• Barack Obama,  Day By Day,  Scott Brown

    Day By Day January 23, 2010 – Ou There

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    Earth to Obama, Earth to Obama: The reason Scott Brown was elected in very blue Massachusetts this week was because of YOU and your Congressional Democrat cronies.

    It is called dissatisfaction, Mr President.

    You were elected because American voters were unhappy with Congressional Republicans and particularly President George W. Bush and their policies.

    Wake up, sir and smell the coffee or the voters will treat you with the same disdain by voting your ass out of office.

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    • Former Hewlett-Packard CEO and Republican Senate candidate Carly Fiorina found herself in hot water with conservatives on Friday after she remarked that democracy won't be "truly representative" until "at least" half of elected officials are women.

      In a speech earlier this week that became public on Friday, Fiorina also fondly recalled the Rev. Jesse Jackson — a controversial figure across the political spectrum but anathema to many on the right — "very graciously" visiting her at HP years ago, when the two worked together to boost diversity among Silicon Valley's work force.
      ++++++
      What a shocker!

      This is racial and gender identity politics driven by the desperate Chuck DeVore campaign.

      Her comments are innocuous and par for the course for a corporate CEO and woman politician.

    • A new Field Poll shows former congressman Tom Campbell (R-San Mateo) beating fellow Republicans Cary Fiorina and termed-out Assemblyman Chuck DeVore (R-Irvine) for the party bid to face Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer in the fall. The poll breaks down like this:

      Campbell: 30 percent
      Fiorina: 25 percent
      DeVore: 6 percent
      Undecided: 39 percent
      Bunis got no comment to the Field Poll from the DeVore campaign, but she surmised they are clinging to the notion that the teabaggy magic that sprinkled over Scott Brown in Massachusetts could fall on ol' Chuckie as well.
      ++++++
      Got no comment because Chuckles has 6% to show for himself after campaigning for over a year.

      Put a fork in DeVore – he is done!

      (tags: Chuck_DeVore)
    • The National Republican Senatorial Committee outraised its Democratic counterpart for the third month in a row in December, bringing in $4.1 million compared with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s $3.4 million.

      Despite losing the fourth-quarter cash race, the DSCC still raised more money over the course of 2009 and ended the year with more money in the bank. The Democratic committee brought in about $43.6 million for the year and had $12.5 million in the bank as of Dec. 31, with about $1.2 million in debt. The NRSC brought in $41.2 million on the year had $8.3 million in cash on hand at the end of last month, with no debt.
      +++++++
      GOP fundraising should steadily improve and then there are the corporate independent expenditures that were recently OK'd by the SCOTUS.

      (tags: NRSC DSCC)
    • The Carly Fiorina campaign's response to Chuck DeVore surrogates Jesse Jackson attacks:

      "It goes without saying that as a mainstream conservative, unlike Barbara Boxer, Carly Fiorina strongly disagrees with Jesse Jackson’s political agenda. Her remarks Wednesday were focused on the importance of women recognizing and seizing opportunities to serve in public office where they have an interest in so doing, something we’d hope her opponents would seek to encourage rather than attack. It also isn’t surprising that Carly’s career politician opponents would take issue with the suggestion that they should be replaced with people who have real world experience because are continually failing to represent the interests of the people of this state and country – a fact their dismal approval ratings clearly confirm."
      +++++++
      Klein's painting Fiorina as an anti-semite is pathetic racial commentary and is more of a reflection on Klein than it is Fiorina.

    • On the strength of about $19 million spent in 2009, Meg Whitman has surged to a 45-17% lead over Steve Poizner in the Republican race for governor and picked up 11 points against Democrat Jerry Brown, who still leads her by 46-36% in a simulated general election match-up, according to the latest Field Poll.

      Attorney Gen. Brown, who has not yet formally declared his candidacy for governor, also leads Insurance Commissioner Poizner 48-31% in a general election simulated by the Field Poll, the basic results of which were made available to Calbuzz.*
      +++++
      Meg Whitman may have to spend every penny to beat Jerry Brown. As far as Poizner goes, I would recommend that he withdraws and runs for re-election.

