CA-Sen Poll Watch: Carly Fiorina Up Big With 54%, Tom Campbell 19%, Chuck DeVore 16%

Posted 3 CommentsPosted in Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell

Carly Fiorina, a candidate for the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate, speaks to reporters in front of the county building Monday, June 7, 2010 in San Diego. At left, San Diego city council member Carl DeMaio looks on, with Escondido Mayor Lori Holt Pfeiler, right. Fiorina is battling former Congressman Tom Campbell and Assemblyman Chuck DeVore for the opportunity to challenge incumbent, Democrat Barbara Boxer. AP Photo

The latest and final Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies poll has Carly Fiorina up big.
Looking at the changes in the US Senate contest, Carly Fiorina’s campaign has increased her support by 10 points, up from 44%, Tom Campbell has dropped 2 points from 21% to 19% and Chuck Devore has increased by 2 points, up from 14%. Other candidate support has decreased 2 points to 5%, and undecided voters has decreased 8 points from 14%.

Here is the composite Pollster graph:

This race is over.

Put a fork in Chuck DeVore and Tom Campbell – they are done.

Tom Campbell can make plans to go back to Chapman Law School and Chuck DeVore (the termed out California Assemblyman) can run for the City of Irvine Mayor or City Council.

Bring on Barbara Boxer………

CA-Sen Poll Watch: Carly Fiorina 37% Tom Campbell 22% Chuck DeVore 19%

Posted Posted in Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell
senaterepublicans CA-Sen Poll Watch: Campbell 32.6% Fiorina 28.2%  <br/> DeVore 15.3%

California U.S. Senate candidates Tom
Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore

The latest California Field Poll released late Friday night has Carly Fiorina leading the U.S. Senate field by 15 points.

Carly Fiorina has a 15-point lead on Tom Campbell in the final days of the GOP Senate primary.

The poll found Fiorina has the support of 37 percent of GOP primary voters, with 22 percent of respondents backing Campbell. Irvine Assemblyman Chuck DeVore came in a close third with 19 percent support, with 20 percent still undecided.

Forty-two percent of GOP respondents said Fiorina was the best bet for defeating Democratic U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer in the fall, with Campbell and DeVore polling at 22 percent and 12 percent, respectively.

That could be a blow to Campbell’s recent pitch that he’s better poised to beat Boxer, a claim he made based on the results of hypothetical match-ups in the recent USC-LA Times poll.

The poll surveyed 511 likely GOP primary voters between May 27 and June 2. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Here is the poll and some statistical tabulations prepared by the Sacramento Bee.

It appears this race is all but over.

Carly Fiorina is “on air” and have seen her television ads multiple times today. Campbell and DeVore have not had the resources to compete with the Fiorina media onslaught.

Chuck DeVore and Tom Campbell have failed California Politics 101 where the trusim of money being the “Mother’s Milk of Politics” is especially evident.

CA-Sen: Carly Fiorina Takes Big Lead Over Tom Campbell and Chuck DeVore is Toast

Posted Posted in Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell
senaterepublicans CA-Sen Poll Watch: Campbell 32.6% Fiorina 28.2%   DeVore 15.3%

California U.S. Senate candidates Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore

Graphic courtesy of Calbuzz

Yes, a fairly substantial lead that has been sustained now in three recent surveys.

A new Magellan Strategies poll in California confirms other recent surveys which show Carly Fiorina (R) has surged into the lead for the Republican Senate nomination.

Fiorina leads with 44%, while Tom Campbell (R) is at 21% and Chuck DeVore is at 14%.

The poll:

Obviously, Carly Fiorina has SURGED into a convincing lead as California voters participate in early and absentee ballot voting.

Survey results from the US Senate ballot test show Carly Fiorina with a 23 point lead over former Congressman Tom Campbell 44% to 21% and Assemblyman Chuck DeVore with 14%. Seven percent support another candidate, and 14% of voters are undecided. Support for Carly Fiorina has surged 24 points since our last survey on February 25th from 20% to 44%, and Tom Campbell’s support has declined 12 points from 33% to 21%. Chuck DeVore has made a small gain among men, increasing his support by 3 points from 11% to 14%.

Looks like Tom Campbell is collapsing as Independent Expenditure Committees run ads against him and Chuck Devore is a NEVER-WAS. With DeVore at only 7 points above another candidate and 30 points behind Fiorina, his candidacy is TOAST.

