• Democrats,  GOP,  U.S. Senate

    The State of the Race For 2008 – US Senate – Dems 56 GOP 42 Ties 2

    Senate-2008

    Political graphic from Electoral-Vote.Com

    The projected make-up of the United States Senate after yesterday’s elections is:

    • Democrats – 56 seats
    • Republicans – 42 seats (Georgia will possibly be going to a run-off election subsequent to posting of graphic)
    • Two seats (Oregon, Minnesota) could swing to either side (currently the GOP is winning both seats)

    The number 41 is the important one for the GOP. 41 votes gives them a filibuster so they can stop especially heinous legislation.

    However, there is talk that President Obama could offer administration positions to moderate GOP Senators, Arlene Specter, R-PA or yesterday re-elected Susan Collins, R-Maine. Democrat Governors in those states would appoint a Democrat replacement Senator and swing the balance toward the democrats.

    44 Senate seats is a much better number for the GOP and then there is the question of independent Senator Joe Lieberman, but that is another post.

    For now, Democrats have picked up five Senate seats but he Democrats fell several votes short of the 60-vote filibuster-proof Senate that they were seeking and also failed to get rid of a key Senate target: Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky:

    • Colorado
    • New Hampshire
    • New Mexico
    • North Carolina
    • Virginia

    Stay tuned as vote counting continues.


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  • Gay Marriage

    California Proposition 8 – Protect Traditional Marriage Wins 52-48%; Update: Proposition 8 Challenged in Court

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    A number of media organizations including the Associated Press and Los Angeles Times have called Yes on Proposition 8 – Protect Traditional Marriage victorious in yesterday’s California election.

    In an election otherwise full of liberal triumphs, the gay rights movement suffered a stunning defeat as California voters approved a ban on same-sex marriages that overrides a recent court decision legalizing them.

    The constitutional amendment _ widely seen as the most momentous of the nation’s 153 ballot measures _ will limit marriage to heterosexual couples, the first time such a vote has taken place in a state where gay unions are legal.

    Gay-rights activists had a rough election elsewhere as well. Ban-gay-marriage amendments were approved in Arizona and Florida, and Arkansas voters approved a measure banning unmarried couples from serving as adoptive or foster parents. Supporters made clear that gays and lesbians were their main target.

    In California, with 95 percent of precincts reporting Wednesday, the ban had 5,125,752 votes, or 52 percent, while there were 4,725,313 votes, or 48 percent, opposed.

    Similar bans had prevailed in 27 states before Tuesday’s elections, but none were in California’s situation _ with about 18,000 gay couples married since a state Supreme Court ruling in May. The state attorney general, Jerry Brown, has said those marriages will remain valid, although legal challenges are possible.

    Spending for and against the amendment reached $74 million, making it the most expensive social-issues campaign in U.S. history and the most expensive campaign this year outside the race for the White House.

    From Ron Prentice, Chairman of ProtectMarriage.com – Yes on 8:

    This is a great day for marriage. The people of California stood up for traditional marriage and reclaimed this great institution. We are gratified that voters chose to protect traditional marriage and to enshrine its importance in the state constitution. We trust that this decision will be respected by all Californians.

    The Yes on Proposition 8 campaign has been the single largest, most powerful grassroots movement in the history of American ballot initiative campaigns. We raised approximately $40 million from over 70,000 individual contributors. We recruited the active support of over 100,000 volunteers who gave tirelessly of their time and energies to our cause. We could not have won without them! These dedicated volunteers have visited millions of homes, made millions of phone calls, distributed over one million yard signs and displayed one million bumper strips. The silent majority is alive and well in California.

    Proposition 8 has always been about restoring the traditional definition of marriage. It doesn’t discriminate or take rights away from anyone. Gay and lesbian domestic partnerships will continue to enjoy the same legal rights as married spouses. Our coalition has no plans to seek any changes in that law.

    While it will take a few weeks to finish counting all the votes, Proposition 8 takes effect at midnight tonight. Just as it was before the Supreme Court’s ruling, only marriage between a man and a woman will be valid or recognized in California, regardless of when or where performed.

    This has been a hard-fought campaign on both sides. Now that the people of California have decided this issue, we hope there can be a healing among all and a continued respect for the diverse views that have been expressed during this campaign.