    • Rasmussen
      1/20/10; 502 likely Republican Primary voters, 4.5% margin of error
      Mode: Automated phone
      (Ramussen release)

      Arizona

      2010 Senate: Republican Primary
      McCain 53%, Heyworth 31%, Simcox 4%

      Favorable / Unfavorable (among Republicans)
      John McCain: 74 / 23
      J.D. Heyworth: 58 / 25
      Chris Simcox: 28 / 33

      (tags: john_mccain)
  • Day By Day,  Martha Coakley,  Scott Brown

    Day By Day January 22, 2010 – The Internets

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    Chris, certainly new media, including the blogs helped Scott Brown in his race for Massachuseets United States Senate. But, there were other factors in play here as well.

    For example, an excellent well-spoken candidate; the Obama induced morose economy, the Obamacare legislative payoff to other states and the bungling candidacy of Martha Coakley.

    Social new media though did help in a big way – by immediatley communicating Brown’s candidacy and Coakley’s missteps without the filter of the MSM.

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    • What a surprise! Tom Campbell recently switched from the Governor’s race to the U.S. Senate race, and now a new poll shows him in the lead, with 30% of the vote, amongst the three Republican candidates.

      Campbell is a professor at Chapman University, here in Orange, and he is fairly moderate. So is Carly Fiorina, who earned a fortune working at HP. She is coming in second with 25% of the vote.

      And then there is Assemblyman Chuck DeVore. The poor guy has worked his tail off and he is coming in a distant third with 6% of the vote. No matter what he does, he simply cannot get around the fact that he has very low statewide name I.D., and he really hasn’t accomplished anything of note in Sacramento. And, as a staunch social conservative, he is out of step with most California voters.

      My sources in Sacramento tell me that DeVore was stunned by this new poll and that he is seriously considering dropping out of the race altogether.
      ++++++
      Chuckles who?

      (tags: Chuck_DeVore)
    • Rasmussen
      1/18/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
      Mode: Automated phone
      (Rasmussen release)

      Pennsylvania

      2010 Senate
      Toomey 49%, Specter 40% (chart)
      Toomey 43%, Sestak 35% (chart)

      Job Approval / Disapproval
      Pres. Obama: 46 / 53 (chart)
      Gov. Rendell: 43 / 56 (chart)

      Favorable / Unfavorable
      Arlen Specter: 43 / 54 (chart)
      Pat Toomey: 57 / 27
      Joe Sestak: 37 / 37

    • The U.S. Supreme Court ruling today overturning restrictions on independent spending by corporations and labor unions could have an immediate impact this year in California's U.S. Senate race.

      California state campaign finance rules already allow corporations and unions to give directly to independent expenditure campaigns without limits, so the court decision will have little impact on state contests.

      But the decision overturns federal rules requiring that corporations and unions establish political action committees, or PACs, to spend on elections. Bob Stern, president of the Center for Governmental Studies and an architect of California campaign finance rules, said the ruling should have a greater impact for corporations, who have access to more money and have been less adept than unions at navigating PAC rules in the past.
      +++++++
      Should help Carly Fiorina the most.

    • Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Thursday that she lacks the votes to quickly move the Senate's sweeping health overhaul bill through the House, a potentially devastating blow to President Barack Obama's signature issue.

      Pelosi, D-Calif., made the comment to reporters after House Democrats held a closed-door meeting at which participants vented frustration with the Senate's massive version of the legislation.

      Her concession meant there was little hope for a White House-backed plan to quickly push the Senate-approved health bill through the House, followed by a separate measure making changes sought by House members, such as easing the Senate's tax on higher-cost health plans. Such an approach would be "problematic," she said.

      "In its present form without any changes I don't think it's possible to pass the Senate bill in the House," Pelosi said, adding, "I don't see the votes for it at this time."

    • Former Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards has finally come forward to admit that he fathered a child with a videographer he hired before his second White House bid. "It was wrong for me to ever deny she was my daughter," he said Thursday.

      Edwards confirmed this in a statement released to The Associated Press, after initially denying that he'd fathered a child during an affair with campaign aide Rielle Hunter.