But, the race is fluid – so stay tuned……


CA-Sen Poll Watch: Carly Fiorina SURGES Into the Lead and Chuck DeVore Becomes An “Other”

Posted Posted in Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell


From the latest Survey USA Poll

This is hilarious. LOST ended last night but “The Others” are still around. Namely IT is California Assemblyman Chuck DeVore who is polling so low that ABC News Los Angeles does not name him anymore.

In the meantime, Carly Fiorina has SURGED to a commanding lead in this race.

CA Republicans Whitman & Fiorina Surge; Air Goes Out of Poizner Statehouse Balloon; Campbell’s Train to DC Stalls: California’s Republican primary contests for Governor and US Senator have sea-sawed, according to new SurveyUSA polling conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.

In the Republican primary for US Senator, support for former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina is up sharply in the past 2 weeks, from 24% on 05/10/10 to 46% today 05/24/10. Fiorina’s support has more than doubled among women, seniors, Hispanics, the less educated, and in the Inland Empire. During these 2 weeks, Former Congressman Tom Campbell’s support dropped 12 points, from 35% on 05/10/10 to 23% today 05/24/10.

Looks like DeVore’s electoral support will end up less than 20 per cent (14 % in this poll). Tom Campbell has collapsed into the 20th percentile while Carly Fiorina gathers up the rest.

Plus, Carly is continuing her heavy advertising media blitz, including television.

Looks like a strong finish for the former Hewlett-Packard CEO.


CA-Sen: Should Chuck DeVore or Carly Fiorina Drop Out of the Republican Primary Election?

Posted Posted in Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell

Here is a static screen shot:

I think Erick Erickson over at Red State has gone insane in the membrane over this post. But, then again, I said a few weeks ago that he was NOT serious and was simply covering his ass should Tom Campbell win.

However, it appears that Tom Campbell has topped out and the latest PPIC poll released last night shows him static or fading with Carly Fiorina besting Chuck DeVore by 9 points.

So, who should drop out?

I don’t think either at this point since Fiorina is leading or tied in the polls, has a robust media campaign ongoing and has the most campaign cash. Contrast this with DeVore who has run one television ad once and who has no money for a media campaign the last three weeks. Carly simply does NOT need DeVore to drop out to beat Tom Campbell, who, by the way, has pulled all of his campaign ads off television and radio and is rumored to be out of money.

If Chuck DeVore wishes to continue an embarrassingly negative, underfunded, futile campaign, then let it fly.

It is DeVore’s future after he loses.


CA-Sen Poll Watch: Fiorina 25% Campbell 23% DeVore 16%

Posted Posted in Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell
senaterepublicans CA-Sen Poll Watch: Campbell 32.6% Fiorina 28.2%  DeVore 15.3%

California U.S. Senate candidates Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore

Graphic courtesy of Calbuzz

The latest PPIC poll has just been released.

The Republican senate primary race is also close, with Carly Fiorina (25%) and Tom Campbell (23%) deadlocked, as they were in March (24% Fiorina, 23% Campbell), and support doubling for Chuck DeVore (16% today, 8% March) among GOP likely voters. Thirty-six percent are undecided. Fiorina and Campbell have similar levels of support among men (29% Fiorina, 25% Campbell, 17% Devore), with 29 percent undecided. Support for the two candidates is also similar among women (21% Fiorina, 20% Campbell, 14% DeVore), but 44 percent of women are still undecided.

And, with the Fiorina campaign just starting a television media blitz while Campbell and Devore are “off air” the momentium continues with Fiorina. With three weeks to go before election day, Carly Fiorina is the one to beat.

With Chuck DeVore mired in third place, yet again in another poll, people are speculating when he will withdraw.

The Fiorina campaign had this to say about the poll:

Carly for California Deputy Campaign Manager for Communications Julie Soderlund today issued the following statement in response to the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll of California’s U.S. Senate race that was released this evening:

“Since declaring her candidacy in November, Carly has been laying the groundwork for a campaign that inspires enthusiasm among Republicans and sets the stage for an epic fight to retire a 28-year failed senator. Today’s PPIC poll confirms that hard work produces results. Carly has traveled across California talking to voters, inspiring volunteers to join the campaign and raising funds for a robust voter contact program. These are the necessary ingredients of a winning campaign, and we fully expect the momentum to continue building as we march toward victory on June 8.

“This poll also demonstrates that former Congressman Campbell’s high watermark of support for his candidacy has come and gone as Republican voters learn he is not a fiscal conservative and has not been honest with the people of California about his 20-year record of support for tax increases and more government spending. Generally speaking, once a candidate falls behind, he never retakes the lead. Tom Campbell’s standing with voters is declining and Carly’s is growing. It smells like a trend that is moving in Carly’s favor.”