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Day By Day February 20 – 22, 2012 Positions, Just a Pinch of Love, Upgrades
Day By Day by Chris Muir – Positions
Day By Day by Chris Muir – Just a Pinch of LoveDay By Day by Chris Muir – Upgrades
The President Day Holiday threw me a little behind on Chris Muir’s excellent cartoon series.Zed has to watch himself around the wife….otherwise, there will be more pinching, no?
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@Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-22
- (500) http://t.co/qtSuGKHG http://t.co/L4XnZw52 #
- California Proposition 8 Supporters Seek En Banc 9th Circuit Review » Flap's California Blog http://t.co/WR7leJ5m #
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Republican Voters Don’t Want a Brokered Convention http://t.co/tDXc4ylU #
- California Proposition 8 Supporters Seek En Banc 9th Circuit Review http://t.co/zh0B5m7L #
- Flap's Dentistry Blog: Church Street Health Management Files for Bankruptcy http://t.co/f032MmPW #
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Santorum Leading Romney But Romney Leads in Electability | Flap's Blog – Fullosse… http://t.co/3loXaLad #
- (500) http://t.co/JdxWqKdq http://t.co/DSFukF0R #
- Church Street Health Management Files for Bankruptcy http://t.co/Om8DhorE #
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Santorum Leading Romney But Romney Leads in Electability http://t.co/76VgyBdC #
- CA-26: Democrat Rep Brad Sherman is OUT and Assemblywoman Julia Brownley Is IN http://t.co/WVm3WyZQ #
- The Morning Drill: February 21, 2012 http://t.co/PApNN3yc #
- Flap’s California Morning Collection: February 21, 2012 http://t.co/j2gRYWYB #
- untitled http://t.co/6E3Jvmx4 #
- Day By Day February 19, 2012 – Transformers http://t.co/avtj6vQC #
- From senators to animals: Lawmaker who fell from grace now working as a vet – http://t.co/briORGgz http://t.co/WsxzdF1i #
- Here Are All The CRAZY Things Rick Santorum Said This Weekend http://t.co/CCqtRkWa #
- NYT: Growth of Catholic Hospitals M http://t.co/IqWXC9d0 #
- McGurn: Sex, Lies and Rick Santorum – http://t.co/7okzcU8P http://t.co/InhIkMcM #
- Flap’s California Blog @ Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-21 http://t.co/LIN3A8jl #
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-21 http://t.co/eloGaURE #
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Close Race in Michigan http://t.co/Dz5h6eJV #
- Gov. Daniels Says Won’t Reconsider Presidential Run http://t.co/1yYGQmjY #
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President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Republican Voters Don’t Want a Brokered Convention
According to the latest Gallup Poll.Republicans by a better than 2-to-1 margin would prefer that one of the four remaining GOP presidential candidates win enough delegates in the primaries and caucuses to secure the nomination, rather than having a brokered convention that could then choose another person to be the party’s presidential nominee.
Republicans prefer to avoid having the presidential candidate chosen at the convention even though a majority say they wish someone else was running for the party’s nomination. Forty-four percent are pleased with the selection of candidates. These results are based on a Feb. 16-19 USA Today/Gallup poll.
I don’t believe most Republicans even understand the nomination process – just who emerges as the victor.
If a stronger candidate comes out of the convention, which I believe will, than the current field – then so be it.
The current GOP Presidential field is weak and after the first ballot when delegates are released to vote for whomever and state delegations make deals, you may see a stronger candidate emerge.
Whoever wants the nomination and whoever can organize their troops on the convention floor will win.
Anyone want to guess who will emerge?
My bet is Jeb Bush or Sarah Palin.
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President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Santorum Leading Romney But Romney Leads in Electability
According to the latest Gallup Poll.Rick Santorum now holds a 10-percentage-point lead in Gallup’s Daily tracking of national Republicans registered voters’ preferences for the 2012 GOP nomination.
In the Feb. 15-19 Gallup Daily tracking rolling average, Santorum is ahead of Romney by 36% to 26%, with Newt Gingrich at 13% and Ron Paul at 11%. This marks Santorum’s largest lead to date. Santorum had moved to within two points of Romney, 30% to 32%, by the end of last week.
There is a big BUT, however.
Many pundits, including myself think that Rick Santorum will be the Biggest Loser when it comes to running against President Obama.
The Gallup Poll shows that many Republican primary voters think likewise.
