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Archive for November 4th, 2010

share save 120 16 links for 2010 11 04
  • Executives at the casino giant Harrah’s pushed company employees to vote early in an all-out effort to help the Harry Reid campaign, according to internal emails obtained by Battle ‘10.

    The stepped-up effort began Wednesday when a Reid staffer sent an email pleading for help to Harrah’s top lobbyist, Jan Jones. Soon after, Marybel Batjer, Harrah’s vice president of public policy and communications, distributed that plea via email to executives throughout the company.
    +++++++
    The new House leadership should cal in Harrah's management and the Culinary Union to testify as to what actually happened – under oath

  • AARP's endorsement helped secure passage of President Barack Obama's health care overhaul. Now the seniors' lobby is telling its employees their insurance costs will rise partly as a result of the law.

    In an e-mail to employees, AARP says health care premiums will increase by 8 percent to 13 percent next year because of rapidly rising medical costs.

    And AARP adds that it's changing copayments and deductibles to avoid a 40 percent tax on high-cost health plans that takes effect in 2018 under the law. Aerospace giant Boeing also has cited the tax in asking its workers to pay more. Shifting costs to employees lowers the value of a health care plan and acts like an escape hatch from the tax.
    +++++++
    AARP are a bunch of leftist morons

    (tags: Obamacare)
  • Counties reported today that some 2 million ballots remain from Tuesday's election, which could determine winners in some tight local races and one statewide contest — attorney general.

    The secretary of state's office asked counties to voluntarily report their unprocessed ballot count by the end of business Thursday. The result: 1,935,248 unprocessed ballots, not including San Francisco, Fresno and 11 other smaller counties that have yet to report.

    Of the total, 1.4 million are absentee ballots that were returned to counties in the final days before Election Day or on Election Day that have yet to be opened and counted. Another 451,056 ballots were cast provisionally and have yet to be processed, and 56,652 ballots are either damaged or were diverted by optical scanners for further review.
    +++++++
    This race will be decided for Attorney General may very well go down to the last ballot counted.

  • California’s big GOP candidates were even less popular than legalized pot. Yes, Prop 19 went down to defeat — but final returns show that the 3,423,145 votes it drew made it more popular than Meg Whitman (3,102,646) and Carly Fiorina (3,170,287), both of whom spent a lot more money for the privilege of losing.
    ++++++++
    California is broken……
  • A lot of people have gone broke betting against Harry Reid over the years, and Tuesday was no exception.

    How, exactly, did the Senate majority leader win a decisive reelection victory after being all but left for dead?

    The answer serves as a textbook-worthy case study of hard and soft campaign science. Reid played every angle. If there was an advantage to be taken, no matter how slim, he seized it. Aided by a top-flight campaign team and prodigious fundraising, he made sure no opportunity went to waste.

    In the end, he captured over 50 percent of the vote to Republican Sharron Angle's 45 percent.
    ++++++
    Read it all

    (tags: harry_reid)
  • The white-haired genius who helped make red the pre-eminent color in the National League in the '70s and directed the American League team that roared the loudest in the '80s has passed. Sparky Anderson, the chatty Hall of Famer given to outrageous success and outlandish predictions, joined the great majority on Thursday, two days after he was placed in hospice care at his home in Thousand Oaks, Calif., where he had spent most of his adult life. Death came at age 76 for a man who had spent 42 years in professional baseball, 26 as a manager.
    ++++++
    Sparky was active in the Thousand Oaks community.

    Best to his family and he will be missed.

  • Democrats Jerry Brown and Barbara Boxer weren't the only big winners in California Tuesday night. Mark DiCamillo of the Field Poll also had to be grinning as he watched the results come in.

    In the final days before the election, Field came out with a poll that showed Brown with a 10-point lead over Meg Whitman and Boxer leading Carly Fiorina by eight points.

    The results brought quick blowback from the GOP campaigns, with Whitman herself complaining that "the public polls" were providing a distorted picture of the very, very, very close race.
    ++++++
    You cannot argue with their results

    (tags: field_poll)
  • In a hypothetical 2012 matchup, Huckabee leads Obama 52 – 44 percent, while Romney has a 50-45 point advantage, which is within the poll's sampling error. Obama hold a 49-47 percent margin over Gingrich.