      "I am Quinn's father," the former senator declared in his statement, as the second birthday of Frances Quinn Hunter approaches.

      A former Edwards aide, Andrew Young, initially claimed paternity of the child shortly before the 2008 presidential primary contests began. Young is scheduled to release a book on Feb. 2 that details the scandal.
      ++++++
      What a cad and a-hole who is a disgrace to the male gender.

    • A new Rasmussen Reports survey in Missouri shows Roy Blunt (R) now holds a six-point lead over Robin Carnahan (D) for the U.S. Senate, 49% to 43%.

      Last month, Carnahan had a narrow 46% to 44% edge over Blunt.

  • Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen Field Poll: What Does It Mean for Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore?



    Poll graphic courtesy of the Sacramento Bee

    I posted the California Field Poll results for the California United States Senate race earlier this morning. It is 30% for Tom Campbell, 25% for Carly Fiorina and 6% for Chuck DeVore. Those are the raw numbers.

    Let’s look at some more (the cross tabulations are here):

    And, now the favorability numbers:

    But, what do all of the numbers mean for Republicans Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore?

    The California Field poll is a vulnerable venerable polling organization that is reputable for accurate results. But, there are a number of factors that should be pointed out.

    1. I doubt MOST Californians are paying attention to a United States Senate primary election in June.
    2. The poll was conducted partly before Tom Campbell switched last week from running for California Governor to U.S. Senate.

    Tom Campbell – the leader for now:

    Campbell the former Congressman from Northern California has run statewide for the United States Senate twice before. Until last week he has been campaigning for many months against Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner for the Republican Governor nomination statewide.

    It is obvious that Campbell has good name identification and with a generic sounding name it is easy to pick him in answering a polling interview.

    However, Campbell is a very socially liberal Republican. For example, he is pro-abortion, supports government funding of abortion and was against California’s Proposition 8 that restored the traditional definition of marriage – in other words Campbell supports gay marriage. Campbell has also been active in legalizing marijuana for medicinal use and there may be some question as to whether he favors further decriminalization of marijuana laws or even outright legalization.

    On fiscal matters, he has not hesitated to support tax increases, including supporting California Proposition 1A (which I voted against and was defeated), and supporting a gas tax increase of 32 cents while Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s Finance Director. Moreover, Campbell has refused to sign a no-tax pledge.

    When informed of these facts by either Fiorina and/or DeVore, Caliifornia voter support will likely fall like a stone. Add this with the fact that Campbell has absolutely NO campaign cash since he could not transfer his California Governor’s campaign account to the Senate campaign, he will be unable to advertise for months.

    Then, there is the major problem of his campaign. Campbell is a political campaign harlot who has hopped from one bed to another to just get elected to office. Look at his CV and his political career. When informed that Campbell is just another typical politician anda harlot at that, the 30 per cent he received in this poll may be his high water mark.

    Chuck DeVore – last place and why is he continuing in this race?

    Chuck DeVore, an obscure California Assemblyman from Orange County (and a very safe Republican district) has never run before for statewide office BUT has been running for United States Senate for over a year. And, he receives only 6 per cent! Frankly, nobody knows who the hell this guy is and that is reflected in the poll result above.

    I have illustrated and posted a number of times that DeVore has been unable to raise any substantial campaign cash and although he has more on hand than Campbell at the moment, he is already behind Fiorina by almost $ 3 Million. He has no funds to do any type of media campaign, including televison. And, with only 6 % he is unlikely to be able to pry more money out of the hands of the few donors he has captured.

    The only question for the DeVore campaign is when to gracefully withdraw or beg for it to be over whichever occurs first. If DeVore stays in the race look for about a 15 per cent showing at the polls – maybe 20 at most.

    Carly Fiorina – second place but attacked by Campbell and DeVore and Boxer – oh my!

    The former CEO of Hewlett-Packard is a well-known California corporate leader who was a major surrogate for John McCain’s Presidential campaign last year. Carly has been seen on Fox News and the other cable news and business channels ALOT.

    But, Carly developed breast cancer last year and underwent both radiation and chemotherapy for much of the Spring and Summer 2009. She only declared her candidacy in November when she secured the endorsements of most Republican incumbent U.S. Senators, including John McCain and Tom Coburn.

