President 2012

President 2012: The Latest Key Battleground State Polls

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Here are the latest key battleground state polls:

The Real Clear Politics average of polls and more are here.

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Barack Obama

The Electoral College: State of the Presidential Race

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Romney State of the Race October 23 2012 The Morning Flap: October 23, 2012

From 270towin.com

The above graphic is how the Presidential race will turn out in the Electoral College on November the 6th. I have Mitt Romney defeating President Obama 271 Electoral Votes vs. 261 Electoral Votes.

Most notable recent changes I have made have been the loss of Ohio to the President and the pick up of Colorado for Romney.

Here is my Electoral College map I made after Mitt Romney chose Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin for his Vice President running mate.

 Electoral College August 11 2012 Does Paul Ryan Help Mitt Romney in the Electoral College?

From 270towin.com

To say the least, the race is tight.

Mitt Romney continues to make a play for Nevada and I understand as of yesterday, he made a very large television ad buy in Northern Nevada – the Reno market.

Recent polling by Rasmussen and Gallup have Ohio all tied up – well within the margins of error. Ohio could go either way. I think Obama now needs Ohio more than Romney in order to win, which goes against the maxim that GOP Presidential wins go through Ohio.

Stay tuned as more polls roll in throughout the next few days.

However, I think, my first map with a 271 Electoral College Vote win for Romney will probably be the end result.

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Barack Obama

Obama Grades Himself – INCOMPLETE?

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President Obama gives himself a grade

Are you frakking kidding me?

President Obama’s four years in the Presidency have been a colossal failure and WE, Americans, are NOT BETTER OFF than four years ago.

Here is the video:

[youtube]http://youtu.be/0zPRt5EnjWg[/youtube]

It is funny that Obama is running ads featuring President Bill Clinton.

President Obama, you are NOT Bill Clinton.

If American voters, re-elect Obama, they can look forward to another four years of a stagnant economy and increasing unemployment. In addition, more and more state/local governments will be facing bankrupty.

The choice is clear!

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Polling

Poll: Men Prefer Romney – Women Prefer Obama

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Gallup Presidential Poll chart of Men/Women Preferences

According to the latest Gallup Poll:

Male voters currently prefer Mitt Romney over Barack Obama by an eight-percentage-point margin, while female voters prefer Obama over Romney by an identical eight points. These gender-gap figures, based on Gallup Daily tracking conducted July 30-Aug. 19, are virtually identical to what they were four months ago.

The impact of gender on the presidential race has received a renewed focus in recent days after Missouri Republican senatorial candidate Todd Akin’s controversial comments about rape and abortion. It’s too early to tell if this incident and the resulting fallout will have a long-term impact on the presidential gender gap, but from a broad perspective, Gallup’s large sample sizes show a remarkable stability by gender since tracking began in mid-April.

The gender gap is driven mostly by the underlying differences in party identification. Women are more likely to identify as Democrats and less likely to identify as independents than are men. Within party groups, gender gaps are quite small.

This is not really a surprise since a gender gap has been known to exist for some time.

But, will the Todd Akin flap about legitimate rape flip a few more women to the Democrats. It remains to be seen and Akin could still quit the race – and the GOP will do what it can to force him out.

The gender gap in presidential preferences has not changed over the last four months, with men preferring Romney over Obama by eight points, while women prefer Obama by an identical margin.

The nature of the gender gap varies significantly across demographic segments. Support for Obama is so strong among black voters that gender makes little difference, but both white and Hispanic women are more likely to support Obama than are men in each of these groups. Women are more strongly for Obama than are men across all age groups, and the gender gap is starkly evident among voters with postgraduate education.

All in all, women, those under 30, those with postgraduate education, and those who are black and Hispanic give Obama his strongest support. Conversely, Romney receives his strongest support among men who have college degrees but no postgraduate education, and among older and white men.

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