-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: It is the Turn-out, Stupid
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger campaigns for Prop. 76 and his reform agenda at a gathering held at an auto salvaging facility Pick-A-Part in Ontario.
Robert Sallady of the Los Angeles Times has Gov. Aims to Get Out Vote Selectively.
- With Schwarzenegger’s initiatives lagging in polls, he hopes the state’s Democratic majority and opponents in the GOP stay home.
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger ordered next week’s special election to take his agenda to “the people,” but his campaign strategy relies on relatively few people showing up next Tuesday and large segments of voters staying home.
The governor’s plan — “micro-targeting” voters, advertising in selected markets to reach them and conducting daily polls to augur the political mood — is guided by a single premise: If every Democrat and every Republican in California votes next week, Schwarzenegger’s measures are likely to lose.
Another “hit piece” of the day from the Los Angeles Times. Robert Sallady is a master of the anti-Schwarzenegger “NEWS?” pieces. Or should we call him the negative Arnold spinmeister?
The Times really needs to leave their opinions on their op-ed pages and out of the news columns.
By the way, has Sallady ever heard of political science and turning out your base?
Probably not…….
And the newspapers wonder why their circulation is decreasing and ad revenue is down.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Los Angeles Times
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: The Latest California Field Poll
Gov Arnold Schwarzenegger holds 21-month-old Brenna Neault during a campaign stop on Halloween day Monday, Oct. 31, 2005, in Ontario, Calif. Schwarzenegger made the stop to urge voters to support four ballot initiatives aimed at curbing the power of the Democratic-controlled Legislature and the state’s public employee unions.
Reuters has Schwarzenegger may be hurting his own cause — poll.
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s campaigning ahead of election day next week has hurt rather than helped efforts to win support for his four favored ballot initiatives, a poll released on Tuesday found.
The Field Poll released on Tuesday measured voter reaction both before the new approach, from October 18-24, and after, from October 25-30, and found opposition on the rise.Most recently, 51 percent of likely voters opposed his plan to let a panel of retired judges draw electoral districts, compared to 41 percent the week before. Support for the idea fell over the period to 35 percent from 38 percent.
Flap will post the link to the full Field Poll when it is fully released later in the morning.
The Field Poll of 506 likely voters from October 18-24 and 581 adults the following week found unchanged support at 44 percent for Schwarzenegger’s proposal to give teachers tenure after five years rather than two. Yet opposition rose to 50 percent from 47 percent in the survey, which had a plus or minus four percent margin of error.
The star of the “Terminator” films boosted support for a measure giving him more powers to cut the state budget to 32 percent, up from 28 percent. Yet opposition remained at 60 percent, creating a significant obstacle for perhaps the most ambitious of his special election ideas.
Not the greatest results for the Governor and the California Recovery Team.
But, the impact of Proposition 73 and 75 will be heaviest on voter turn-out.
It is apparent theat Proposition 76 continues to fail badly and Proposition 77 has a long way to go for passage (and then a court challenge after the election).
Stay tuned…..more later and of course the SPIN …….
RIP Prop. 76 according to latest California Field Poll.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Field Poll
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Mobilize.Org YES on Proposition 77 at USC
On Tuesday, November 1, MAY and Mobilize.org are continuing their “What Are YOUR Boundaries?†RV Tour in support of Proposition 77, the California Redistricting Initiative at the University of Southern California. The news conference and rally will happen at noon.
Previously on Flap, Proposition 77 Watch: What Are Your Boundaries? Mobilizing America’s Youth.
The Mobilize.org RV Tour has one major purpose and one major goal. The purpose is to educate, empower, and energize young people throughout the state for the upcoming special election, and our goal is to pass the Voter Empowerment Act – Proposition 77. The RV tour is historic and the first of its kind as no other independent organization has hosted such an event exclusively devoted to a single proposition.
Mobilize.org believes that redistricting is the best way to end the political deadlock in California. We have built a strong coalition of support to help us get that message to America’s youth.
The What Are Your Boundaries Blog is here.
So, tomorrow head over to Tommy Trojan and check out the Mobilize.org RV and rally in support of Proposition 77.
Flap knows you will be glad you did.
Update #1:
The RV tour has already made stops at Sacramento State, UC Davis, UC Berkeley, San Francisco State, San Jose State, UC Santa Cruz, Stanford University, UC Santa Cruz and UCLA.
