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CA-Sen: Carly Fiorina to Be Released from Hospital Today
California Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina
As I surmised last night, Carly will be back on the campaign trail tomorrow.From the press release:
U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina’s Chief of Staff Deborah Bowker today issued the following statement:
“Since she was admitted to the hospital yesterday morning, Carly has been successfully treated for the infection she had as a result of reconstructive surgery following her victory over breast cancer. This morning, her doctors gave her the good news that she will be released from the hospital today and can resume her busy campaign schedule tomorrow. Carly is grateful for the outpouring of well wishes and prayers from so many Californians. She is excited to get back on the campaign trail and to move forward toward a triumph over Barbara Boxer next Tuesday.”
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CA-Sen: Is Barbara Boxer Surging in the Polls?
Unlikely, when you look at the sampling methods of the recent polls in a very large state as is California.
If you follow California Senate polling closely, you have to be feeling a little bit nauseated from the roller coaster ride you’ve been on. Some polls are showing Senator Barbara Boxer with a comfortable 9-point lead and above 50 percent, while others are showing a much closer race. One Republican pollster even shows Fiorina ahead.
What is going on here? The answer is something I’ve discussed before: Pollsters are having a devil of a time agreeing on what the electorate is going to look like
This chart above has changed a bit with the latest Survey USA poll having been released overnight. It is here. Their current breakdown is D:42%, R:34%, I:21%.
As you can see, the ratio of Democrats to Republican in the sample goes hand-in-glove with the size of Boxer’s edge. More Democrats equals more Boxer votes. In fact, the adjusted r-square is pretty nice — about .74. These polls’ internals actually don’t disagree that much — most of them have both candidates losing about 10 percent of their respective bases, while Fiorina has a double-digit edge among independents.
So who is right? Well, that’s the frustrating thing — we can’t definitively say. But we can get some sense of history here. The following table shows the exit poll results for 2008, 2006 and 2004, as well as the present early voting numbers:
As you can see, the pollsters showing a comfortable Boxer lead are showing electorates that are similar to 2008. On the other hand, the pollsters who are showing a tight race see an electorate more like 2004 or 2006.
So, what does the race and polling come down to with less than a week to go?
As, I have said before, it comes down to turn out – who actually shows up to vote on election day. If the Republicans are motivated and all come out to vote for Carly Fiorina, Fiorina wins the independent minded voter who shows up and/or the Democratic base of ethnic voters and Labor fail to show, even a little – Fiorina wins.
If the Democrats all show up to vote, Boxer wins. After all, it is a numbers game and the Democrats far and away out number the Republicans.
The GOTV (Get Out the Vote) ground operations of the California GOP may very well decide this race.
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CA-Sen Video: Carly Fiorina Launches New Ad: “Truthiness”
The latest web ad from the Carly Fiorina campaign for California U.S. SenateFrom the press release:
The Carly for California campaign today launched a new Web video titled “Truthiness” highlighting the many outlandish and unfounded claims Barbara Boxer has peddled to voters on the campaign trail in an ongoing attempt to hide the truth about her nearly three decades of failure in Washington.
“Barbara Boxer is so desperate to save the only job she cares about – her own – she has resorted to blatant fabrications and extreme distortions of the truth,” said Carly for California Press Secretary Andrea Saul. “At a time when 2.2 million Californians are unemployed, voters aren’t looking for typical political ‘truthiness’ or empty election-year rhetoric from a career politician. Carly Fiorina, a proven leader and political outsider, won’t shirk from being held accountable or delivering results; she will go to Washington to work not for an ideology, but rather to improve the lives of the people of this state.”
Of course, what everyone is asking this morning, is when will Carly leave the hospital and resume campaigning.
I’ll post or tweet the information as soon as I have it.
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Day By Day October 27, 2010 – Full Burn
Chris, wouldn’t you think President “Hope and Change” would support an expanded mission for NASA and space exploration? But, oh no, he would rather live in the present and waste taxpayer money traveling to India with an entourage.What a shocker?
Not really. America did not really know Mr. “Voting Present” Obama when the “smoke and mirrors” election of 2008 took place.
