President 2012 Michigan Poll Watch: President Obama Down But Certainly Not Out
According to the latest PPP poll:
Job Approval Vs. Disapproval:
- Barack Obama 47% Vs 45%
Favorabile Vs. Unfavorable
- Mitt Romney – 37% Vs. 45%
- Mike Huckabee – 36% Vs. 45%
- Newt Gingrich – 27% Vs. 57%
- Sarah Palin – 31% Vs. 61%
- Scott Walker – 22% Vs. 37%
Head to Head:
- Obama – 48% Vs Romney – 41%
- Obama – 50% vs. Huckabee – 41%
- Obama – 53% Vs. Gingrich – 37%
- Obama – 55% Vs. Palin – 35%
President Obama won Michigan in 2008 with a 16 point margin. He is not leading by that amount this time but GOP candidates are underperforming.
Obama could be vulnerable in Michigan for sure. But consider this- despite that weak 78% approval with Democrats, he gets 85-90% of the Democratic vote against each of these five Republicans. There are enough Democrats who don’t like Obama that a Republican could get the support necessary across party lines to win the state- it’s just far from clear that any of these Republicans could get the support necessary across party lines to win the state. Obama may not win the state by as much as last time but for now Michigan’s looking like a second tier swing state.
Agreed. Republicans always hope for a pick-up in Michigan. But, unless the GOP nominates someone other than the four in this poll, they will lose again.