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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: California Teachers Association ROPE-A-DOPE
On Flap previously, California Special Election Watch: It is the TURNOUT Stupid
George Skelton, Sacramento Leftie columnist from the Los Angeles Times is FINALLY getting it.
The public employee unions have been saturating the California television airwaves and cable with ads – spending tens of millions of dollars exacted from union member’s paychecks.
In the meantime, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has conserved his resources for targeted media in Republican base areas. His message focusing on conservative evangelical households which will turn out to vote for Proposition 73.
Four weeks to go before November 8 election day.
Schwarzenegger has Rope-A-Doped the Unions.
Will he win?
Dan Weintraub of the Sacramento Bee gives further evidence, CTA seeking $40 million loan.
A sworn declaration in a lawsuit over the CTA’s recent members’ dues surcharge says the union already has spent the entire amount it expected to generate over three years from the $60 fee to fight the governor’s initiatives and is negotiating for a $40 million line of credit. You can read the affidavit here.
More Rope-A-Dope…….
Will the Governor score a knock-out when all of the California Teachers realize their union bosses have spent all of their money and want to borrow more?
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 73
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: It is the TURNOUT Stupid
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger speaks about proposition 76, a state spending cap measure, from an empty parking structure Monday, Oct. 3, 2005, at the Sherman Oaks Galleria on a campaign stop in Los Angeles.
George Skelton, Sacramento Leftie columnist from the Los Angeles Times is FINALLY getting it.
The public employee unions have been saturating the California television airwaves and cable with ads – spending tens of millions of dollars exacted from union member’s paychecks.
In the meantime, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has conserved his resources for targeted media in Republican base areas. His message focusing on conservative evangelical households which will turn out to vote for Proposition 73.
Four weeks to go before November 8 election day.
Schwarzenegger has Rope-A-Doped the Unions.
Will he win?
Schwarzengger has already won.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 73
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: McCain to Campaign for Schwarzenegger on Monday
Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz, is shown in New York on Sept. 2, 2004. McCain and California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger will campaign together Monday, Oct. 10, 2005, for the measures Schwarzenegger is promoting on the Nov. 8 ballot, according to Schwarzenegger campaign spokesman Todd Harris.
The ASSociated Press has Schwarzenegger enlists McCain to promote his reform agenda.
To help promote his “year of reform” ballot initiatives, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has turned to one of the best known political reformers on the national stage – Arizona Sen. John McCain.
The Republicans will campaign together Monday for the measures Schwarzenegger is promoting on the Nov. 8 ballot, Schwarzenegger campaign spokesman Todd Harris said. McCain has endorsed the four initiatives favored by the governor, which would curb the power of the Democrat-controlled Legislature and their allied public employee unions.
“John McCain is known for two things – one is being a reformer, and the other is being a straight talker,” Harris said. “We think Sen. McCain’s endorsement of the governor’s reform agenda will send a signal loud and clear to all Californians that these reforms are the real deal.”
Previously on Flap: Robert Novak Watch: McCain Willing to Campaign for Proposition 75 Paycheck Protection Initiative.
A Win-Win for both politicians.
Schwarzenegger’s reform agenda gains some credibility and McCain gains access to the California GOP for his 2008 Presidential campaign.
Stay tuned.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, John McCain
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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California Special Election Watch: Schwarzenegger Asks Television Stations to Pull Proposition 74 Ads
The ASSociated Press has Governor’s campaign asks stations to pull anti-74 ads.
Television commercials released this week by the California Teachers Association ask voters to reject Proposition 74, the teacher tenure initiative promoted by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Proposition 74 would increase the probationary period for new teachers from two years to five. It also would change the way districts can remove veteran teachers. Those with permanent status could be fired after two consecutive poor evaluations.
On Flap previously, California Special Election Watch: New Television Ads = “The Big Lieâ€
Watch the new No on 74 commercial “Record.”
Watch the new No on 74 commercial “Stop Playing.”
Let’s look at the “Big Lie (s)”
Commercial #1
Teacher: Governor, you’ve already broken your promises on education. Now you’re sponsoring Proposition 74, a ballot measure that allows one principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing. While doing nothing to improve teacher training.
Parent: Parents like me are voting no on Prop 74 to send the Governor a message: Stop playing politics with our schools. And get to work on smaller class sizes, up-to-date textbooks, and restoring music and art classes—the things our kids really need.
Proposition 74 official title and summary is here.
• Increases length of time required before a teacher may become a permanent employee from two
complete consecutive school years to fi ve complete consecutive school years.
• Measure applies to teachers whose probationary period commenced during or after the 2003–2004
fiscal year.
• Modifies the process by which school boards can dismiss a permanent teaching employee who receives
two consecutive unsatisfactory performance evaluations.LIE: Proposition 74 does not allow one principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing.
Current California law gives a school district the right to terminate a probationary teacher already. Proposition 74 will lengthen the probationary period from two to five years.
Commercial #2
NARRATOR:
Before taking Governor Schwarzenegger’s word that his Prop 74 is good for schools…… look at his record:
Schwarzenegger borrowed two billion from our schools and broke his promise to pay it back.