WHO: Mobilize.org (David B. Smith, Executive Director of Mobilize.org, speaking)
WHAT: Pro 77 rally at USC
WHEN: Tuesday, Nov. 1 at 12:00 noon
WHERE: Hahn Plaza, in front of the Tommy Trojan Statue (Student Union)
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 73, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Proposition 73 – Flap Says Vote YES
On July 30, 2004, Diana Lopez received a call from her daughter’s middle school, informing her that her 13-year-daughter hadbeen taken to the hospital because she was bleeding. By the time Diana found out where her daughter had actually been taken, a Planned Parenthood abortion center, her young daughter was already undergoing an abortion — orchestrated by her boyfriend’s mother and Planned Parenthood staff. Diana had not known that her daughter was pregnant or contemplating an abortion. Had Diana known of her daughter’s pregnancy, she would have encouraged and assisted her to have her baby rather than undergo a secret abortion.
Flap supports Proposition 73, the Parents Right To Know initiative. and urges its passage at the California Special Election, November 8th.
Proposition 73: Parental Notification
• Termination of Minor’s Pregnancy. Waiting Period and Parental Notification. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.
Summary: Amends California Constitution to bar abortion on unemancipated minor until 48 hours after physician notifies minor’s parent/legal guardian, except in medical emergency or with parental waiver. Permits judicial waiver of notice based on clear and convincing evidence of minor’s maturity or minor’s best interests. Physician must report abortions performed on minors and State shall compile statistics. Authorizes monetary damages for violation. Minor must consent to abortion unless mentally incapable or in medical emergency. Permits judicial relief if minor’s consent to abortion is coerced.
Latest polling results and a poll summary is here.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Special Election, Capitol Research Institute, Proposition 73
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Media Bias, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79, Proposition 80, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Another L.A. Times “Hit Piece” on Schwarzenegger’s Wife
California first lady Maria Shriver hands out emergency backpacks to students at a south Los Angeles elementary school to kick-off Team SAFE-T, Thursday, Oct. 6, 2006.
The Los Angeles Times has First Lady Appears to Be Sitting Out This Election.
- Kennedy legacy clashes with her loyalty to her spouse, keeping Shriver silent on ballot issues.
On a recent morning, Maria Shriver had a roomful of admiring listeners hanging on her every word. Unfortunately for her husband, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, none of them was old enough to vote.
Shriver was addressing a fourth-grade class at Charles W. Barrett Elementary School in South Los Angeles as part of a campaign to improve disaster preparedness among children. On another campaign important to the Shriver-Schwarzenegger household — the battle over state ballot initiatives backed by the governor — California’s first lady has remained virtually silent.
Here we go!
One week before the California Special Election and the hatchets come out for Governor Schwarzenegger’s wife.
Paul Pringle the reporter is a committed leftie with a left wing agenda. And he is happy to oblige the Moonbat editors of the Los Angeles TimesAsk Flap how he knows?
Aides to the couple say that isn’t expected to change before the Nov. 8 special election. They and others don’t blame Shriver for her silence, even if it has deprived Schwarzenegger of one of his most articulate and charismatic advocates.
After all, Shriver would be breaking family ranks no matter where she came down on the measures, Democratic and Republican activists say. As a Democrat and a Kennedy, they say, she would have to all but shape-shift to endorse proposals despised by the party that counts three of her uncles as icons.
And if she were to publicly criticize the initiatives, things presumably would get chilly on the home front.
And who from the Los Angeles Times ever asked Sharon Davis about why her husband bankrupted the state while he was California Governor?
This is disgraceful BIASED journalism from the Los Angeles Times.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, MariaShriver
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Election 2006, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Schwarzenegger in FULL Campaign Mode
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger speaks to the media while touring the Koreatown Galleria in Los Angeles, Saturday, Oct. 29, 2005. Elected two years ago to shake up a stagnated statehouse, the Republican governor is trying out various campaign messages in the closing days of a political campaign in which he hopes to push through a slate of ballot initiatives that would weaken public employee unions and clamp down on state spending.
The San Francisco Chronicle has Schwarzenegger trolls for votes at San Diego restaurant
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger waded into a lunchtime crowd Sunday to kick off a final full week of campaigning for his four state ballot initiatives, telling customers waiting on shrimp salad and clam chowder that lawmakers have failed them.
