• Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: A Deal to Halt Uranium Enrichment?

    iraniannuclearinstallations

    There is a report out that says Iran will halt uranium enrichment if the West lifts international sanctions.

    Iran expressed readiness to freeze its uranium enrichment program in return for lifting the international sanctions imposed on it, Israel’s Channel 2 senior analyst Ehud Ya’ari revealed Thursday evening.

    He cited unnamed Western officials as the source of the new development.

    In the newly formulated deal, incentives were also reportedly discussed, including rebuilding Iran’s fleet of aircraft and aiding the country with civilian nuclear technology.

    According to the report, an initial six-week trial period would be implemented.

    It sounds to Flap that this is a “trial baloon” for “pre-negotiations” or how to do a period leading up to full-blown negotiations as discussed in this piece. However, the United States is adamant in not beginning negotiations until Iran permanently suspends uranium enrichment.

    The United States on Thursday maintained its demand that Iran suspend its uranium enrichment as a condition for Washington participating in formal nuclear talks with Tehran, although it did not rule out less strict pre-negotiations.

    “We have talked to the Iranians previously via the P5-plus-1 and Mr. Solana about various ways to get to full-blown negotiations,” State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said, referring to grouping of Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States, as well as EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana who has engaged Tehran on nuclear issues.

    “In order to get to those full-blown negotiations where you have the US and the other five members of the P5-plus-1 present at the table with the Iranians, they are going to have to suspend their enrichment-related activity.

    “And of course there would be a suspension of activities in the (UN) Security Council during that,” McCormack added.

    Asked about a formula known as “freeze for freeze” — under which Tehran would freeze its nuclear enrichment program at current levels in exchange for no new UN Security Council sanctions — the spokesman did not deny the possibility of implementing such a proposal ahead of further talks.

    But, remember this is the same stalling ploy that Iran always uses before the G-8 meetings each year. And, buying time is in Iran’s interest while the centrifuges spin at Natanz.

    The United States had better place any “pre-negotiations” on a fast track with a time certain for progress or Iran will simply wait out the process with their secret nuclear program.

    By the way, who will monitor and verify the temporary suspension of uranium enrichment?

    The IAEA?

    Previous:


    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Two Red Lines; Update: Israel is Bluffing?

    Iran Nuclear Watch: One Year to Stop Iranian NUKE

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will Play Disrupt Gulf Oil Route Card

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad – The West Could NOT Break Us

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Red Line

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Britain to Increase Iran Sanctions

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad Taunts Bush


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  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Two Red Lines; Update: Israel is Bluffing?

    *****Scroll Down for Update*****

    iraniannuclearinstallations

    Iran’s overt nuclear installations

    Senior United States military officials are concerned that Israel will soon lead an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities beofre the end of 2008.

    A senior defense official told ABC News there is an “increasing likelihood” that Israel will carry out such an attack, a move that likely would prompt Iranian retaliation against, not just Israel, but against the United States as well.

    The official identified two “red lines” that could trigger an Israeli offensive. The first is tied to when Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility produces enough highly enriched uranium to make a nuclear weapon. According to the latest U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments, that is likely to happen sometime in 2009, and could happen by the end of this year.

    “The red line is not when they get to that point, but before they get to that point,” the official said. “We are in the window of vulnerability.”

    The second red line is connected to when Iran acquires the SA-20 air defense system it is buying from Russia. The Israelis may want to strike before that system — which would make an attack much more difficult — is put in place.

    Some Pentagon officials also worry that Israel may be determined to attack before a new U.S. president, who may be less supportive, is sworn in next January.

    Well, no shit Sherlock.

    President Bush, the United Nations and the European Union haven’t done anything to stop the Iranian Mullahs from acquiring nuclear weapons. The justifications for obtaining them are already floating around the blogs – “well. Israel has nukes, why shouldn’t Iran?”

    So, Israel has a REAL concern that the mad men of Tehran could soon achieve a method for a second HOLOCAUST.

    The United States and the rest of the world economies will be crippled while Israel and the United States neuter Iran. Americans will have to sacrifice. There will be a shortage of gasoline and oil based products.

    But, not for long.

    Update:

    Is Israel’s threat to Iran a bluff?

    Israel seems content to keep Iran and the rest of the world guessing uneasily about whether and when it might attack the Islamic Republic’s nuclear facilities.

    It has done little to douse speculation stoked by a big Israeli air force exercise last month, an Israeli cabinet minister’s remark that military action was “inevitable” and a prediction by former U.S. official John Bolton that this might occur in the final weeks of President George W. Bush’s term.

