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3237148934 7927e3f388 o RNC Chair Watch: Who Will Win?

The Republican National Chairmanship race culminates today with an election. C-Span will begin live television coverage at 10:30 AM EST.

Republicans are looking for a national party chairman to lead a GOP rebirth after losing control of Congress and the White House in back-to-back elections.

Their choice when they vote Friday was to give former President George W. Bush’s hand-picked party chief, Mike Duncan, a shot at turning around the Republican Party by re-electing him to a second-two year term or choosing a fresh face from one of his four challengers.

No one was expected to get the required majority of the votes on the first balloting by the 168-member Republican National Committee.

Those challenging Duncan are former Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael Steele, former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell, South Carolina GOP Chairman Katon Dawson and Michigan GOP Chairman Saul Anuzis.

A fifth — former Tennessee GOP Chairman Chip Saltsman — dropped out of the race on Thursday with little explanation, saying only in a letter to RNC members: “I have decided to withdraw my candidacy.

So, who will win?

It’s anybody’s guess.

GOP insiders say Friday’s contest to elect the next chairman of the Republican National Committee will be a long and drawn-out affair, with multiple ballots necessary to determine the winner.

The RNC’s voting rules require a candidate to collect a simple majority of 85 votes in order to claim victory. In the absence of a consensus choice among the field of five candidates, though, the election appears destined for numerous ballots, involving many hours of deliberations punctuated by intense lobbying and political horse-trading between votes.

Public estimates of the five candidates’ support have tended to place incumbent RNC Chairman Mike Duncan at the head of the pack, followed by former Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael Steele and South Carolina Republican Party Chairman Katon Dawson, with Michigan Republican Party Chairman Saul Anuzis and former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell behind them.

Televison coverage begins on C-Span in little less than an hour and there will be extensive coverage from the RNC Winter Meeting Floor on Twitter. Follow Flap here and Follow the hashtag #RNCCHAIR here for up to the minute commentary.

Flap has endorsed Michael Steele for the Chairmanship.

Stay tuned…..


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3239045330 493eddbd3e o Day By Day by Chris Muir January 30, 2009   Percentage

Day By Day by Chris Muir

The House passed HR 1 Barack Obama’s Economic Stimulus bill the other day with NO GOP votes and 11 defections from his own party. The bill now moves to the U.S. Senate where debate begins on Monday.

In the meantime, Obama has schmoozed Congressional leaders with “WAGYU STEAK” in order to gain passage.

Exit question: Will GOP Senators roll over on the bill, unlike their House counterparts?

History has not been favorable for the GOP Senate Caucus to exert party discipline.

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  • At a recent debate, the candidates to become chairman of the Republican National Committee were asked — after rattling off how many guns they own — whether they have any "followers" on Twitter, the popular online social network for short messages.

    They didn't miss a beat.

    "Yes, the number is growing last time I checked — 300 to 400," replied candidate Michael Steele, a former lieutenant governor of Maryland. Users of the site keep track of posts, or "tweets," from other users by becoming their followers.

  • The 168-member Republican National Committee will gather tomorrow morning to choose its next chairman and yet even those closest to this most insider of votes acknowledge they have little idea who will emerge victorious.
    (tags: GOP rnc)
  • The deal here is that none of this language is new. Republicans have been saying these things for years. Back to the Gallup data: voters identify with the Democrats precisely because of what Republicans stood for; because of the choices their party made in the early part of this decade. Who in the party will make the modest suggestion that maybe it's time the party stood for something different?
    +++++++
    Answer – BOTH
  • A military judge in Guantanamo Bay today denied the Obama administration's request to delay proceedings for 120 days in the case of a detainee accused of planning the October 2000 attack on the USS Cole warship, an al-Qaeda strike that killed 17 service members and injured 50 others.

    The decision throws into some disarray the administration's efforts to buy time to review individual detainee cases as part of its plan to close the U.S. military prison at the Guantanamo naval base in Cuba. The Pentagon may now be forced to temporarily withdraw the charges against Abd al Rahim al-Nashiri, a Saudi citizen of Yemeni descent.

    Nashiri is facing arraignment on capital charges on Feb. 9, and Judge James Pohl, an Army colonel, said the case would go ahead.