I think the only race in 2012 will be for the GOP nomination, to find the “RIGHT” candidate to defeat him.
And, defeat him, the GOP will.
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The Day By Day Archive -
links for 2010-10-26
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Today the Sacramento Bee reported on Dan Lungren's latest conflict of interest. While Karl Rove's shadowy front group tries to bail out Lungren in a tough election, the Congressman advocates for unlimited corporate campaign spending. Even worse, if Lungren does win reelection and becomes Chairman of the House Administration Committee, he would have jurisdiction over campaign finance regulation — Lungren would be responsible for regulating the same shadowy corporations that are funneling hundreds of thousands of dollars to save him.
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Ami Bera is a far left pencil pushing physician who has never run or held political office. Now, he is whining about campaign contributions while he sucks in Big Labor and Indian ethnic group campaign cash.Pretty ridiculous
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The Republican woman who has the best chance to win in California on Nov. 2 is not billionaire Meg Whitman, who has spent more than $140 million of her own money to make sure every living thing knows who she is. It's Carly Fiorina, another former Silicon Valley CEO with thinner pockets but a looser campaign style who has drawn incumbent Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer into a dead heat.
The two Republican candidates have not campaigned together, but when they have appeared at the same event, it has been Fiorina who gets the attention, pounding a shot of Tequila and letting loose a rolled-r trill at the Hispanic 100 Lifetime Achievement Award dinner in Newport Beach (Orange County) this month.
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Read it all – actually a fair analysis.
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CA-Sen: Update on Carly Fiorina’s Health
California Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina
From the press release:
U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina’s Chief of Staff Deborah Bowker today issued the following statement:
“Carly has received treatment for the infection related to the reconstructive surgery she underwent in July after her winning battle with breast cancer. The doctors tending to her care will observe her overnight and are taking every precaution to ensure that she can return to her busy campaign schedule. Carly is thankful for all of the prayers and encouragement she has received today from family, friends and supporters. She is anxious to get back on the campaign trail later this week and is very much looking forward to a victory on November 2.”
In talking to various folks, my bet is that Carly is back on the campaign trail no later than tomorrow afternoon or Thursday morning.
Wishing her the best and the most speedy recovery – My prayers are with you, Carly.
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CA-Sen: NRSC Believes The Race is Winnable or Why Would They Bet $3 Million on Carly Fiorina?
National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Ad which will run statewide in CaliforniaA pretty obvious conclusion since they are spending the money.
It was the expenditure heard ’round the political world: The GOP is pouring $3 million into the race against Sen. Barbara Boxer on behalf of GOP nominee Carly Fiorina.
The news Monday that the National Republican Senatorial Committee planned to dump that much money into California, this late in the campaign, was enough to cause a double take. The NRSC was already in for $4.8 million in coordinated spending — making the nearly $8 million total expenditure in California the most the committee has publicly committed to any state this year and the most ever in California.
At the heart of the GOP investment is a belief that the race is much closer than Tuesday’s Public Policy Polling survey, which showed Boxer up 52-43, or last week’s Los Angeles Times poll that gave the incumbent an 8-point lead.
“For their turnout model to be accurate, it would have to mean a worse environment for Republicans than 2006,” a GOP operative familiar with the NRSC’s spending plans said of the Times survey. “We have two tracking polls that both show Carly only down 1 point and Boxer below 50, which is a bad place for an incumbent to be after so much spending.”
Recent polling also has convinced the GOP that voters are differentiating between Fiorina and gubernatorial nominee Meg Whitman, who appears to be sinking in her race against former Gov. Jerry Brown.
“Carly can win even if Meg doesn’t win,” the operative said.
I, also, feel California voters may very well split their ballot and vote for Jerry Brown, the Democrat but hedge their bets and vote for Fiorina, the Republican. A sort of balancing, as it were. Besides, Carly Fiorina does not have the “Nanny” problem of Whitman and Boxer is, well, an unpopular figure – ma’am, i mean Senator.
There is a throw the bums out mentality even in Left Coast Blue California but voters just can’t vote for Meg – so they vote for Carly instead and send Babs to retirement.
I bet all of the next few polls show Fiorina within the margin of error and Boxer well be below 50 per cent – a disaster for an incumbent.