Schwarzenegger emerged quietly, without introduction, from the kitchen of Point Loma Seafoods. For 45 minutes, he shook hands, handed out campaign booklets, signed autographs and posed for photos. There were no speeches, no loudspeakers and — unlike many of his appearances — no protests.
“Remember one thing: the Legislature couldn’t do it, so the people have to do it,” he told one customer.
“The people have done a better job than the Legislature,” he told another, his voice barely carrying in the noisy crowd.
With close races for Proposition 74 and 75 the Governor has taken the show on the road. Will it be enough?
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger speaks to members of the Persian community during a roundtable discussion in Los Angeles, Saturday, Oct. 29, 2005.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Election 2006, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: “Anyone writing Arnold’s political obituary is making a mistake” – Gray Davis
The Los Angeles Daily News has Davis: Arnold won’t lose power after election.
Even if Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s measures lose in the Nov. 8 special election, he will remain a powerhouse in California, his ousted predecessor said Friday.
Former Gov. Gray Davis, now a private attorney and a policy fellow at the University of California, Los Angeles, predicted a “split” on Schwarzenegger’s four initiatives on the ballot.
Gray Davis was an indecisive political leader who bowed down to the Union bosses who eventually destroyed his career. He has always had a keen sense of the California political winds.
However, he was stalemated by his own UNION allies, made poor political as well as governance decisions and lost it all.
Popular support has been lacking for the four Schwarzenegger-backed measures that would increase his power over the budget, change the state redistricting process, limit union political contributions and make it harder for teachers to get tenure.
But Davis dismissed Democrats and others who say a major loss next month could cripple Schwarzenegger’s chances in his campaign to retain the governor’s seat in 2006.
“Anyone writing Arnold’s political obituary is making a mistake,” said Davis, a Democrat himself. “Even if all his initiatives are voted down, he still will be a formidable force in 2006.”
Gray Davis has it RIGHT and supports Flap in saying that Schwarzenegger has already won the special election.
Davis said he thinks voters are more forgiving when it comes to losing ballot measures.
“People don’t resent you putting an initiative on the ballot, because its fate is in their hands. What they get upset about is when they have no recourse,” he said. “This election is just not going to determine the governor’s fate in 2006.”
Agreed and what about draining your union friend’s (?) coffers going into 2006 and possibly bankrupting the California Teachers Association?
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Gray Davis
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Does California Assembly Speaker Fabian Nunez Support Violence and Thuggery?
CBS Channel 2 and KCAL News Los Angeles television Channel Nine has this video clip depicting a single Schwarzenegger supporter (Genevieve Peters) struggling to hold her ground in a rally against the governor’s special election initiatives. The rally was held at Los Angeles Pershing Square yesterday. Schwarzenegger opponents tried to hit her with their signs, tried to steal her hat and some blocked news cameras as she argued her point. The crowd turns quickly, grabbing her signs and tearing them up. Even a woman wearing an orange security vest rips up the “Vote Yes†signs.†(CBS 2 News, October 28, 2005).
Check out the video clip here.
Check out the thugs as they assault Ms. Peters.
Now, California Assembly Speaker earlier had whipped up the union crowd to a frenzy. As a former union organizer shouldn’t he know better and urge restraint?
Shouldn’t he now APOLOGIZE to Ms. Peters on behalf of the UNION THUGS that control him?
Call his office and let him now how you feel! Remind the Speaker this is America and not a third world country – violence is not acceptable for political dissent.
Sacramento Office: (916) 319-2046
Los Angeles Office: (213) 620-4646
Flap knows you will be glad you did.
Thanks to The Political Teen for help with the graphics.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
Michelle Malkin has UNION THUGS UNHINGED
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Latest Public Policy Institute of California Poll Released
The PPIC Statewide Survey: Special Survey on Californians and the Initiative Process, October 2005 has ben released:
Some findings of the current survey
- 54% of likely voters consider the special election a bad idea.
