• Joe Biden,  President 2012

    Updated: Americans Have Mixed Views of Vice President Joe Biden But Swing State Voters Disapprove


    Update:

    Swing states show dim view of Biden

    Joe Biden may not be much help to Barack Obama in key swing states this fall.

    In a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll, Americans split on whether they like or dislike the vice president – 42% said they had a favorable opinion, 45% said unfavorable – but the numbers are worse in key swing states.

    In the 12 swing states likely to determine the outcome of the presidential election, only 40% of registered voters view Biden favorably, while 54% view him unfavorably. These numbers are worse than President Obama’s who is seen favorably by 50% of registered voters in those same states and unfavorably by 49%.

    The 12 swing states in the poll are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. These states are all considered too close to call for the November election.

    According to the latest Gallup Poll on Vice President Joe Biden

    Americans are about equally likely to have a favorable (42%) as an unfavorable (45%) view of Joe Biden, which has been the case for most of his tenure as U.S. vice president. Americans were much more positive than negative toward Biden from the time he was chosen as Barack Obama’s running mate through the first several months of the Obama administration.

    The May 10-13 USA Today/Gallup poll marks the first time opinions of Biden have tilted negative since he became Obama’s vice presidential pick, but they are not materially different from the closely divided but still net positive ratings of Biden from October 2009-March 2011.

    The current poll was conducted after Biden’s comments in favor of same-sex marriage on “Meet the Press” on Sunday, May 6 — comments that led to President Obama’s announcement that he too supported legalized same-sex marriage. The poll suggests those comments did not have a dramatic effect on how Americans view Biden.

    Biden’s favorable rating peaked at 59% immediately after the 2008 election. His current 45% unfavorable rating is his highest so far, though his unfavorable ratings have been at least 40% since October 2009.

    Should President Obama begin to sink further in the polls, watch Joe Biden switch places with Hillary Clinton and become Secretary of State.

    Hillary Clinton is much more popular than Biden, but the Vice President is popular among Obama’s Democratic base. Here is the breakdown by political party:

  • Joe Biden,  President 2012

    Americans Have Mixed Views of Vice President Joe Biden

    According to the latest Gallup Poll on Vice President Joe Biden.

    Americans are about equally likely to have a favorable (42%) as an unfavorable (45%) view of Joe Biden, which has been the case for most of his tenure as U.S. vice president. Americans were much more positive than negative toward Biden from the time he was chosen as Barack Obama’s running mate through the first several months of the Obama administration.

    The May 10-13 USA Today/Gallup poll marks the first time opinions of Biden have tilted negative since he became Obama’s vice presidential pick, but they are not materially different from the closely divided but still net positive ratings of Biden from October 2009-March 2011. The current poll was conducted after Biden’s comments in favor of same-sex marriage on “Meet the Press” on Sunday, May 6 — comments that led to President Obama’s announcement that he too supported legalized same-sex marriage. The poll suggests those comments did not have a dramatic effect on how Americans view Biden.

    Biden’s favorable rating peaked at 59% immediately after the 2008 election. His current 45% unfavorable rating is his highest so far, though his unfavorable ratings have been at least 40% since October 2009.

    Should President Obama begin to sink further in the polls, watch Joe Biden switch places with Hillary Clinton and become Secretary of State.

    Hillary Clinton is much more popular than Biden, but the Vice President is popular among Obama’s Democratic base. Here is the breakdown by political party:

  • Barack Obama,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012

    Obama’s Bain Capital Attacks on Romney Backfiring?

    Mitt Romney’ campaign is all over Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker’s gaffe on Meet the Press yesterday.

    Here is the video:

    As you remember, I was very concerned about Romney’s candidacy because of how the Democrats would spin his history with Bain Capital. This video is an excellent, quick response to an opportunity delivered up an Obama supporter/surrogate.

    While this gaffe will not completely innoculate Romney against the charge that he fired a whole bunch of folks, it does place the job-letting in context of a bigger picture – just like Obama and the General Motor’s automobile dealers. It makes Obama’s attacks look foolish.