    Israel is NOT going to wait around until Iran possesses Breakout Capability for their nuclear weapons program.

    Whenever the Breakout Capability is imminent or the two red lines are crossed Israel will act – alone if need be.

    By this fall?

    Possible…..

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: One Year to Stop Iranian NUKE

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will Play Disrupt Gulf Oil Route Card

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad – The West Could NOT Break Us

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Red Line

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Britain to Increase Iran Sanctions

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad Taunts Bush


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  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: One Year to Stop Iranian NUKE

    T minus one year and counting before Iran can threaten or nuclear blackmail Israel.

    A former head of Mossad has warned that Israel has 12 months in which to destroy Iran’s nuclear programme or risk coming under nuclear attack itself. He also hinted that Israel might have to act sooner if Barack Obama wins the US presidential election.

    The United States and European Union have fiddled while the uranium centrifuges have been spinning at Natanz.

    Israel will have NO choice but to bomb Iran if they do not stand down from their nuclear weapons program.

  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel,  Mohammad Ali Jaafari

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will Play Disrupt Gulf Oil Route Card

    Mohammed Ali Jaafari

    Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (R) shakes hands with General Yahya Rahim Safavi — the former chief of the Revolutionary Guards — while his newly-appointed successor General Mohammad Ali Jaafari looks on during a meeting in Tehran. Khamenei pledged that Iran will never yield to Western pressure over its nuclear program, and it would outsmart “drunken and arrogant” Western opponents in the standoff. (September 2007)

    In a shocker, Iran says if it is attacked that they will disrupt Persian Gulf Oil routes and attack neighboring states that support the attackers.

    The Revolutionary Guards said Iran would impose controls on shipping in the vital Gulf oil route if Iran was attacked and warned regional states of reprisals if they took part, a newspaper reported on Saturday.

    Fear of an escalation in the standoff between the West and Iran, the world’s fourth largest oil producer, have been one factor propping up sky-high oil prices. Crude hit a record level on international markets near $143 a barrel on Friday.

    Speculation about a possible attack on Iran because of its disputed nuclear ambitions has risen since a report this month said Israel had practiced such a strike, prompting increasingly tough talk of retaliation, if pushed, from Tehran.

    “Naturally every country under attack by an enemy uses all its capacity and opportunities to confront the enemy,” Guards commander-in-chief Mohammad Ali Jafari told Jam-e Jam newspaper in some of the toughest language Iran has used so far.

    Analysts say Iran may not match the firepower of U.S. forces but could still cause havoc in the region using unconventional tactics, such as deploying small craft to attack ships, or using allies in the area to strike at U.S. or Israeli interests.

    Well, DUH.

    Flap thought if Israel or the United States and its allies militarily attacked Iran’s nuclear sites it was tantamount to all out war with Iran. The United States would blockade Iran’s ports, destroy its gasoline refineries and destroy its navy, air force and bomb the crap out of its army.

    In the meantime, the world oil markets would be disrupted untl the United States won the war and secured the Persian Gulf from attack.

    Of course, Iran would attack Israel and United States forces in Iraq and Kuwait. Hezbollah would attack Israel from the north. Israel and the United States would unleash a firestorm of bombing of Iran that the world has never seen.

    Should Iran fire missiles into Israel, Israel would respond by bombing Iran with its nuclear arsenal and turn Tehran into a glass factory.

    So, does Iran really gain much by saber rattling. They will lose in an all out war.

    Here is what Iran can do to disrupt the Gulf but the consequences would be far more disastrous for them.


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  • George W. Bush,  Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Red Line

    A map locating Iran’s nuclear facilities. Iran has insisted any demands for it to suspend sensitive atomic activities would cross its “red line”, days after world powers submitted a new package aimed at ending the nuclear standoff.

    Shocker: Iran says NO it will NOT suspend uranium enrichment.

    Iran on Tuesday insisted any demands it should suspend sensitive atomic activities would cross its “red line”, days after world powers submitted a new package aimed at ending the nuclear standoff.

    “We have said several times that uranium enrichment is Iran’s red line and we must have this technology,” Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Reza Sheikh Attar said, quoted by the state IRNA news agency.

    Suspending uranium enrichment — which the West fears could be used to make a nuclear weapon — is the key demand in the deal offered Saturday to Tehran by EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana on behalf of world powers.

    The package offers Iran talks on a package of technological and economic incentives, so long as Tehran suspends uranium enrichment.