    The outcome of this race is being closely followed in every state in the nation, and in countries throughout the world. California’s vote in favor of traditional marriage should give the silent majority comfort that they do have a voice and can and should stand up for this precious institution in legislatures throughout the world. Marriage is between a man and a woman.

    Fox News is reporting that the City of San Francisco and a Lesbian couple in Los Angeles will be filing legal challenges to the newly passed California Constitutional amendment.

    Good luck with that but stay tuned.

    Update:

    The No on 8 campaign has not conceded but other groups are already going to court to block its enactment.

    Civil rights groups moved quickly today to challenge Proposition 8, asking the California Supreme Court to strike down the latest attempt to ban same-sex marriage across the state.

    While refusing to concede that the ballot measure has passed, gay marriage supporters nevertheless filed a petition with the state’s high court in the event the current vote holds and Proposition 8 amends the California constitution to once again outlaw marriage for gay and lesbian couples.

    Backers of the measure claimed victory Tuesday night with the initiative leading by a 52 to 48 percent margin.

    The legal challenge maintains that Proposition 8 is invalid and takes away a “fundamental right” from “just one group — lesbian and gay Californians.” The petition argues that the state constitution cannot be amended if it violates other constitutional rights.

    Flap doubts the California Supreme Court would throw out a vote of the people. But, who knows?

    Can you imagine the repercussions? One would be the likely recall of the Justices of the California Supreme Court.

    Update #2:

    As the vote counting continued this morning, opponents of Prop. 8 filed a lawsuit directly with the state Supreme Court – whose May 15 ruling legalized same-sex marriage – asking the justices to overturn the measure.

    The suit argued that Prop. 8 would change the California Constitution in such fundamental ways – taking important rights away from a minority group – that it amounted to a constitutional revision, which requires approval by the Legislature before being submitted to the voters. The case was filed by the American Civil Liberties Union, Lamda Legal and the National Center for Lesbian Rights.

    The same groups asked the court before the election to remove Prop. 8 from the ballot on those grounds. The justices refused, but left the door open for a post-election challenge.

    “A major purpose of the Constitution is to protect minorities from majorities,” said Elizabeth Gill, an ACLU lawyer. “Because changing that principle is a fundamental change to the organizing principles of the Constitution itself, only the Legislature can initiative such revisions.”

    The suit was filed on behalf of six unmarried same-sex couples and the gay rights group Equality California.

    Stay tuned…….

    Previous:

    California Proposition 8 – Protect Traditional Marriage Winning 52-48%


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  • Hannah-Beth Jackson,  Tony Strickland

    Tony Strickland and Hannah-Beth Jackson in Tight Race for California State Senate

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    Former California Assembly Members Tony Strickland and Hannah-Beth Jackson and candidates for California State Senate District 19

    Wow!

    The election yesterday settled NOTHING (Jackson leads by 108 votes with thousands yet to be counted) in the California State Senate District 19 which includes portions of Santa Barbara, Ventura and Los Angeles Counties.

    Timm Herdt of the Ventura County Star has the poop and the numbers.

    • Elections officials have processed and counted mail-in ballots that were delivered in the mail through last Friday. All ballots that were delivered via mail on Saturday, Monday and yesterday have not been counted. To these, add all the mail-in ballots that were dropped off at voting precincts yesterday. Finally, add all provisional ballots that were cast. These are the votes that will now determine the outcome.
    • Provisional ballots are cast by voters who showed up at the polls and, for some reason or another, weren’t on the rolls. Ventura County Clerk-Recorder Philip Schmit told me last night that there was an unusually high number of provisional ballots cast yesterday.
    • The tallying of the outstanding ballots won’t begin until tomorrow or Friday at the earliest, Schmit said. The process could take two weeks.
    • California law requires an automatic recount of 10 percent of the ballots in any contest in which the outcome is within half a percentage point. If the contest remains within that margin after the first 10 percent of ballots are recounted, then another 10 percent are recounted, and so on.

    Ventura County is where Tony Strickland is strong and many GOP voters vote by mail.

    Stay tuned but Flap thinks this race albeit tight today will ultimately go to Republican Tony Strickland.


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  • Elton Gallegly

    Elton Gallegly Re-Elected to Congress in California’s 24 District

    elton-gallegly-and-janice

    GOP Representative Elton Gallegly and wife, Janice

    In a Democrat year, where Barack Obama won California by over 20 points, Republican Representative Elton Gallegly has won re-election to California’s 24th Congressional District.

