Barack Obama took the Silver State by 12 points in his first run. But if he had to stand for reelection today he’d be in a very competitive race against Romney, leading only 47-46 in the state. Pit him against any of the other Republicans there though and the numbers look pretty similar to last time- 9 point advantages over Herman Cain and Rick Perry at 48-39 and 49-40 respectively, a 10 point lead over Michele Bachmann at 50-40, and a 12 point advantage over Sarah Palin at 51-39.
Similarly, Romney does well in the other key battleground states that PPP has been polling.
- Pennsylvania, where Obama is tied with Romney but leads all other Republicans by at least 7 points.
- New Hampshire, where Romney leads Obama by 2 points but all other Republicans trails Obama by at least 7.
- Virginia, where Obama leads Romney by 4 but has at least a 9 point advantage over all the rest of the GOP hopefuls.
- Michigan, where Obama has a 5 point advantage over Romney but at least a 15 point lead over everyone else.
- North Carolina, where the disparity between Romney and the rest of the Republicans isn’t quite as great. Obama and Romney are tied while Obama leads all the others by at least 3 points
Mitt Romney has a huge advantage with the LDS (Mormon) population in Nevada. This is why he will more than likely sweep the Nevada GOP caucuses. To cement the deal though, Mitt will likely have to choose a sympatico running mate. Texas Governor Rick Perry or Florida Senator Marco Rubio will fit that bill nicely.
Obama’s approval numbers are actually on the rise a little bit in Nevada from where they were when PPP last polled the state in late October. Then 45% approved of him to 52% disapproving. Now it’s 47% approving to 50% disapproving. He’s actually on positive ground with independents at 52/45 but he’s under water overall because Republicans (89% disapproval) dislike him a whole lot more at this point than Democrats (79%) do like him.