    The poll indicates that four in 10 have a favorable opinion of Palin, with nearly half saying they have an unfavorable view. Romney has a 36 percent favorable rating and a 29 percent unfavorable rating, with 35 percent unsure. Forty-two percent say they see Huckabee in a positive light, with 26 percent saying they hold a negative view and just over three in 10 are unsure. Gingrich has 32 percent favorable rating, with four in 10 saying they have an unfavorable view, and 28 percent unsure.
    +++++++
    But, will Huckabee run?

share save 120 16 links for 2010 11 04

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share save 120 16 Sarah Palin Video: Lessons Learned From the Midterm Elections and The Way Forward
Sarah Palin talking about the Congressional midterm elections Fox News’ Hannity last night


Sarah Palin has a piece up at National Review re: The Way Forward from the Congressional midterm elections.

Now that the dust has settled on the 2010 midterm elections, it’s slowly becoming clear just how monumental the results really are. We saw an extreme left-wing agenda suffer a crushing defeat. At the ballot box, voters took Obamacare and the stimulus and wrapped them right around the necks of those same House members and senators who had arrogantly dismissed the concerns voiced in countless town halls and Tea Party rallies up and down the country. Voters sent commonsense conservatives a clear mandate to hold the line against the Obama agenda.

Does that mean Republican candidates can look forward with greater confidence to the 2012 elections? Yes and no. Yes, objectively speaking the next electoral cycle should be even more favorable than the one that just ended. A large number of red-state Democratic senators will have to defend their seats; and since Obama will be at the top of the ballot that year, they won’t be able to hide from the fact that their party leader is a detached liberal with a destructive tax-and-spend agenda. Whether Republicans will do as well as they did in this cycle depends on whether they learn the lessons from the 2010 election.

1. Set the Narrative

2. Fight back the lies immediately and consistently

Some candidates assumed that, once they received their party’s nomination, the conservative message would automatically carry the day. Unfortunately, political contests aren’t always about truth and justice. Powerful vested interests will combine to keep bad candidates in place and good candidates out of office. Once they let themselves be defined as “unfit” (decorated war hero Joe Miller) or “heartless” (pro-life, international women’s rights champion Carly Fiorina), good candidates often find it virtually impossible to get their message across. The moral of their stories: You must be prepared to fight for your right to be heard.

3. We will need the mother of all GOTV (Get Out the Vote) efforts if we wish to win in 2012

4. A winning conservative message must always be carefully crafted

Indeed she is correct, especially about the GOTV efforts in battleground states. The Right and Tea Party needs to begin the organization NOW.

share save 120 16 Sarah Palin Video: Lessons Learned From the Midterm Elections and The Way Forward

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share save 120 16 President 2012 Poll Watch: GOP Enthusiasm Could Spell Trouble for Obama
egap7773842 President 2012 Poll Watch: GOP Enthusiasm Could Spell Trouble for Obama

Nate Silver makes some interesting observations about GOTV, ground operations for Obama Vs. the GOP in 2012.
On the surface, this looks like horrible news for Democrats: the enthusiasm gap was the largest in precisely those states that a Democrat (or a Republican for that matter) needs to win the Presidency.

But there is something else to keep in mind. Mr. Obama’s campaign had a terris ific turnout operation, and — like any good turnout operation — it was concentrated in swing states. Mr. McCain’s campaign, by contrast, de-emphasized its “ground game” (a mistake that Karl Rove and George W. Bush would never have made), hoping to nationalize the election and win on the basis of television commercials.

What we’re probably seeing, then, is the “hangover” from the Mr. Obama’s turnout efforts in 2008. In states like Ohio and New Hampshire and Indiana, where Democrats registered tons of new voters and made sure that all of them got to the polls, a lot of them didn’t participate this time around. In other states, the electorate wasn’t much different and the people who were voting this year strongly resembled those who voted in 2010 — although Republicans still did better because the preferences of independent voters shifted toward them.