He wants to reduce school funding by another four billion and give himself the power to make more cuts without consulting anyone else.
Now his Prop 74 allows a principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing.Prop 74. Another bad Schwarzenegger idea that hurts our schools.
LIE: Proposition 74 DOES NOT allow a principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing. The principal can recommend the school board do that now to a probationary teacher.
LIE: Governor Schwarzenegger has actually budgeted increased funding for California Schools to the tune of $3 Billion.
Flap is looking forward to Governor Schwarzenegger’s reply.
Well, the Governor has replied and is demanding these LIES be removed from TV-Land.
A letter written by attorneys for the campaign asked stations to pull the plug on the ads.
“We encourage you to exercise your rights under the Federal Communications Act by requiring the No on Proposition 74 Committee to validate the claims made in its advertisement. We believe they will not be able to,” the letter said.
The Sacramento Bee has Ad Watch: Spot targets teacher tenure plan.It is doubtful that the televison stations will turn down the advertising revenue, but the word is getting out about the LIES promulgated by the Leftie public employee unions, like the California Teachers Association.
Stay tuned.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, California Teachers Association
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Antonio Villaraigosa Denounces Arnold Schwarzenegger’s Reform Initiatives
BTW Flap has seen NO change in Los Angeles in the last 100 days…….how do you spell ineffective?
Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 77, Proposition 76, Proposition 75, Proposition 74
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, Liberal Morons, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: New Television Ads = “The Big Lie”
The Alliance for a Better California has “No on Prop 74†Campaign Releases Two New Television Ads.
Today the “No on Prop 74†campaign released two new television commercials airing statewide to outline the Governor’s continued broken promises and how his initiative will devastate public schools and drive teachers out of the profession.
“It is essential that voters understand just how devastating Prop. 74 really is to our public schools,” said Barbara E. Kerr, president of the California Teachers Association. “At a time when our state will need 100,000 new teachers over the next 10 years, this Governor is working to blame teachers for the problems in our schools and drive both new and experienced teachers out of the profession.”
Watch the new No on 74 commercial “Record.”
Watch the new No on 74 commercial “Stop Playing.”
Let’s look at the “Big Lie (s)”
Commercial #1
Teacher: Governor, you’ve already broken your promises on education. Now you’re sponsoring Proposition 74, a ballot measure that allows one principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing. While doing nothing to improve teacher training.
Parent: Parents like me are voting no on Prop 74 to send the Governor a message: Stop playing politics with our schools. And get to work on smaller class sizes, up-to-date textbooks, and restoring music and art classes—the things our kids really need.
Proposition 74 official title and summary is here.
• Increases length of time required before a teacher may become a permanent employee from two
complete consecutive school years to fi ve complete consecutive school years.
• Measure applies to teachers whose probationary period commenced during or after the 2003–2004
fiscal year.
• Modifies the process by which school boards can dismiss a permanent teaching employee who receives
two consecutive unsatisfactory performance evaluations.LIE: Proposition 74 does not allow one principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing.
Current California law gives a school district the right to terminate a probationary teacher already. Proposition 74 will lengthen the probationary period from two to five years.
Commercial #2
NARRATOR:
Before taking Governor Schwarzenegger’s word that his Prop 74 is good for schools…… look at his record:
Schwarzenegger borrowed two billion from our schools and broke his promise to pay it back.
He wants to reduce school funding by another four billion and give himself the power to make more cuts without consulting anyone else.
Now his Prop 74 allows a principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing.Prop 74. Another bad Schwarzenegger idea that hurts our schools.
LIE: Proposition 74 DOES NOT allow a principal to fire a teacher without giving a reason – or even a hearing. The principal can recommend the school board do that now to a probationary teacher.
LIE: Governor Schwarzenegger has actually budgeted increased funding for California Schools to the tune of $3 Billion.
Flap is looking forward to Governor Schwarzenegger’s reply.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: New Poll Results
A new California Special Election Poll has been released by SurveyUSA.
Data Collected: 09/30/2005 – 10/02/2005
Release Date: 10/03/2005 12:25 PM ET
Sponsoring News Organizations: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San FranciscoAnalysis: In an election today, 10/3/05, 36 days to the 11/8/05 vote, California voters approve Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76 and Proposition 77, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll of 532 likely voters. Proposition 74, on teacher tenure, passes today by 11 points, 55% to 44%. Propositions 73, 75, 76, and 77 all pass by at least 20 points. Republicans support all 5 Propositions by at least a 57-point margin. Democrats oppose all 5 Propositions by at least a 10-point margin. Support for all 5 measures is strongly tied to approval of Governor Schwarzenegger. Those who approve of the job the Governor is doing, vote overwhelming “Yes” on all 5 Propositions. Those who disapprove of the job the Governor is doing oppose all 5 Propositions. Interest in ballot measures intensifies as the election approaches and ad dollars are spent to influence voters. These numbers can and should be expected to fluctuate, perhaps significantly.
Summary:
59% Yes
39% No
2% Undecided55% Yes
44% No
2% Undecided60% Yes
37% No
3% Undecided58% Yes
36% No
6% Undecided59% Yes
36% No
5% UndecidedAn interesting result.
