning Drill: June 10, 2011
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California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission Creates Competitive Ventura County Congressional District Without an Incumbent
Draft Congressional District map from the Rose Institute
The California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee today released its draft redistricting maps for California Congressional and Legislative districts.
In Ventura County and particularly where I live in Thousand Oaks, a new Congressional District has been carved out without an incumbent Representative. Currently, GOP. Rep. Elton Gallegy is my Congressman.
If this draft makes its way into final form, Rep. Gallegly will either have to move from his home (or not, since Reps. are not required to live in their representative districts) since Simi Valley is not included in this district.
One of the most dramatic impacts would be felt by 13-term Republican Congressman Elton Gallegly of Simi Valley. The draft congressional maps place his hometown of Simi Valley, along with Moorpark, in a district that extends eastward into Santa Clarita and Palmdale. That area is the home turf of 10-term Republican Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon.
The map also creates a congressional district without an incumbent living in its boundaries — the district that includes nearly all of Ventura County except for Simi Valley and Moorpark. Gallegly could consider running in that district, since he has represented all of those areas at some point in the past. But the voter-registration breakdown in that district, 42 percent Democrats versus 35 percent Republicans, would make it a challenge for candidates from both parties.
Game on, for this competitive Congressional seat should Gallegly decide not to move.
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Update with Link to Interactive Maps: California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Votes 14-0 to Approve First Draft District Maps
*****Update*****The California Citizens Redistricting Commission has released a two minute video featuring all 14 members of the Commission talking about the redistricting process for Legislative and Congressional districts and asking the public for help.The first maps are out for California’s Congressional, State Assembly, State Senate and Board of Equalization Districts. The link to the draft maps is here.
With four 14-0 votes, the California Citizens Redistricting Commission has released its first round of draft maps for Congressional, State Assembly, State Senate and Board of Equalization districts.
The Commission is now soliciting public comment on the draft districts. Testimony can be submitted online to votersfirstact@crc.ca.gov, by mail to the Citizens Redistricting Commission, 901 P Street, Suite 154-A, Sacramento, CA 95814 or by FAX at 916-651-5711. The Commission will be holding 11 public input hearings in June on the draft maps. The hearing schedule and the draft maps can be found at the Commission’s website at www.wedrawthelines.ca.gov.
Now, remember folks these are draft maps and the pundits will be going crazy with the political permutations.
And, California Republicans don’t be too disappointed because California continues to be a deep blue state demographically. While redistricting will improve some chances of winning a few seats, particularly in the California Legislature, the fact is the GOP will probably lose 3-5 GOP Congressional seats to the Democrats. The Democrats will continue to dominate the Republicans in the state legislature, just as they have for a couple of decades now.
So, have at the maps and write, e-mail or fax your thoughts and concerns to the Citizen’s Commission.
I will post more analysis about individual maps and districts as they become available.
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California Citizen’s Redistricting Committee Votes 14-0 to Approve First Draft District Maps
The California Citizens Redistricting Commission has released a two minute video featuring all 14 members of the Commission talking about the redistricting process for Legislative and Congressional districts and asking the public for help.The first maps are out for California’s Congressional, State Assembly, State Senate and Board of Equalization Districts. The link to the draft maps is here.
With four 14-0 votes, the California Citizens Redistricting Commission has released its first round of draft maps for Congressional, State Assembly, State Senate and Board of Equalization districts.
The Commission is now soliciting public comment on the draft districts. Testimony can be submitted online to votersfirstact@crc.ca.gov, by mail to the Citizens Redistricting Commission, 901 P Street, Suite 154-A, Sacramento, CA 95814 or by FAX at 916-651-5711. The Commission will be holding 11 public input hearings in June on the draft maps. The hearing schedule and the draft maps can be found at the Commission’s website at www.wedrawthelines.ca.gov.
Now, remember folks these are draft maps and the pundits will be going crazy with the political permutations.
And, California Republicans don’t be too disappointed because California continues to be a deep blue state demographically. While redistricting will improve some chances of winning a few seats, particularly in the California Legislature, the fact is the GOP will probably lose 3-5 GOP Congressional seats to the Democrats. The Democrats will continue to dominate the Republicans in the state legislature, just as they have for a couple of decades now.
So, have at the maps and write, e-mail or fax your thoughts and concerns to the Citizen’s Commission.
I will post more analysis about individual maps and districts as they become available.
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Video: Designer Methamphetamine Bath Salts Chemicals Criminalization Bill Passes in New Jersey
Wow! I had no idea about these drugs – bath salts which mimic the effects of methamphetamine. But, new legislation has passed the New Jersey State Senate to control the chemicals used in “bath salts.”
New Jersey’s assault on a methamphetamine-style drug known as “bath salts” continued today, as legislation criminalizing six chemicals used to make the powders cleared the state Senate.
Pamela’s Law — named for a slain Rutgers senior whose alleged killer may have used the powerful stimulants — passed the Senate unanimously. The move is the latest in a flurry of legal action aimed at chasing the dangerous “designer drugs” from the state.
