Ann Wagner,  Claire McCaskill,  Ed Martin,  Sarah Steelman,  Todd Akin,  U.S. Senate 2012

MO-Sen GOP Poll Watch: Steelman 31% Akin 24% Martin 9% Wagner 2%

Sen. Claire McCaskill (top), D-Mo., faces challenges from Republicans (bottom, from left) Ann Wagner, Ed Martin and Sarah Steelman

According to the lastest PPP Poll.

Sarah Steelman is the early top choice of Missouri Republicans to be their candidate for the Senate next year, although with most of the candidates including herself largely unknown at this point there is plenty of time for that to change.

The Poll:

  • Sarah Steelman – 31%
  • Todd Akin – 24%
  • Ed Martin – 9%
  • Ann Wagner – 2%

Without GOP Rep. Todd Akin in the race:

  • Sarah Steelman – 37%
  • Todd Martin – 18%
  • Ann Wagner – 11%

But, most Missouri voters don’t really know about these candidates, so take these numbers with a grain of salt.

We’re not seeing any big ideological fissures yet in these numbers. Steelman leads Akin by 14 points with moderates but she also has a 13 point advantage with those voters describing themselves as ‘very conservative.’ Her lead is narrower with ‘somewhat conservative’ voters who give her only a one point edge on Akin. It’s a similar story when Akin’s out- then Steelman’s up 26 points on Martin with the ‘very conservative’ wing and 24 points with the moderates, but only 9 points with folks who call themselves ‘somewhat conservative.’ For whatever reason she’s doing better with moderates and the far right than the center right.

It’s too early to make a whole lot of these numbers though given that 56% of voters don’t know enough about Steelman to have formed an opinion and that just rises to 61% for Akin, 75% for Martin, and 81% for Wagner.

The full poll is here (PDF).