    Her fundraising has been good but not outstanding in the two months she has been a candidate. But, the Christmas holidays may have slowed her down a bit – so she reached into her own pocket and pulled out $2.5 million. Carly can reach for more and in a few conversations with her it is my impression that money is not really a concern for her. Resources will not be a problem for Carly.

    So, why is Carly who is in second place in the above polling attacked so much? She is attacked by DeVore for being a RINO (Republican in Name Only) and not being conservative enough (Carly is pro-life and against gay marriage) – so wrong there Chuckles.

    She is attacked by Campbell for having a campaign in disarray. Well, at least she has a communication team and has some campaign funds, unlike Campbell who just returned from Panama and extensive Spanish lessons. Fiorina is lead by Marty Wilson who has a pretty good track record in electing major California politicians. Do the names Pete Wilson and Arnold Schwarzenegger stand out? Wilson’s fundraisers will raise mega-bucks for Fiorina – hear the cash register now?

    Then, Carly is attacked by Boxer and the left for having bankrupted Hewlett-Packard and shipping jobs overseas. Both are false and Hewlett-Packard is the largest computer manufacturer in the country now and is thriving. With the corporate campaign rules being chnged today by the U.S. Supreme Court lets see how much American business disfavors Fiorina. I think she will be able to raise a ton of money – like on the order of $10 million in independent expenditures alone – maybe more.

    So, what does the Field Poll mean?

    In short, Carly Fiorina WILL win by beating Tom Campbell handily in June with Chuck DeVore withdrawing sometime after the California GOP Convention in March.

    Stay tuned……


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  • Carly Fiorina

    CA-Sen: California Field Poll Shows Strength in Carly Fiorina’s Campaign

    Conejo Valley Republican Women Lunch January 15 2010 062
    Carly Fiorina addressing Conejo Valley Repubican Women January 15, 2010 Photo by Flap

    From the Press Release:

    Carly for California Deputy Campaign Manager for Communications Julie Soderlund issued the following statement regarding the Field Poll survey on the U.S. Senate race in California, which was released today:

    “We continue to be encouraged by the polling in this race, which shows that Carly is a strong candidate both in the primary and in the general election and that voters are highly dissatisfied with Barbara Boxer’s continued support for bigger government and higher taxes. Tom Campbell is a career politician who has now run for statewide office three times, so one would have expected that his high name identification would come through more strongly in this poll. But once voters learn that Tom has spent the last five years supporting increased government spending and higher taxes and now refuses to commit to voting against more tax increases in the Senate, we expect his numbers to fall fast – just like Martha Coakley’s did in Massachusetts.”

    Stay tuned……


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  • Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  Tom Campbell

    BREAKING: CA-Sen: Tom Campbell 30% Carly Fiorina 25% Chuck DeVore 6%

    Apparently the San Diego Union broke the 6 AM PST embargo on the poll. So, I will report it now.

    A week after dropping his bid for governor and switching to the U.S. Senate race, former Rep. Tom Campbell has taken the lead in what is now a three-way Republican field, a new Field Poll shows.

    The poll shows Campbell leading among likely voters in the June 8 Republican primary election with 30 percent to 25 percent for former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and 6 percent for Assemblyman Chuck DeVore of Irvine. The remaining 39 percent were undecided.

    The winner will face three-term Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer in November.

    “It demonstrates the relative weakness of the Fiorina and DeVore candidacies up to this point,” said Field Poll director Mark DiCamillo.

    The GOP Senate race remains largely unfocused, even among the Republicans considered most likely to vote, according to the poll, which has a high margin of error.

    The vast majority of Republican voters said they did not know enough about any of the candidates to have an opinion about them.

    Republicans have a favorable opinion of Campbell at 26 percent to 11 percent, but 63 percent have no opinion at all. Likewise, Fiorina is regarded positively, 20 percent to 10 percent, but 70 percent have no opinion.

    The most unknown quantity is DeVore, with 81 percent of the Republican primary voters having no opinion about him. Of those who do, 8 percent are favorable and 11 percent unfavorable.

    Stay tuned, as I will have more later.


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