- As the election approaches, none of the measures actively supported by Governor Schwarzenegger enjoys majority support among likely voters:
- Proposition 74 (teacher tenure), 46% yes, 48% no
- Proposition 75 (use of union dues), 46% yes, 46% no
- Proposition 76 (spending and funding limits), 30% yes, 62% no
- Proposition 77 (redistricting), 36% yes, 50% no
- Approval ratings of public officials among all Californians:
- Governor Schwarzenegger, 33% approve, 58% disapprove
- California Legislature, 25% approve, 56% disapprove
- President Bush, 36% approve, 60% disapprove
- U.S. Congress, 42% approve, 46% disapprove
- Senator Feinstein, 50% approve, 27% disapprove
- Senator Boxer, 48% approve, 29% disapprove
- Likely voters are very unhappy with the federal government:
- 74% have little or no confidence in the federal government to do what is right
- 69% believe that the federal government wastes a lot of tax dollars.
Flap reproduces the entire summary of the poll to point out the poll cynicism and bias. The poll is OFF.
The entire 38 page PPIC Survey is here.
Approval of Feinstein and Boxer and disapproving everything and everyone else by very wide margins……. not very credible.
Flap says place this poll in the circular file.
Stay tuned for the Field and L.A. Times polls.
November 8 election day is looming.
Stay tuned.
The ASSociated Press has Poll: Gov. Schwarzenegger’s Measures Lag.
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s “year of reform” initiatives are proving a tough sell to California voters despite a multimillion dollar advertising blitz, according to a poll released Thursday. None of his measures on the Nov. 8 ballot has majority support, and two are opposed by wide margins.
Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,079 likely voters over seven days ending Oct. 23. There was a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Governor Schwarzenegger’s Job Approval Rating:
Approve 38%
Disapprove 57%
Proposition 74 extends the probationary period for new teachers from 2 years to 5 years, and makes it easier to dismiss teachers with unsatisfactory performance evaluations.
Approve 46%
Disapprove 48%
But within the margin of error.
Proposition 75 prohibits public employee unions from using union dues for political purposes without the written consent of union members.
Approve 46%
Disapprove 46%
Again, within the margin of error.
Proposition 76 limits growth in state spending so that it does not exceed recent growth in state revenues.
Approve 30%
Disapprove 62%
Proposition 77 changes the way California draws boundaries for Congressional and legislative districts. District boundaries would be drawn by a panel of retired judges and approved by voters in a statewide election.
Approve 36%
Disapprove 50%
“All these measures are close,” he said. “There’s a considerable amount of time . . . and there will be new messages and counter-messages. I don’t feel like this election is necessarily settled.”
This poll although not favorble to the Governor is not disastrous either.
Indeed, Proposition 74 and 75 may be winning since the results are within the margin of error.
And Schwarzenegger has forced the California Teachers Association to spend $52.9 million fighting these measures – not a small chunk of change.
Stay tuned the Field Organization and Los Angeles Times will soon release their polls.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
-
Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Latest Public Policy Institute of California Poll
The ASSociated Press has Poll: Gov. Schwarzenegger’s Measures Lag.
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s “year of reform” initiatives are proving a tough sell to California voters despite a multimillion dollar advertising blitz, according to a poll released Thursday. None of his measures on the Nov. 8 ballot has majority support, and two are opposed by wide margins.
Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,079 likely voters over seven days ending Oct. 23. There was a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Governor Schwarzenegger’s Job Approval Rating:
Approve 38%
Disapprove 57%
Proposition 74 extends the probationary period for new teachers from 2 years to 5 years, and makes it easier to dismiss teachers with unsatisfactory performance evaluations.
Approve 46%
Disapprove 48%
But within the margin of error.
Proposition 75 prohibits public employee unions from using union dues for political purposes without the written consent of union members.
Approve 46%
Disapprove 46%
Again, within the margin of error.
Proposition 76 limits growth in state spending so that it does not exceed recent growth in state revenues.
Approve 30%
Disapprove 62%
Proposition 77 changes the way California draws boundaries for Congressional and legislative districts. District boundaries would be drawn by a panel of retired judges and approved by voters in a statewide election.
Approve 36%
Disapprove 50%
“All these measures are close,” he said. “There’s a considerable amount of time . . . and there will be new messages and counter-messages. I don’t feel like this election is necessarily settled.”
This poll although not favorble to the Governor is not disastrous either.
Indeed, Proposition 74 and 75 may be winning since the results are within the margin of error.
And Schwarzenegger has forced the California Teachers Association to spend $52.9 million fighting these measures – not a small chunk of change.
Stay tuned the Field Organization and Los Angeles Times will soon release their polls.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page