So, what is the Republican Party to do?
In a separate USA Today/Gallup survey conducted Feb. 16-19, all Americans were asked which of the two candidates — Romney or Santorum — they believed would have the best chance of beating Barack Obama in November. Overall, 54% of Americans named Romney and 29% chose Santorum.
Fewer Republicans are undecided on this issue, leaving 58% who say Romney has the best chance of beating Obama, while 32% choose Santorum.
The next month should tell the tale – so stay tuned…..
Santorum’s leap upward was the direct result of his unexpected victories in the Minnesota, Colorado, and Missouri primaries and caucuses on Feb. 7. There have been no major votes since then, and no debates, but that is about to change. Looming on the horizon are the Feb. 22 GOP debate in Arizona, the Michigan and Arizona primaries on Tuesday, Feb. 28, and then a number of high-profile primaries and caucuses throughout March. Going by the pattern established this year, the results of each event have a good chance of further affecting the relative standing of the GOP candidates in the eyes of Republicans nationally.
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CA-26: Democrat Rep Brad Sherman is OUT and Assemblywoman Julia Brownley Is IN
California Assemblywoman Julia Brownley
Well, the rumors have born some fruit with California Assemblywoman Julia Brownley announcing over the long President’s Holiday weekend that she will run for Congress. Rep. Brad Sherman had coincidentally announced that he was remaining in CA-30 to duke it out with fellow Democrat Rep. Howard Berman for that Congressional seat.Brownley lives in Santa Monica, but told Timm Herdt of the Ventura County Star that she would rent an apartment in Oak Park (unincorporated, Ventura County, but in CA-26) yesterday.
Assemblywoman Julia Brownley, stepping in after Supervisor Steve Bennett dropped out last week, said Sunday she will be a Democratic candidate in Ventura County’s new 26th Congressional District.
Brownley, who lives in Santa Monica, has represented much of Ventura County in the Assembly for the past five years. Her district includes Port Hueneme, about half of Oxnard, Westlake Village and Oak Park — areas that make up about 16 percent of the congressional district.
Brownley said she will move to an apartment in Oak Park this week.
Most, if not all of CA-26 is in Ventura County and Democrat Brownley, while she represented Oxnard and Port Hueneme in the California Assembly is from Santa Monica in Los Angeles County. Her carpetbagger status (renting an apartment, in order to run for office in the Congressional District – although federal law allows non-resident candidacy, in any case) will be an issue.
With Ventura County Supervisor Steve benefit precipitously withdrawing from the race, there was a Democratic Party void (i.e. a well known Democratic POL candidate) and apparently Brownley will fill it.
Now, whether Brownley can beat Thousand Oaks based Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks and/or Republican California State Senator Tony Strickland in the June primary election (remember the top two advance to the November general election) is another story. Plus, there are other Democrats in the race which may dilute the Democratic vote.
Here are all of the candidates – so far (filing opened Monday, February 13 and will close on March 9):
- Republican California State Senator Tony Strickland
- Independent/Republican Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks
- Democrat Moorpark Councilman David Pollock
- Democrat Oxnard Harbor Commissioner Jess Herrera
- Democrat Westlake Village businessman David Cruz Thayne
- Libertarian/Republican Akiva Werbalowsky
- Democrat California Assemblywoman Julia Brownley
Tony Strickland remains the front-runner in this race.