“The more the truth behind these products masquerading as bath salts comes out, the more banning these powerful chemicals makes sense,” said state Sen. John Girgenti (D-Passaic), one of the bill’s sponsors. “There’s only one reason people purchase these products, and that is to get high.”
The state Division of Consumer Affairs issued an emergency order banning the six chemicals on April 26. A bill similar to the Senate measure and also called Pamela’s Law, awaits action in an Assembly committee.
Bath salts, drugs that have nothing to do with bathing but can mimic methamphetamines and cause severe psychotic episodes, made headlines in New Jersey earlier this year when Rutgers senior Pamela Schmidt was killed in the basement of her boyfriend’s Cranford home.
OK, Congress over to you.
And, where is the Obama Administration’s DEA in all of this?
Oh yeah, seizing state’s supplies of sodium thiopental, so they cannot execute murderers.
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Flap’s California Morning Collection: June 10, 2011
A morning collection of links and comments about my home, California.Today the California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission will release draft maps on California’s 53 Congressional Districts, 80 Assembly Districts, 4 Board of State Board of Equalization Districts and 40 State Senate Districts.
The Commission will meet at 9 AM PDT and once approved the draft maps will be posted here.
The 14-member independent California Citizens Redistricting Commission will meet at McGeorge School of Law in Classroom C for a Business Meeting from 9:00 a.m until close of business on June 10, 2011. The Commission was created by California voters to draw state Congressional, Assembly, Senate and Board of Equalization Districts.
You can watch the Live Broadcast of the meeting here.
California’s largest union is trying to help elect…Republicans? And the GOP is ticked
With 700,000 members, the SEIU is California’s largest labor union and on Thursday it announced they would be doing something a bit un-SEIUish: The were starting a political action committee to help moderate Republicans reach office.
Waaaa?!? You mean the same union that spent $85 million nationally to put President Obama in the White House and were the foot soldiers for Guv Jerry Brown’s winning California campaign?
Yup. SEIU California has 87,000 Republican members (216,000 Dems and 80,000 decline-to-state and others) and at Thursday’s rollout of the PAC, a few of the Republican ones said they felt the party of Reagan had deserted them. Now, it is held captive by social conservatives and anti-tax types who had no interest in the art of compromising. And that — along with extremists from the left — were the source of the state’s political gridlock.
Where is the love for good ol’ middle-of-the-road Republicans, several asked. The hope was that — with the SEIU’s help– that more moderate Republicans would be elected to serve in Sacramento.
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Former CA GOP chair Ron Nehring raises a point about the REAL motive behind the SEIU’s Republican outreach:
“Notably absent from this PAC’s plans are to increase the total NUMBER of Republicans in the caucus. Rather, they are interested only in changing the COMPOSITION of the caucus by electing pro-tax Republicans in Republican districts where there is no chance of electing a Democrat.”
Ron tells us: “The SEIU effort is unquestionably about replacing anti-tax Republicans with pro-tax Republicans. Obviously the Republican Party has no interest in that.”
Dan Walters: Here comes the California budget (again)
Darrell Steinberg, the president pro tem of the state Senate, says that today’s debate on a state budget package “is no game.”
“This is not a drill,” Steinberg continued, using the pejorative term that Capitol insiders use to describe a bit of meaningless political theater. “This is the beginning of the budget debate.”
It’s not exactly the beginning, since the debate has really been under way for many years as the budget has drifted in and out of solvency, mostly the latter. But it could be the beginning of the end of this particular segment of this particular year’s version.
Drill or not, Democrats will put on a big show to present their budget, including an extension of billions of dollars in temporary taxes that otherwise would expire.
They’ll recite tales of woe from police, fire and education officials and warnings that thousands of felons will be released from prison under federal court order.
Supposedly it’s all aimed at shaming at least a few Republicans into voting for the tax extensions that would remain in effect until voters decide, as much as a year from now, whether they would be extended even further.
Of the more than 2.1 million jobless Californians, one out of three has been unemployed for a year or more, according to the latest figures from the state Employment Development Department.
And as joblessness drags on, unemployment checks run out. About 1.1 million people in the state currently receive jobless benefits, which averaged $291 a week in April. But as of this week, more than 439,000 Californians had exhausted all their benefits – up to 99 weeks.
How many of these “99ers” have gone on to find work is unknown. But for many in the state, where April’s 11.9 percent jobless rate was the second highest in the nation, unemployment lingers.
Enjoy your morning!
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Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th through June 10th
These are my links for June 9th through June 10th:
- Day By Day June 8, 2011 – Dick | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Day By Day June 8, 2011 – Dick #tcot #catcot
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-06-10 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-06-10 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th on 14:59 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th on 14:59 #tcot #catcot
- Day By Day June 7, 2011 – Guides | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Day By Day June 7, 2011 – Guides #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th on 06:24 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for June 9th on 06:24 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: Poll Watch: American Eating Habits Worsen – Produce Consumption Down – Flap's Dentistry Blog: Poll Watch: American Eating Habits Worsen – Produce Consumption Down
- President 2012: South Carolina Pols To Draft Chris Christie? | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – President 2012: South Carolina Pols To Draft Chris Christie? | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
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Day By Day June 8, 2011 – Dick