Barack Obama,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

President 2012 Virginia Poll Watch: Romney 44% Vs. Obama 42%, Obama 44% Vs. Perry 42%



The 2008 Presidential Electoral College Results

Looks like another state which President Obama won in 2008 is flipping to the GOP. Too many more, like Florida, North Carolina, Indiana and Ohio and Obama loses in the Electoral College.

On to the Quinnipiac Poll.

Voters in Virginia, a key state in President Obama’s 2008 winning coalition, disapprove 54 – 40 percent of the job he is doing, down from a 48 – 48 percent split in a June 30 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Obama does not deserve four more years, voters say 51 – 41 percent.

In possible 2012 matchups, Obama has 44 percent to Perry’s 42 percent, while Romney gets 44 percent to Obama’s 42 percent, all too close to call. Obama does much better against two other Republicans, besting Bachmann 48 – 37 percent and Palin 50 – 35 percent.

“At this point Romney and Perry both are in a horse race against President Barack Obama, challenging Romney’s ‘electability’ argument,” said Brown. “The big difference is among independent voters, where Romney holds a solid 44 – 35 percent lead, and Perry is in a 40 – 40 percent dead heat with the president.”

Obama’s job approval is plummeting among independent voters, who disapprove 62 – 29 percent, compared to a 54 – 41 percent disapproval June 30. Republicans disapprove 87 – 11 percent while Democrats approve 83 – 13 percent, down from 92 – 5 percent in June. Men disapprove 61 – 36 percent, as women disapprove 49 – 43 percent. White voters disapprove 67 – 28 percent, while black voters approve 83 – 11 percent.

In the GOP primary battle for the nomination, Rick Perry leads.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as the presidential choice of Virginia Republicans 25 – 19 percent, with U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann at 5 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Perry tops Romney 43 – 36 percent in a two-man faceoff, but both run neck and neck against President Barack Obama.

No other GOP White House aspirant breaks into double-digits among Virginia Republicans and GOP-leaning independent voters. Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul gets 8 percent, with former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin at 7 percent, businessman Herman Cain at 6 percent, Bachmann at 5 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 4 percent, former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum at 2 percent and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman at 1 percent.

There is a sizable gender gap in the Perry-Romney two-man race. Perry leads among men 49 – 33 percent, but trails by a narrow 40 – 37 percent among women. Perry also laps Romney 51 – 29 percent among white evangelical Christians, a key part of the GOP coalition. Among military households the two are in a statistical tie tipping to Perry 40 – 38 percent.

Another key battleground state, Virginia, is in serious jeopardy for President Obama. This far away from the election, Obama is now in serious trouble putting together a winning margin in the Electoral College. Even the Field Poll in very blue California had Obama struggling.

If the President does not show some movement soon, he will be a one term President.