President 2012 New Mexico Poll Watch: New Mexico SAFE for Obama
I don’t think you will see too much GOP Presidential campaigning in New Mexico this next year. The latest PPP Presidential poll is just out.
New Mexico was one of Barack Obama’s most surprising states in 2008- not that he won it, but that he won it by such a wide 15 point margin after George W. Bush had taken it in 2004. Obama remains popular in the state and if he had to stand for reelection today he’d take it by a similar amount to his previous victory.
Obama’s approval rating with New Mexicans is 55% with 40% of voters disapproving of him. Most noteworthy are his very strong numbers with independents, 60% of whom are happy with the job he’s doing to 32% who dissent.
Obama Vs. GOP Nominee:
- Obama – 53% Vs. Romney – 37%
- Obama – 55% Vs. Huckabee – 36%
- Obama – 56% Vs. Gingrich – 35%
- Obama – 62% Vs. Palin – 33%
GOP Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:
- Huckabee – 34% Vs. 46%
- Romney – 33% Vs. 45%
- Gingrich – 25% Vs. 56%
- Palin – 31% Vs. 64%
The GOP had better hope for an Obama collapse or a miracle candidate to be competitive in New Mexico. With the large Hispanic population in the state which will deliver anywhere from a 35-52 point margin for Obama, the GOP will best ignore New Mexico in 2012.