    Is there any doubt that, unlike the McCain Campaign of four years ago, Romney’s immediate response shop, is ready for prime time?

  • Animals,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012

    Mitt Romney Unveils First General Election Television Ad

    Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney speaks at the River City Brewing Company, Thursday, May 17, 2012, in Jacksonville, Florida

    Mitt Romney is out with his first Presidential general election ad and it is called “Day One.”

    Mitt Romney’s campaign released its first television commercial of the general election Friday, a spot that outlines a series of “day one” goals for a Romney presidency.

    The ad, expected to run in Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia, features a narrator speaking over stock footage of the American heartland and Romney on the campaign trail, outlining what “a Romney presidency would be like.”

    “Day one, President Romney immediately approves the Keystone pipeline, creating thousands of jobs that Obama blocked. President Romney introduces tax cuts and reforms that reward job creators, not punish them. President Romney issues order to begin replacing ObamaCare with common-sense healthcare reform,” the voiceover continues.

    The campaign is expected to spend $1.3 million on the commercial, according to NBC News, a relatively small purchase. The Obama campaign, by comparison, is in the midst of a $25 million television campaign.

    Romney spoke about the commercial on the campaign trail Thursday, telling reporters in Jacksonville that unlike one of the Obama campaign’s ads critical of his tenure at Bain Capital, his commercials would take a positive tone.

    Here is the ad embedded below:

    A good first start for Romney and definitely a different tone from President Obama.

    But, Romney is NO cream puff and will go negative when and if it is required – probably later in the summer.

  • Barack Obama,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 Poll: Romney Takes the Lead over Obama

    President Obama and Mitt Romney

    According to the latest CBS-New York Times national poll.

    Mitt Romney holds a 3 percent lead over President Obama nationally in the latest CBS News-New York Times poll.  Romney took 46 percent in the poll, compared to Obama’s 43 percent. The 3 percent difference is within the poll’s 4 point margin of error.  Obama and Romney were tied at 46 in the same poll conducted last month.

    The president’s endorsement of same-sex marriage has dominated the headlines recently, but the poll found the economy will be the most important issue to voters in the fall. Sixty-two percent said the economy was the most important issue, while the deficit was a distant second at 11 percent. Only 7 percent said same-sex marriage was the most important issue in the election. President Obama’s job approval rating has been hovering around break-even, and is at 48 percent approval and 48 disapproval, according to the poll.  Romney continues to lead Obama among independents, 43 to 36, while Obama leads among moderates, 50 to 39.

    This is a good poll for Mitt Romney and to be so close to Obama with the campaign barely starting demonstrates the President’s vulnerability. This election is ALL about the economy and jobs and Obama’s pivot to gay marriage has to be viewed as a cynical attempt to change the national discourse.

    It hasn’t and it won’t.

    Mitt Romney’s campaign has demonstrated a discipline, unlike McCain’s and will stay like a laser beam trained on the economy.

  • Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 Poll Watch: Obama and Romney in a Dead Heat

    A new Presidential poll from Politico has the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney in a virtual dead heat.

    A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll finds a dead heat in the presidential race six months before the election.

    Mitt Romney edged out President Barack Obama 48 percent to 47 percent among likely voters, a number well within the margin of error, as Republicans rapidly consolidate behind the likely GOP nominee.

    The former Massachusetts governor has opened up a 10-point lead, 48 percent to 38 percent, among independents in a poll conducted Sunday, April 29 through Thursday, May 3 and a 6-point lead among those who describe themselves as “extremely likely” to vote in November. Obama led Romney by 9 points overall in POLITICO’s February’s poll.

    But there are suggestions that these numbers are extremely fluid: Obama holds double-digit leads over the presumptive Republican nominee on issues such as who will better handle foreign policy and who will stand up for the middle class and on “sharing your values.” But enduring concern about the economy — by far the most important issue to voters — keeps the president in a tenuous position despite employment numbers that show slight but steady improvement.