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Day By Day February 19, 2012 – Transformers
Day By Day by Chris MuirWhat amazes me Chris, is that some Americans are so willing to give up their liberty to Obama’s Big Government. -
@Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-21
- Amid voter dissatisfaction, movement to draft Mitch Daniels into GOP race gains ground http://t.co/XgjnegFR #
- Mitch Daniels, an alternative to scary http://t.co/GSe521Kp #
- (500) http://t.co/9jRnsaNF http://t.co/oHEfEL9i #
- Worry over Mitt Romney sparks talk of Tampa – Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Martin – http://t.co/0DyCUcvJ http://t.co/w8KFY4ZN #
- CA-30: Rep Brad Sherman Will Face Off Against Rep Howard Berman and NOT Move to Thousand Oaks http://t.co/Gxxh8Vi2 #
- Day By Day February 18, 2012 – Shock but no Awe http://t.co/qflGNArz #
- Sarah Palin | Game Change | HBO | SarahPAC | The Daily Caller http://t.co/hocBzWiI #
- Pat Buchanan | MSNBC | Challenges His Critics | The Daily Caller http://t.co/nXppyLF0 #
- Walter Shapiro: Why Mitt Romney's Presidential Prospects May Not Be Salvageable | The New Republic http://t.co/D2yKZDPp #
- Amid new controversy, how Dems will hit Santorum http://t.co/nnmOUQJO #
- Americans Still Rate Iran Top U.S. Enemy http://t.co/TmYIVDpG #
- Flap’s California Blog @ Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-20 » Flap's California Blog http://t.co/n1R8opEx #
- Flap’s California Blog @ Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-20 http://t.co/1rdd2W9I #
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-20 http://t.co/xeMzF7mO #
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President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Close Race in Michigan
Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney
A couple of recent polls show a dead heat in Michigan.- Romney – 29%
- Santorum – 29%
- Gingrich – 10%
- Paul – 12%
- Undecided – 20%
The Republican race for President in Michigan has tightened considerably over the last week, with what was a 15 point lead for Rick Santorum down to 4. He leads with 37% to 33% for Mitt Romney, 15% for Ron Paul, and 10% for Newt Gingrich.
The tightening over the last week is much more a function of Romney gaining than Santorum falling. Santorum’s favorability spread of 67/23 has seen no change since our last poll, and his share of the vote has dropped only 2 points from 39% to 37%. Romney meanwhile has seen his net favorability improve 10 points from +10 (49/39) to +20 (55/35) and his vote share go from 24% to 33%.
What we’re seeing in Michigan is a very different story from Florida where Romney surged by effectively destroying his opponent’s image- here Romney’s gains have more to do with building himself up.
Groups Santorum has double digit leads with include Protestants (up 47-30), union members (up 43-23), Evangelicals (up 51-24), Tea Partiers (up 55-20), ‘very conservative’ voters (up 54-23), and men (up 40-28).
Romney is leading the field with women (38-34), seniors (42-34), moderates (35-24), ‘somewhat conservative’ voters (40-34), and Catholics (43-31).
As I have said, if Mitt Romney were to lose Michigan, the state of his youth and family legacy, there will undoubtedly be another candidate who will jump into the race. If Romney wins Michigan by a point or two, then there may also be a challenge.
Take your pick: Mitch Daniels or Jeb Bush.
Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich are not polling well in general election match-ups against President Obama. The GOP Establsihment will not stand by and let Santorum and/or Gingrich sink their 2012 prospects.
But, the new candidate will have to move quickly since election deadlines loom in early March.
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Day By Day February 18, 2012 – Shock but no Awe
Chris, where there is smoke, there is fire?Hardly…
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@Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-20
- Senior Obama Advisor: Rick Santorum’s ‘Phony Theology’ Comment ‘Well Over the Line’ http://t.co/5vffymJj #
- Santorum explains 'phony theology' comment, says Obama is 'a Christian' – The Hill's Blog Briefing Room http://t.co/TwmdeOhW #
- Santorum Expands Lead Over Romney http://t.co/Ht197FYt #
- Is Santorum the Sharon Angle of 2012? – Right Turn – The Washington Post http://t.co/KVpw3ZJW #
- foursquare :: Gregory Flap @ Ronnie's Diner http://t.co/kEJtPOaV #
- Finished up the 9 miler and waiting for Ronnie's. (@ Ronnie's Diner) http://t.co/yMDmTBNh #
- Flap’s California Blog @ Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-19 » Flap's California Blog http://t.co/bTwRsbyH #
- Flap’s California Blog @ Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-19 http://t.co/tjPArwuA #
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-19 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://t.co/toq4vUS1 #
- Off soon to Santa Monica and 8 easy miles for @LAMarathon training. Temps in the 60's and Ronnie's Diner after #
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2012-02-19 http://t.co/TwpAyWjv #
- foursquare :: Gregory Flap @ Ball Rd & Disneyland Dr. http://t.co/DeAVuKz8 #
- foursquare :: Gregory Flap @ I 5 N http://t.co/LEiZ30Oa #
- Fireworks are fantastic at Disneyland (@ Ball Rd & Disneyland Dr.) http://t.co/os8HECUD #
- On the way home. (@ I 5 N) http://t.co/Pxm25dFp #
- foursquare :: Gregory Flap @ Valhalla Territory http://t.co/BQWQv9Au #
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