    As Flap has been writing about for years now. Iran WILL NOT voluntarily suspend uranium enrichment. So, the choice is clear to the West:

    1. Allow Iran to become a nuclear weapons possessing country

    2. Militarily destroy Iran’s nuclear weapon producing capacity

    3. Embargo Iran and sanction them so severely that they are “forced” to forego uranium enrichment.

    Apparently the EU and United States are not serious – even yet!

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Britain to Increase Iran Sanctions

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad Taunts Bush


  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Israel Issues Another Warning

    Deputy Prime Minister of Israel Shaul Mofaz

    Deputy Prime Minister of Israel Shaul Mofaz, seen in April, on Friday warned that Iran would face attack if it pursues what he said was its nuclear weapons program

    Another warning from Israel today re: Iran’s development of nuclear weapons.

    An Israeli deputy prime minister on Friday warned that Iran would face attack if it pursues what he said was its nuclear weapons programme.

    “If Iran continues its nuclear weapons programme, we will attack it,” said Shaul Mofaz, who is also transportation minister.

    “Other options are disappearing. The sanctions are not effective. There will be no alternative but to attack Iran in order to stop the Iranian nuclear programme,” Mofaz told the Yediot Aharonot daily.

    He stressed such an operation could only be conducted with US support.

    A former defence minister and armed forces chief of staff, Mofaz hopes to replace embattled Ehud Olmert as prime minister and at the helm of the Kadima party.

    Flap cannot help but think that the rise of Barack Obama as the Democrat Presidential nominee is driving Israel to pursuing action while George W. Bush is President. Obama is an unknown and has stated he would meet with Iran’s President Ahmadinejad without preconditions.

    In the meanime, the uranium enrichment centrifuges at Natanz continue to spin.

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The IAEA Inspectors

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Israel – Iran Could Have Nukes by 2009

    Iran “Reminded” with Deployment of USS Abraham Lincoln

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Demands Azerbaijan Deliver Russian Nuclear Shipment

    Shocker: Iran Threatens To Eliminate Israel


  • Iran,  Israel,  Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

    Ahmadinejad – Israel Will Soon Disappear

    Ahmadinejad

    Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad speaks during a press conference in Tehran. Ahmadinejad predicted that Muslims would uproot “satanic powers” and repeated his controversial belief that Israel will soon disappear.

    Said while the uranium enrichment centrifuges spin at Natanz:

    “I must announce that the Zionist regime (Israel), with a 60-year record of genocide, plunder, invasion and betrayal is about to die and will soon be erased from the geographical scene,” he said.

    “Today, the time for the fall of the satanic power of the United States has come and the countdown to the annihilation of the emperor of power and wealth has started.”

    How many statements does Ahmadinejad have to make about Israel’s annihilation before the world community understands the intent of Iran’s nuclear program?

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The IAEA Inspectors


  • Barack Obama,  Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The IAEA Inspectors

    Iran and the IAEA

    Michael Ramirez on Barack Obama and Iran

    President Bush, the European Union and the United Nations have been unable to contain Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

    But, never fear, Barack Obama WILL talk to Iran President Ahmadinejad and we will be on the rim of a golden world.

    Right.

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Israel – Iran Could Have Nukes by 2009

    Iran “Reminded” with Deployment of USS Abraham Lincoln

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Demands Azerbaijan Deliver Russian Nuclear Shipment

    Shocker: Iran Threatens To Eliminate Israel


  • Barack Obama,  Iran,  John McCain,  President 2008

    Barack Obama Fires Back at McCain Over Iran “Tiny Threat”

    John McCain Responds To Obama Saying Iran Is A “Tiny” Threat

    Earlier today Senator John McCain slammed Seantor Barack Obama over remarks Obama made about Iran being a “TINY THREAT.”

    The full text of McCain’s remarks is here along with Obama’s previous statement.

    “They might not be a superpower, but the threat the government of Iran poses is anything but ‘tiny.’…The next President ought to understand such basic realities of international relations.”

    Now, Barack Obama has fired back at McCain.

    The Illinois Senator slaps back: He speaks out against McCain’s characterization of him on his Iran policy at a town hall meeting in Billings, Montana.

    “You can vote for John McCain and nothing will change…or we can turn the page.”

    Blames “McCain-Bush policy” of invading Iraq for the growing threat of Iran. Adds “John McCain wants to double down on that failed policy.”

    Watch and listen to Obama deliver his blame Bush and McCain mantra here.

    But, what will your Iran policy be as President, Senator Obama?

    Blame Bush?

    Blame McCain?

    For the Iraq war?