    Again, like the Gallup Poll previously mentioned a good start for Mitt Romney.

    The entire poll is here.

  • Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 Poll Watch: Race Close in 12 Swing States

    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    In the first USA Today/Gallup swing-state poll conducted since Mitt Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee, Romney and President Barack Obama are nearly tied — 45% vs. 47%, respectively — among registered voters in the 12 battleground states that make up the poll.

    The presumptive Republican nominee is better positioned today than he was in March, when USA Today/Gallup found Obama leading by nine percentage points among swing-state voters. Romney now roughly matches his standing earlier in the year, before he secured the Republican nomination.

    The latest results are from the sixth USA Today/Gallup Swing States poll. Interviewing was conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking April 26-May 2 with 951 registered voters in 12 states where the presidential race is expected to be closely contested: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

    I don’t agree with Gallup’s selection of “swing states” but with that said, Mitt Romney is in a good position now with the campaigns just starting.

    New Mexico, Pennsylvania,and Wisconsin are very likely not in play this November. Here is my assessment for the Electoral College.

    As far as enthusiasm for these candidates, it is a little early to gauge this statistic. With the Supreme Court posing to rule on ObamaCare and Romney’s choice of Vice President soon to come, this measure swill swing, depending upon voter perceptions.

  • Mitt Romney,  President 2012

    President 2012: Super PAC Restore Our Future Ad Buys Reveal States Which Are in Play for Mitt Romney

    Restore Our Future: Saved

    This positive ad has aired before for Mitt Romney but where it is “on air” is quite revealing.

    A pro-Romney super PAC, Restore our Future, is reaching into the memory chest for its first big ad buy of the general election season, running a 30-second spot that recounts how Mitt Romney helped track down the daughter of a business partner in 1996.

    The ad, called “Saved,” will run in nine battleground states, costing the group a total of $4.3 million, the PAC said in a statement. A major force in helping Mr. Romney beat back his Republican challengers, Restore Our Future is now turning to the battle against President Barack Obama with a distinctly positive biographical spot intended to boost Mr. Romney’s personal image by touching on a little-known episode from two decades ago.

    The Romney campaign briefly ran a nearly identical spot in late 2007 in an effort to boost the candidate’s standing before the primary season began. In this election cycle, the super PAC has  run the ads in 16 states around the country during the lead up to primaries in those states.

    The group plans to run the ad in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.

    No real secret as to what are the key battleground states – just where Mitt Romney will spend the advertising dollars to win them.

    Now, we know.

  • Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 Nevada Poll Watch: Obama Surges to an 8 Point Lead

    According to the latest Rasmussen Poll.

    President Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney in a head-to-head matchup in Nevada.

    A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Obama earning 52% support, while Romney picks up 44% of the vote.  Two percent (2%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

    This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

    Perhaps the economy is better in Nevada. But, in any case, Mitt Romney had better choose his Vice Presidential running mate with Nevada in mind.

    A key battleground state, Romney needs to win in Nevada.

  • Chris Christie,  Marco Rubio,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012

    President 2012: Romney Might Convince Me to Accept Vice Presidency – Chris Christie

    New Jersey Governor Chris Christie arrives for a March 2012 Town Hall

    Mitt Romney could NOT do worse than Marco Rubio or Chris Christie.

    New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie on Monday said Romney “might be able to convince” him to serve as his No. 2 on the Republican presidential ticket.

    “He might be able to convince me. He’s a convincing guy, but I really love this job. I really want to stay in this job” Christie said during a high school visit in Plainsboro Township, New Jersey.

    The popular Republican governor and early Romney backer said he is not interested in serving as vice president, but that he would be open to discussing the position with Romney.

    “I really have no interest in being vice president, but if Governor Romney calls and asks me to sit down and talk to him about it, I’d listen because I think you owe the nominee of your party that level of respect and who knows what he’s going to say,” Christie said. “We’ll wait and see.”

    I predicted four years ago that John McCain would pick little known Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. This time I think Mitt Romney will choose ……..

    Marco Rubio.