• American Economy,  Polling

    Poll Watch: 55% Say the United States is in Recession or Depression



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    More than half of Americans (55%) describe the U.S. economy as being in a recession or depression, even as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reports that “the economic recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace.” Another 16% of Americans say the economy is “slowing down,” and 27% believe it is growing.

    This poll is better than September 2008 which was the height of the financial melt down, but still higher than 6 months earlier. Most Californians I speak to perceive the economy continuing in recession.

    What are the implications?

    Although economists announced that the recession ended in mid-2009, more than half of Americans still don’t agree. These ratings are consistent with Gallup’s mid-April findings that 47% of Americans rate the economy “poor” and 19.2% report being underemployed.

    It also seems likely that most Americans would not agree with the FOMC’s assessment of the current economic recovery. Nor does it seem likely that — given surging gas and food prices — most would agree with the Committee that “longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and measures of underlying inflation are subdued.”

    Although the FOMC seems to perceive current economic conditions differently than most Americans, it does say it needs to “promote a stronger pace of economic recovery” by continuing its aggressive monetary policy, often referred to as “quantitative easing,” through June. On the other hand, in the press conference after the FOMC’s April meeting — the first ever by a Fed chairman — Ben Bernanke said that, “the trade-offs are getting less attractive at this point,” meaning it is getting harder to aggressively add liquidity to stimulate stronger economic growth while avoiding inflation.

    In another possible disconnect with monetary policymakers, many Americans may not see the trade-off Bernanke suggests between promoting a stronger economy and experiencing higher inflation. Right now, prices are soaring, yet the latest Gallup Daily tracking data show that 67% of Americans say the economy is “getting worse.”

    So, is the predicted inflation the answer?

    Doubtful – as some Americans continue to remember the days of Jimmy Carter.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th through April 28th

    These are my links for April 27th through April 28th:

  • Barack Obama,  Day By Day

    Day By Day April 28, 2011 – Shiny

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    I am glad the entire “BIRTHER” question has been put to rest.

    Did President Obama obtain an advantage over the flap? Maybe yes or maybe no.

    But, the issue has NOT hurt the GOP Presidential candidates and it is very early in the race for 2012.

    Now Obama will have to answer to Americans about his failure as a political leader and this will not be defined by the Hawaii Hall of Records.

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    The Day By Day Archive

  • Abortion,  Mitch Daniels,  President 2012

    President 2012: Abortion Bill Key to Mitch Daniels Run for Presidency?

    Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, left, and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice watch the first half of a women’s NCAA Final Four semifinal college basketball game between Texas A&M and Stanford in Indianapolis, Sunday, April 3, 2011

    Apparently so.

    The Indiana House of Representatives voted 66-32 on Wednesday to approve a controversial bill tightening the state’s abortion restrictions and cutting off funding to Planned Parenthood, which now awaits the signature of Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), a potential presidential candidate who has yet to comment publicly on the politically sensitive legislation.

    Daniels has seven days to take action on the bill, and has three options once it arrives on his desk: 1) Sign the bill into law; 2) Veto the bill; 3) Do nothing, and allow the bill to become law after seven days without taking a stance.

    Daniels’ decision on signing the bill will likely provide the clearest indication yet of which way he’s leaning on a presidential bid. If he signs it, Daniels can proudly tout two blockbuster legislative achievements — the abortion bill, along with his recently passed landmark education reform bill — and enter the Republican primary with two significant ideological victories under his belt, providing him an incredible running start in the slow-developing contest.

    If he vetoes the bill, Daniels effectively confirms the suspicions of social conservatives who cringe at the idea of compromising on sensitive issues like abortion — and in doing so, provides the strongest indication yet that he’s putting state governance over presidential politics.

    The legislation would introduce some of the nation’s strictest anti-abortion laws to the Hoosier State, including a provision that outlaws abortions performed after the fetus reaches 20 weeks — four weeks earlier than under current state law. Indiana would join Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma as the only states that outlaw abortions after 20 weeks.

    A potential sticking point for Daniels, however, is the recent inclusion of a provision that cuts off funding for Planned Parenthood, the non-profit agency that provides reproductive health services to millions of women, including many of the state’s Medicaid patients. Roughly half of Indiana births are covered by Medicaid, and Planned Parenthood’s 28 state offices performed more than 5,500 abortions last year alone. Here’s where it gets tricky for Daniels: due to federal statutes that prohibit states from selectively allocating funds to agencies that serve Medicaid recipients, the measure could cost Indiana millions of federal Medicaid dollars if it becomes law.

    Yet despite internal Republican concerns over the Planned Parenthood provision, which was tacked on by the state Senate and approved by the bill’s author, state Rep. Eric Turner (R), the bill passed on Wednesday with only slightly less support than last month, when the original version was approved by a 72-23 vote. The fight is far from over, however, as Planned Parenthood has indicated that it will seek an immediate injunction if and when the bill becomes law.