    Rep. Elton Gallegly, R-Simi Valley, beat challenger Marta Jorgensen, a Democrat from Solvang, for the 24th Congressional District seat.

    Gallegly has represented the district — which includes part of Santa Barbara County most of Ventura County, except for the coastal areas of Oxnard and Ventura — since 1986. Jorgensen won the right to oppose him with her surprise victory in a three-candidate Democratic primary. With 100 percent of the precincts counted, Gallegly had 57 percent to Jorgensen’s 43 percent.

    Congrats to Elton for his election victory. As my Congressman, Flap has always been pleased with the outstanding representation Gallegly has given all of his constituents.


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  • Barack Obama,  President 2008

    The State of the Race For 2008 – Obama Wins Presidency

    State-of-the-race-7-AM
    Political graphic from Electoral-Vote.Com

    Senator Barack Obama of Illinois was elected 44th President of the United States in yesterday’s election. For complete state by state election results go over to Electoral-Vote.Com and place your cursor on each state.

    Democrat state pickups from the 2004 Presidential election are:

    • Colorado 53-45 (Obama-McCain)
    • Florida 51-49
    • Indiana 50-49
    • Nevada 56-42
    • New Mexico 57-42
    • North Carolina 50-49
    • Ohio 51-48
    • Virginia 52-48

    The final Electoral College Vote will be: Obama 364 – McCain 163  – Missouri’s 11 EV’s undecided


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  • Gay Marriage

    California Proposition 8 – Protect Traditional Marriage Winning 52-48%

    With over 92 per cent of California precincts reporting:

    prop-8-results-6-am

    California Proposition 8 is passing 52-48 per cent

    California election results for Proposition 8 are here and the map is here.

    It looks like California voters are restoring the traditional definition of marriage of a man and woman by changing the California Constitution.

    Yes on 8 proponents declared victory late last night.

    Stay tuned as more results become available.

    Update 8: 20 AM:

    The California Secretary of State’s website has obviously crashed. A link to the Proposition 8 results is here.

    As of 95.8% of precincts reporting:

    • Yes – 5,195,136 – 52.1% 
    • No – 4,779,297  – 47.9%

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  • Day By Day

    Day By Day by Chris Muir November 5, 2008 – Family Politics

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    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    Barack Obama will be the 44th President of the United States.

    Congratulations to him and his family.

    Flap will have more on the Presidential elections in subsequent posts.

    ++++++++++

    In Flap’s family politics, the Presidential election day has special significance because it is the anniversary of Flap and Mrs. Flap’s first date. We celebrate it every four years by returning to Universal City City Walk and the Hard Rock Cafe.

    Yes, the Nachos are still excellent along with the music.

    Election night posting was light but within Flap’s family politics that is how it will always be.

    Previous:

    The Day By Day Archive


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  • Del.icio.us Links

    links for 2008-11-05

    • I talked to one of my McCain guys a little while ago. He didn't have any data, but he said, "based just on the anecdotal evidence, we feel good about who is showing up to vote and in what numbers."

      Yup, strictly on anexdotal evidence, it seems like the Republican base is turning out. That doesn't mean McCain is going to win, or even that it will be close. But if the Democrats turn out (a safe bet) and the split among independents is reasonably close, it would be tough for it to be a blowout. But then again, maybe the independents will break more heavily for Obama.
      +++++++
      Perhaps

      (tags: mccain)
    • This morning several individuals from the local Conejo Valley School Administration in Thousand Oaks, CA, destroyed the giant proposition 8 sign that was placed on the public easement adjacent to the school property. The easement, originally owned by the school administration was given to Edison power company because of the power lines in the area. Edison gave local residents permission to use the easement for their personal use.
      +++++++
      CVUSD – All Left all of the time.
      (tags: gaymarriage)
    • Disgusting, anti-LDS (Mormon) Church video in support of gay marriage.
      +++++++
      Now, this is intolerance.
      (tags: gaymarriage)
    • Capitol Alert set out to get all the potential candidates for governor of California in 2010 to declare their positions on the 2008 statewide ballot measures.
      +++++++
      Tomorrow the race for 2010 starts.