Contrast this poll with the latest PPIC poll.
Thirty days from election day…….let the media campaign begin.
Has anyone done an analysis as to who will actually bother to go to the polls and vote?
Update #1
Dan Weintraub of the Sacramento Bee has his take on the poll, Poll shows gov’s measures ahead.
The Schwarzenegger camp is touting the first public poll to show the governor’s initiatives leading. You can find it here. It’s a SurveyUSA poll done for some California television stations. The firm’s polls have taken flak in the past because they use recorded voices to question voters. But they do have a decent track record. One thing unique about this particular poll is that it uses very short, simple (but accurate) questions on the ballot measures instead of the more legalistic ballot language preferred by the established California public polls, like Field and PPIC. The biggest difference between this poll’s results and earlier public polls is that this one shows independents siding with Schwarzenegger rather than against him.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79, Proposition 80, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Latest Public Policy Institute of California Poll
The Public Plicy Institute of California has its latest poll, PPIC Statewide Survey: Special Survey on Californians and the Initiative Process, September 2005.
The poll numbers are not favorable for California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. However, the poll was conducted prior to the beginning Governor’s television campaign and did not poll on proposition 75, the Paycheck Protection Initiative.
Ok, here are the numbers:
* Proposition 74 (teacher tenure), 43% yes, 47% no
* Proposition 76 (spending and funding limits), 26% yes, 63% no
* Proposition 77 (redistricting), 33% yes, 50% no
* Proposition 78 (prescription drug discounts), 43% yes, 38% no
* Proposition 79 (prescription drug discounts), 34% yes, 40% no
The Governor’s personal poll numbers are unfavorable as well:
Currently, 33 percent of Californians approve and 58 percent disapprove of the way Governor Schwarzenegger is handling his job as governor. His ratings today are similar to those of the state legislature (32% approve, 53% disapprove). Fewer Californians today than one year ago say the governor is doing an excellent or good job working for their best interests (from 46% to 28%). Likely voters are slightly more supportive of the governor than are Californians generally: 38 percent approve of his performance in office, while 55 percent disapprove. His ratings were virtually
unchanged before and after he announced his reelection plans on September 16th.Flap believes the Governor can turn these numbers around with more media exposure – meaning television. The public employee unions have spent tens of millions of dollars and the Governor was late in raising and matching media dollars.
Time is fleeting for the Governor and the television spots need to be increased in frequency.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Election 2006, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Why Schwarzenegger Has Already Won the Election II
Robert Sallady of the Los Angeles Times has Initiative Drive Puts ’06 Governor’s Race in Gear.
Schwarzenegger has called a special election for this November, not next year when he is up for reelection. That has added heat at a time when politicians traditionally would be trying in vain to get attention while also quietly filling their war chests.
The special election has allowed Schwarzenegger and his chief rivals to piggyback on the tens of millions of dollars being collected for the Nov. 8 initiative fight, promoting themselves along the way. It will allow Schwarzenegger to appear in more TV ads than he might otherwise.
“It allows him to kick-start his reform package but also his gubernatorial campaign — by being very present in the voters’ minds and constantly dominating the airwaves,” said Kathay Feng, executive director of California Common Cause.
The MSM is finally GETTING IT. Maybe……..
Flap has been writing that the Governor has already WON the November Special Election for months.
Dan Weintraub of the Sacramento Bee agrees.
But, Sallady misses the point by dwelling on how November initiative losses will aid Democrat Governor hopefuls California State Treasurer Phil Angelides and California Controller Steve Westly.
The California public employee unions will be drained dry with the November special election media buys and they risk alienating more of their members with increasing dues assessments to fund more television. Whether these unions can spend enough to promote their gubernatorial candidates and defend against other elecion year initiatives is doubtful.
In the meantime, Arnold will be on the airwaves every day for the next six weeks promoting a REFORM agenda (Propositions 74, 75, 76, 77) and fulfilling his promises to the voters made during the recall election.
The Governor has WON.
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page
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Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Special Election 2005
California Special Election Watch: Schwarzenegger’s Media Campaign Begins
California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has begn his long-waited media advertising campaign. The television ads can be seen at the Governor’s Join Arnold website.
Gov. Schwarzenegger has launched his first salvo of television advertising in the November Special Election. The first spot, titled “Package,†features California voters fed up with Sacramento’s broken system. The second commercial, titled “Rebuild†features the Governor speaking to the people explaining his vision for California and the need to reform California this year so we can rebuild California next year.
“The big government union bosses have focused their millions of dollars tearing me down because they know they cannot defeat my ideas,†said Gov. Schwarzenegger. “Now is the time to fight for reform. We have the opportunity to put our reform agenda in front of the people so they can vote for change and against the status quo that has paralyzed and broken Sacramento.â€
Union bosses have raised more than $75 million this year in their fight to preserve the status quo and block the Governor’s reforms, spending tens of millions already on bogus attack ads against the Governor.
The two 30-second spots will hit the air in the next 24 hours.
FINALLY!
Technorati Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California Recovery Team, California Special Election, Bear Flag League, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77
Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page