  • During his first week as commander in chief, President Barack Obama ordered the closure of Guantanamo Bay and terminated the CIA's special authority to interrogate terrorists.
    While these actions will certainly please his base — gone are the cries of an "imperial presidency" — they will also seriously handicap our intelligence agencies from preventing future terrorist attacks. In issuing these executive orders, Mr. Obama is returning America to the failed law enforcement approach to fighting terrorism that prevailed before Sept. 11, 2001. He's also drying up the most valuable sources of intelligence on al Qaeda, which, according to CIA Director Michael Hayden, has come largely out of the tough interrogation of high-level operatives during the early years of the war.
  • When you run for president as a community organizer, and a writer, or even a professor of constitutional law, perhaps it's politic to hide a few salient details about your actual lifestyle that might mess up the "savior of the downtrodden" narrative. It's important to keep up the fiction that only spoiled, indifferent, wealthy Republicans have personal servants.
    (tags: barack_obama)
  • The DontGo Movement is teaming up with RedState to launch the new “Send a Pair” campaign. The campaign is in place to help Mitch McConnell obtain some much needed “boldness”. Apparently, Mitch McConnell isn’t able to locate a pair of his own, so we’re going to give him some assistance.

    Mission: Locate any items that could resemble a “pair” if you catch the drift, and ship them to Mitch McConnell with a your opinion about the apparent lack of will to take a serious stand on issues important to the movement.

  • A top Republican congressional aide says the $800 billion-plus economic stimulus measure could steer government checks to illegal immigrants.

    Republican officials are concerned that the Democratic-written legislation makes people who came to the United States illegally eligible for tax credits of $500 per worker and $1,000 per couple.

    A House-passed version of the bill and one making its way through the Senate both disqualify nonresident aliens from receiving the credits. But neither requires a worker to have a Social Security number to get the credits.

    An economic aid measure enacted in February 2008 that sent rebates to most wage earners required that people have valid Social Security numbers in order to get checks.

  • Americans may be able to rest a little easier this April if Congressman John Carter, R-Texas gets his way.

    Rep. Carter introduced a bill Wednesday to eliminate all IRS penalties and interest for paying taxes past due.

    The legislation calls for the creation of what he calls the, "Rangel Rule," — drawing attention to the recent legal issues of House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charlie Rangel, D-N.Y., enabling citizens who fail to pay taxes on time to do so later with no additional fees.

    Rangel, who writes the country's tax policies, acknowledged last fall that he failed to pay thousands in real estate taxes for rental income he earned from..

    As of September 2008 the Harlem Democrat reportedly paid back more than $10,000 in taxes but that did not include any IRS penalties.

    "Your citizens back home should have the same rights and benefits that come to you as a member of congress. You shouldn't be treated any differently under the law than your citizens back home," Carter said.

  • By contrast, the stimulus now under consideration would suffer from the usual problems of government spending. The Congressional Budget Office and the Joint Committee on Taxation have calculated that only $170 billion, or about one-fifth of the $816 billion package will be spent in fiscal 2009. An additional $356 billion will be spent in 2010. That leaves $290 billion to be spent when even the most pessimistic forecasters think the economy will be in recovery mode.
  • Obama engaged in an all-out lobbying push for the bill, which is among the most expensive pieces of legislation ever to move through Congress, and marked a big victory for his presidency a little more than a week into his term. He will now turn his attention to the Senate, where Democrats are scheduled to begin debate on the measure on Monday and the price tag is likely to reach $900 billion.

    Larger than the combined total cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan so far, the two-year stimulus plan would provide up to $1,000 per year in tax relief for most families, dramatically increase funding for alternative energy production, and direct more than $300 billion in aid to states to help rebuild schools, provide health care to the poor and reconstruct highways and bridges.

    The argument is, "Your priorities are expensive and increase the deficit; my priorities are reasonable investments."

  • Can the Obama administration be anymore tone deaf? After pushing his $1.1 trillion Generational Theft Act of 2009 through the House last night, the White House apparently decided to throw itself a swank cocktail party. According to ABC’s Jake Tapper, the menu included alcoholic beverages (vodka martinis are an Obama favorite, reportedly) and wagyu steak.

    Yeah, “wagyu steak.” $100 per serving delicacy. I had to look it up, too.

    On the heels of the most expensive inaugural celebration in American history and passage of a trillion-dollar spending binge that will saddle future generations with unprecedented debt, perhaps President Obama might consider cutting back on such indulgences.

    Or is the White House exempt from “shared sacrifice,” Mr. President?

    (tags: barack_obama)
  • There's a serious debate in this country as to how best to end the recession. The average recession will last five to 11 months; the average recovery will last six years. Recessions will end on their own if they're left alone. What can make the recession worse is the wrong kind of government intervention.

    I believe the wrong kind is precisely what President Barack Obama has proposed. I don't believe his is a "stimulus plan" at all — I don't think it stimulates anything but the Democratic Party. This "porkulus" bill is designed to repair the Democratic Party's power losses from the 1990s forward, and to cement the party's majority power for decades.

  • Federal authorities are investigating the Catholic Archdiocese of Los Angeles to see whether top church officials tried to cover up the sexual abuse of minors by priests, said a person familiar with the matter.