This sort of phenomenon is actually quite typical. In general, the bigger a President’s coattails, the more his party tends to suffer at the next midterm.

The key question for 2012 is whether those new voters will re-enter the electorate when Mr. Obama is on the ballot again. If so, Democrats should be in reasonably good shape — and they’ll also win back quite a few of the House seats that they lost in these states.

If not, however — or if Republicans are able to build a get-out-the-vote effort that is the equal of Mr. Obama’s — we could be up very late into the evening counting votes on Nov. 6, 2012.

This is a role where The Tea Party Movement can help supply the volunteers in key battleground states.

Time to organize. The data is there.

share save 120 16 President 2012 Poll Watch: GOP Enthusiasm Could Spell Trouble for Obama
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share save 120 16 President 2012 Poll Watch: Mitt Romney 20% Vs. Mike Huckabee 19% Vs. Sarah Palin 19%
capt565ee7c36567439d8bf President 2012 Poll Watch: Mitt Romney 20% Vs. Mike Huckabee 19% Vs. Sarah Palin 19%

Retired Air Force Gen. Lester L. Lyles, left, shares a laugh with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and Ohio Republican Senate candidate Rob Portman at InfoTech 2010 on Wednesday, Oct. 20, 2010, in Dayton, Ohio

Advantage Sarah Palin in the latest Rasmussen Poll.
OK, the election’s over, and the message from most voters was that they didn’t care much for President Obama’s agenda. Now the focus is on the race for the presidency in 2012.

On the Republican side, it’s a dead heat between the ex-governors – Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Sarah Palin of Alaska, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary voters.

Asked who they would vote for if the Republican presidential primary were held today, 20% say Romney, 19% Huckabee and another 19% Palin.

Romney and Palin are tied among male GOP voters, while Huckabee has a slight edge among female voters.

In  October 2009 when Likely Republican primary voters were given a choice of five potential presidential nominees, Huckabee led with 29% support, followed by Romney with 24% of the vote and Palin at 18%.

Rounding out the list of seven candidates chosen by Rasmussen Reports for the question, with their levels of support, are former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (13%), Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty (6%), Texas Congressman Ron Paul (5%) and Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels (3%). Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

Sarah Palin will do campaign speaking events, publish a new book and watch what the new GOP House does to Obama poll numbers and decide either a little before or after Ronald Reagan’s birthday on February 6, 2011.

If Palin runs, she will likely win the GOP Presidential nomination.

share save 120 16 President 2012 Poll Watch: Mitt Romney 20% Vs. Mike Huckabee 19% Vs. Sarah Palin 19%

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share save 120 16 Election 2012: GOP U.S. Senate Prospects Look Bright
obamaandcongressmap Election 2012: GOP U.S. Senate Prospects Look Bright

Fox News interactive map with races in play Congressional Districts Overlaid with Districts that voted for President Obama in 2008

Looking at the map above, Republicans although unsuccessful in taking the majority of Senate seats on tuesday show increasingly bright prospects for the 2012 election cycle.
Welcome to the 2012 election cycle. The three most vulnerable Democratic senators in 2012 are probably Bill Nelson of Florida, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, and Jon Tester of Montana. Republicans also may target Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, Claire McCaskill of Missouri, Kent Conrad of North Dakota, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Bob Casey Jr. of Pennsylvania, Jim Webb of Virginia, Maria Cantwell of Washington, and Herb Kohl of Wisconsin. Retirement watch: Dianne Feinstein of California (age in 2012: 79), Daniel Akaka of Hawaii (88), Nelson of Nebraska (71), and Kohl (77).

Nebraska, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, Montana, Michigan: Those are all anti-Obama/Republican states.

Also, Republican Dick Lugar of Indiana will be 80 years old and may retire – calling GOP Rep. Mike Pence?

The above mentioned Democratic Senators will be under intense scrutiny by The Tea Party and will be targeted for replacement. Early recruitment of the best conservative candidates is essential for success and should begin today.

But, conservative propsects to remold the Senate majority and replace Democrat Senator Harry Reid as leader look promising.

share save 120 16 Election 2012: GOP U.S. Senate Prospects Look Bright
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