    The bill provides a unique opportunity for Daniels, who will announce his presidential decision after the legislative session ends on Friday, to prove his social bona fides in the eyes of conservative voters who have viewed him with suspicion since he famously called for a “truce” on social issues in order to address the country’s fiscal crisis.

    My bet is that Daniels signs the bill AND runs for the Presidency.

    Of course, if Daniels vetoes the bill, his Presidential days are over and as a political director for Ronald Reagan’s White House, he knows the political calculus in Iowa and South Carolina.

    But, Mitch has been pro-life throughout his career, so he could sign the legislation and then not run for the White House anyway.

    Stay tuned as a lot is happening in the GOP Presidential field in the next week.

  • Twitter

    @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-04-28

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  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42

    These are my links for April 27th from 16:42 to 20:03:

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42

    These are my links for April 27th from 16:42 to 20:03:

  • Michael Pfleger

    Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger

    Chicago Catholic pastor Dr. Rev. Michael Pfleger, speaking Sunday at Trinity United Church of Christ: Hillary thinks “I’m white I’m entitled”

    Good riddance.

    Citing what he called threats from the Rev. Michael Pfleger to leave the church, Cardinal Francis George has removed the outspoken priest from St. Sabina parish and has suspended his “sacramental faculties as a priest.”

    Pfleger had publicly feuded with the cardinal about possibly being reassigned to Leo High School, telling a radio show recently that he would look outside the Catholic church if offered no other choice.

    “If that is truly your attitude, you have already left the Catholic Church and are therefore not able to pastor a Catholic parish,” George wrote in a letter dated today.

    “A Catholic priest’s inner life is governed by his promises, motivated by faith and love, to live chastely as a celibate man and to obey his bishop,” the cardinal continued. “Breaking either promise destroys his vocation and wounds the Church.

    “Many love and admire you because of your dedication to your people,” the cardinal wrote. “Now, however, I am asking you to take a few weeks to pray over your priestly commitments in order to come to mutual agreement on how you understand personally the obligations that make you a member of the Chicago presbyterate and of the Catholic Church.

    “With this letter, your ministry as pastor of Saint Sabina Parish and your sacramental faculties as a priest of the Archdiocese are suspended.”

    The cardinal ended the letter by saying, “This conflict is not between you and me; it’s between you and the Church that ordained you a priest, between you and the faith that introduced you to Christ and gives you the right to preach and pastor in his name. If you now formally leave the Catholic Church and her priesthood, it’s your choice and no one else’s. You are not a victim of anyone or anything other than your own statements.”

    Father Pfleger thought he was bigger than the CHURCH.

    Wrong….

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01

    These are my links for April 27th from 16:01 to 16:13:

    • Happy birth certificate, Mr. President – Behold the damage Donald Trump hath wrought. Every credible fact check has established that Barack Obama was born in this country. Yet on Wednesday, a reality TV show ringmaster forced the president of the United States to prove it.

      By asking why President Obama had not released his long-form birth certificate on numerous so-called news shows, Trump had even sensible people theorizing as to why the White House had not released the document. Was there something damning about the president's religion? His race? His parentage?

      My theory was simpler. In 2008, Obama released a certificate of live birth.

      Why did he wait until Wednesday to release the long form, which birth-deniers demanded? Easy. Who doesn't like watching their political enemies look like complete dolts? Obamaland no doubt felt a warm rush of satisfaction every time some nutjob right-winger put forth a contorted theory about the president's 18-year-old mother running off to a Third World delivery room to give birth and then, "Manchurian Candidate"-like, falsifying the paperwork. The debate debased conservative opposition.

      ======

      Dolts is a kind term for the birthers.

      But, Obama should have waited just a little longer for more of an advantage.

    • President 2012: Huckabee camp shoots down rumor he won’t run in 2012 – Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee's camp is refuting a South Carolina blogger who suggested Wednesday that Huckabee told consultants in the state he wouldn't run for president next year.

      Speculation Huckabee was opting out of a 2012 bid spread after Red State's Erick Erickson tweeted a link to the blog post, along with the declaration, "Mike Huckabee is out. He won't be running for president."

      HuckPAC Executive Director Hogan Gidley dismissed it as "unfounded speculation" in a statement, insisting that no final decision has been made.

      "National polling consistently shows Governor Huckabee is the frontrunner – so we expect a certain amount of unfounded speculation, odd rumors, and sadly, the occasional lie lobbed our way," Gidley said. "But the Governor himself has been quite clear on this matter. He has truthfully and repeatedly stated that he is seriously considering a run for President but he won’t make that decision until this summer – and that has not changed."

      ======

      Huck is continuing to fund raise in California for Huck Pac, if that means anything.

      I think he runs…..