But, stay tuned as Carly mends from an infection and tries to heal up in time for last minute campaigning.
Anything can happen folks, as this race goes down to the wire.
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Updated: CA-Sen: Carly Fiorina Hospitalized for Treatment of Infection and Barbara Boxer Reponds
Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina poses for a photo with Ross Amin while visiting a a phone bank at Republican headquarters in Sacramento, Calif., Sunday, Oct. 24, 2010
From the press release:U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina’s Chief of Staff Deborah Bowker today issued the following statement:
“Carly learned more than a year and a half ago that she, like millions of women, had breast cancer. After successfully battling cancer, she had reconstructive surgery this summer and remains cancer free today. However, this morning Carly came down with an infection associated with the reconstructive surgery and, as a result, she was admitted to the hospital to receive antibiotics to treat this infection. While this will impact her campaign schedule today, Carly is upbeat and her doctors expect her to make a quick and full recovery and be back out on the campaign trail soon. Carly is looking forward to getting back to her full campaign schedule and to defeating Barbara Boxer on November 2.”
It is my understanding that Carly will be making a quick recovery and will be on the campaign trail very soon. IV antibiotics are easily administered and any incision and drainage can be accomplished relatively easily. I would say that depending upon the spread of the infection and any associated malaise, Carly should be back within a day or so.
I did note that she was speaking over the weekend with a hoarse throat/voice and all of the run around campaigning cannot be too good for your general health.
So, my advice to Carly is to take it easy and take a few days off, if need be.
Update:
I was gone most of the day today visiting my foot doctor in Long Beach and obtaining long overdue running orthotics for my running/walking abused feet. In any case, I could not beleive when I returned that this was the ONLY response from the Barbara Boxer Campaign:
The Boxer camp quickly sounded a sympathetic note. “We wish Carly Fiorina a speedy recovery and hope she is able to return to her normal schedule soon,” said campaign manager Rose Kapolczynski. However, Boxer spokesman Scott Sakakihara said the campaign doesn’t plan to let up on its attack ads.
Damn, wouldn’t you think for at least good PR purposes that Boxer would phone Carly. Maybe voluntarily suspend those nasty attack ads that accuse Fiorina of being some wealthy maven who loves to lay off employees and nefariously send their jobs to China and India in order to fund her five corporate jets.
But, I know and California voters know that Barbara Boxer is NOT a class act.
I think she will pay the political price.
Again, best wishes to Carly and I hope she takes all of the time she needs to recuperate. Infections are no fun. Believe me I know.
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CA-Sen: Carly Fiorina Hospitalized for Treatment of Infection
Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina poses for a photo with Ross Amin while visiting a a phone bank at Republican headquarters in Sacramento, Calif., Sunday, Oct. 24, 2010
From the press release:U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina’s Chief of Staff Deborah Bowker today issued the following statement:
“Carly learned more than a year and a half ago that she, like millions of women, had breast cancer. After successfully battling cancer, she had reconstructive surgery this summer and remains cancer free today. However, this morning Carly came down with an infection associated with the reconstructive surgery and, as a result, she was admitted to the hospital to receive antibiotics to treat this infection. While this will impact her campaign schedule today, Carly is upbeat and her doctors expect her to make a quick and full recovery and be back out on the campaign trail soon. Carly is looking forward to getting back to her full campaign schedule and to defeating Barbara Boxer on November 2.”
It is my understanding that Carly will be making a quick recovery and will be on the campaign trail very soon. IV antibiotics are easily administered and any incision and drainage can be accomplished relatively easily. I would say that depending upon the spread of the infection and any associated malaise, Carly should be back within a day or so.
I did note that she was speaking over the weekend with a hoarse throat/voice and all of the run around campaigning cannot be too good for your general health.
So, my advice to Carly is to take it easy and take a few days off, if need be.
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CA-Sen Video: NRSC Launches New Anti- Barbara Boxer Ad in California
This ad is part of a $3-million independent expenditure by the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC). Obviously, the ad targets California women voters a demographic which Carly Fiorina needs to do better according to numerous polls. The $3-million expenditure should guarantee statewide play throughout the last week of the campaign.