Polling,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Sarah Palin’s Poll Numbers By State

June 3, 2011 /

Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, left, poses with celebrity look-alike impersonator Cecilia Thompson during a tour of Boston’s North End neighborhood, Thursday, June 2, 2011. Palin’s father Chuck Heath is at center

Rush Limbaugh and Mark Levin can defend Sarah Palin from Charles Krauthammer and others all they want. But, what they cannot argue are Palin’s, thus far, very poor poll numbers.

The summary:

  • 12 of the states where we’ve polled on Palin went for John McCain in 2008. Her average favorability in those GOP friendly states is 38/54
  • 8 of the states where we’ve polled are ones that George W. Bush won in 2004 and Barack Obama won in 2008- obviously the ones that will be most important to Republican prospects of taking back the White House. Her average favorability in those vital swing states is 32/61
  • There’s been a lot of recent buzz that Palin is moving to Arizona. She will be getting away from a state where she is unpopular (33/58 favorability in Alaska), but she is moving to one where she’s even more unpopular (32/62 favorability in Arizona.)

Here is the graph:

Ok, so what does this mean?

You might say, well, the PPP Polling organization is a Democratic polling firm and that they are biased.

Fair enough!

You could say this, but biased polling in 31 states which are corroborated in part by polling by other polling organizations?

This is not to say that Sarah Palin cannot win the GOP nomination.

But, she reads the polls, like Krauthammer and they know she faces a very strong current of opinion to swim against in order to beat President Obama.

Wouldn’t it be far better to support a GOP Presidential candidate that can win in 2012, accept a cabinet appointment, e.g. Energy or Interior, then run for the Presidency another year, after some political rehabilitation?