    The fact is Obama has NO experience in foreign policy and he has NO Iran policy but APPEASEMENT.

    Advantage McCain.

    Previous:

    John McCain Slams Obama on Iran


  • Barack Obama,  John McCain,  President 2008

    John McCain Slams Obama on Iran

    Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., boards his chartered plane at Washington’s Ronald Reagan National Airport, Monday, May 19, 2008

    In Chicago this morning speaking before the National Restaurant Association Senator John MCCain slammed Senator Barack Obama on Iran.

    “Before I begin my prepared remarks, I want to respond briefly to a comment Senator Obama made yesterday about the threat posed to the United States by the Government of Iran. Senator Obama claimed that the threat Iran poses to our security is “tiny” compared to the threat once posed by the former Soviet Union. Obviously, Iran isn’t a superpower and doesn’t possess the military power the Soviet Union had. But that does not mean that the threat posed by Iran is insignificant. On the contrary, right now Iran provides some of the deadliest explosive devices used in Iraq to kill our soldiers. They are the chief sponsor of Shia extremists in Iraq, and terrorist organizations in the Middle East. And their President, who has called Israel a “stinking corpse,” has repeatedly made clear his government’s commitment to Israel’s destruction. Most worrying, Iran is intent on acquiring nuclear weapons. The biggest national security challenge the United States currently faces is keeping nuclear material out of the hands of terrorists. Should Iran acquire nuclear weapons, that danger would become very dire, indeed. They might not be a superpower, but the threat the Government of Iran poses is anything but “tiny.”

    “Senator Obama has declared, and repeatedly reaffirmed his intention to meet the President of Iran without any preconditions, likening it to meetings between former American Presidents and the leaders of the Soviet Union. Such a statement betrays the depth of Senator Obama’s inexperience and reckless judgment. Those are very serious deficiencies for an American president to possess. An ill conceived meeting between the President of the United States and the President of Iran, and the massive world media coverage it would attract, would increase the prestige of an implacable foe of the United States, and reinforce his confidence that Iran’s dedication to acquiring nuclear weapons, supporting terrorists and destroying the State of Israel had succeeded in winning concessions from the most powerful nation on earth. And he is unlikely to abandon the dangerous ambitions that will have given him a prominent role on the world stage.

    “This is not to suggest that the United States should not communicate with Iran our concerns about their behavior. Those communications have already occurred at an appropriate level, which the Iranians recently suspended. But a summit meeting with the President of the United States, which is what Senator Obama proposes, is the most prestigious card we have to play in international diplomacy. It is not a card to be played lightly. Summit meetings must be much more than personal get-acquainted sessions. They must be designed to advance American interests. An unconditional summit meeting with the next American president would confer both international legitimacy on the Iranian president and could strengthen him domestically when he is unpopular among the Iranian people. It is likely such a meeting would not only fail to persuade him to abandon Iran’s nuclear ambitions; its support of terrorists and commitment to Israel’s extinction, it could very well convince him that those policies are succeeding in strengthening his hold on power, and embolden him to continue his very dangerous behavior. The next President ought to understand such basic realities of international relations.”

    FACT CHECK: Yesterday Evening In Oregon, Sen. Obama Downplayed Threat Of Iran

    Senator Obama: “Strong countries and strong Presidents talk to their adversaries. That’s what Kennedy did with Khrushchev. That’s what Reagan did with Gorbachev. That’s what Nixon did with Mao. I mean think about it. Iran, Cuba, Venezuela – these countries are tiny compared to the Soviet Union. They don’t pose a serious threat to us the way the Soviet Union posed a threat to us. And yet we were willing to talk to the Soviet Union at the time when they were saying we’re going to wipe you off the planet. And ultimately that direct engagement led to a series of measures that helped prevent nuclear war, and over time allowed the kind of opening that brought down the Berlin Wall. Now, that has to be the kind of approach that we take.

    “You know, Iran, they spend one-one hundredth of what we spend on the military. If Iran ever tried to pose a serious threat to us, they wouldn’t stand a chance. And we should use that position of strength that we have to be bold enough to go ahead and listen. That doesn’t mean we agree with them on everything. We might not compromise on any issues, but at least we should find out other areas of potential common interest, and we can reduce some of the tensions that has caused us so many problems around the world.” (Sen. Barack Obama, Remarks, Pendelton, OR, 5/19/08

    McCain’s prepared remarks are here.

    About DAMN time. Finally, McCain begins to contrast the differences between himself and Obama. In foreign policy, McCain will win this debate.