    A federal grand jury has issued subpoenas and begun calling witnesses in the probe, which began late last year, said this person. The investigation is still in its early, fact-gathering stage, and it isn't known whether any criminal charges will result.




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3238083596 fcfd2f5576 o Young Republicans Want Michael Steele for RNC Chairman   Flap Endorses Steele

Young Republicans FAVOR Michael Steele for Republican National Committe Chairman.

A survey conducted for the Young Republican National Federation, which claims more than 10,000 members, finds that the RNC chairman candidates’ views on social issues are important to only 6% of the 1,249-person sample. The candidates’ positions on the economy and job creation were most in demand, followed by their views on taxes, energy independence and national security. Illegal immigration, a subject of outsize importance to the vocal wing of the party, ranked 8th out of 10; only five percent of the members said that they were curious about how candidates would talk about the subject.

According to a YRNF spokesperson, self-identified social conservatives were well represented in the survey.
In terms of priorities for next RNC head, exploiting advances in social media and technology were high on list, but even more simply, survey participants said they were ignored by the party leadership and hoped that the new RNC chair would integrate young voters into the overall political strategy. 
 
Finally, “not supporting a candidate” outranked any particular candidate, though MD Lt. Gov. Michael Steele, garnered the support of 35% of the sample, followed by Ohio’s Ken Blackwell, Current RNC chairman Mike Duncan won 3% of the vote.

The YR”s have some good insight into the NEW direction of the party. Obviously, the politics of current RNC Chairman Mike Duncan have failed.

The election is tomorrow and Flap is most comfortable with Michael Steele and therefore ENDORSES him for Chairman.


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Barack the Magic Negro, a 2007 parody song aired by conservative talk show host Rush Limbaugh

Chip Saltsman has withdrawn as a candidate for Republican National Committee Chairman.

Chip Saltsman, whose bid for RNC Chairman was derailed and defined by distributing (and defending) the “Barack the Magic Negro” song, has dropped out.

“While my travels make me confident in our party’s future, I wanted you to be first to know that I have decided to withdraw my candidacy to become your next chairman,” he wrote supporters.

After distributing that Christmas CD with “Barack The Magic Negro” on it, he never really had a chance.

What poor judgment.


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3094227534 b3c63c954f o RNC Chair Watch: Michael Steele Claims 39 Supporters   Closing in on Mike Duncan?

Former Republican Maryland Lt. Governor Michael Steele and candidate for Chairman, Repubican Natonal Committee

As it is leaked to The Politico on Thursday afternoon before the Friday vote:
But my colleague Alex Burns reports that with the vote less than 48 hours away Steele’s camp shared a list of 30 supporters with Politico, including 12 privately pledged backers who wish to remain anonymous. (In total, Steele’s team claims 39 supporters – a number which, if accurate, would put him remarkably close to incumbent Chair Mike Duncan’s level of support.)

Why share this info now? It’s “important to have an accurate picture of where the race stands,” they say. It’s a risky move, though. On the one hand, it could give Steele the appearance of momentum in the home stretch. On the other hand, it will also raise expectations for Steele’s performance on the first ballot. And in an election with multiple ballots, when commitments may not last past the first vote, the expectations game can be decisive.

So, does Michael Steele have the Big Mo going into tomorrows vote?

Let’s hope so.

Read Chris Cilliza’s final handicap of the RNC race here.


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Latest television ad targeting GOP Senators on Obama Stimulus Legislation

Left-Wing Democratic Party supporting groups are going to bat targeting GOP Senators over next week’s vote on the Obama/Democrat Stimulus Bill that passed the House yesterday.

Who are they targeting?

GOP Sens. Susan Collins (Maine), Olympia Snowe (Maine), Judd Gregg (N.H.), Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and Chuck Grassley (Iowa).

An ad mixes that clip with voiceovers imploring the Republicans to cross the aisle: “Tell Sens. Collins and Snowe to support the Obama plan for jobs, not the failed policies of the past,” a voiceover intones in the ad running in Maine.

Collins and Snowe were among the five Republicans who have already supported the legislation at the committee level.

Obama won in Maine, New Hampshire and Iowa by large margins, though he lost Alaska’s electoral votes. The ads aim to pressure Murkowski, Gregg and Grassley, all of whom face re-election in 2010, to vote for the Senate version of the stimulus package.

Collins won reelection in 2008 and Snowe doesn’t face voters again until 2012.

The ads, which will cost $500,000 total, are being funded by Americans United for Change, MoveOn.org, the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees and the Service Employees International Union. The group of organizations estimated it would spend a combined $4 to $5 million on the entire campaign.

Will these GOP Senators hold the party discipline like the GOP House that voted unanimously yesterday against the bill?

Perhaps, because despite the ads, polling shows American voters are not that enthused over the Obama pork-laden plan.


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