Joe Biden may not be much help to Barack Obama in key swing states this fall.
In a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll, Americans split on whether they like or dislike the vice president – 42% said they had a favorable opinion, 45% said unfavorable – but the numbers are worse in key swing states.
In the 12 swing states likely to determine the outcome of the presidential election, only 40% of registered voters view Biden favorably, while 54% view him unfavorably. These numbers are worse than President Obama’s who is seen favorably by 50% of registered voters in those same states and unfavorably by 49%.
The 12 swing states in the poll are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. These states are all considered too close to call for the November election.
Americans are about equally likely to have a favorable (42%) as an unfavorable (45%) view of Joe Biden, which has been the case for most of his tenure as U.S. vice president. Americans were much more positive than negative toward Biden from the time he was chosen as Barack Obama’s running mate through the first several months of the Obama administration.
The May 10-13 USA Today/Gallup poll marks the first time opinions of Biden have tilted negative since he became Obama’s vice presidential pick, but they are not materially different from the closely divided but still net positive ratings of Biden from October 2009-March 2011.
The current poll was conducted after Biden’s comments in favor of same-sex marriage on “Meet the Press” on Sunday, May 6 — comments that led to President Obama’s announcement that he too supported legalized same-sex marriage. The poll suggests those comments did not have a dramatic effect on how Americans view Biden.
Biden’s favorable rating peaked at 59% immediately after the 2008 election. His current 45% unfavorable rating is his highest so far, though his unfavorable ratings have been at least 40% since October 2009.
Should President Obama begin to sink further in the polls, watch Joe Biden switch places with Hillary Clinton and become Secretary of State.
Hillary Clinton is much more popular than Biden, but the Vice President is popular among Obama’s Democratic base. Here is the breakdown by political party:
Americans are about equally likely to have a favorable (42%) as an unfavorable (45%) view of Joe Biden, which has been the case for most of his tenure as U.S. vice president. Americans were much more positive than negative toward Biden from the time he was chosen as Barack Obama’s running mate through the first several months of the Obama administration.
The May 10-13 USA Today/Gallup poll marks the first time opinions of Biden have tilted negative since he became Obama’s vice presidential pick, but they are not materially different from the closely divided but still net positive ratings of Biden from October 2009-March 2011. The current poll was conducted after Biden’s comments in favor of same-sex marriage on “Meet the Press” on Sunday, May 6 — comments that led to President Obama’s announcement that he too supported legalized same-sex marriage. The poll suggests those comments did not have a dramatic effect on how Americans view Biden.
Biden’s favorable rating peaked at 59% immediately after the 2008 election. His current 45% unfavorable rating is his highest so far, though his unfavorable ratings have been at least 40% since October 2009.
Should President Obama begin to sink further in the polls, watch Joe Biden switch places with Hillary Clinton and become Secretary of State.
Hillary Clinton is much more popular than Biden, but the Vice President is popular among Obama’s Democratic base. Here is the breakdown by political party:
As you remember, I was very concerned about Romney’s candidacy because of how the Democrats would spin his history with Bain Capital. This video is an excellent, quick response to an opportunity delivered up an Obama supporter/surrogate.
While this gaffe will not completely innoculate Romney against the charge that he fired a whole bunch of folks, it does place the job-letting in context of a bigger picture – just like Obama and the General Motor’s automobile dealers. It makes Obama’s attacks look foolish.
Is there any doubt that, unlike the McCain Campaign of four years ago, Romney’s immediate response shop, is ready for prime time?
Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney speaks at the River City Brewing Company, Thursday, May 17, 2012, in Jacksonville, Florida
Mitt Romney’s campaign released its first television commercial of the general election Friday, a spot that outlines a series of “day one” goals for a Romney presidency.
The ad, expected to run in Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia, features a narrator speaking over stock footage of the American heartland and Romney on the campaign trail, outlining what “a Romney presidency would be like.”
“Day one, President Romney immediately approves the Keystone pipeline, creating thousands of jobs that Obama blocked. President Romney introduces tax cuts and reforms that reward job creators, not punish them. President Romney issues order to begin replacing ObamaCare with common-sense healthcare reform,” the voiceover continues.
The campaign is expected to spend $1.3 million on the commercial, according to NBC News, a relatively small purchase. The Obama campaign, by comparison, is in the midst of a $25 million television campaign.
Romney spoke about the commercial on the campaign trail Thursday, telling reporters in Jacksonville that unlike one of the Obama campaign’s ads critical of his tenure at Bain Capital, his commercials would take a positive tone.
Here is the ad embedded below:
A good first start for Romney and definitely a different tone from President Obama.
But, Romney is NO cream puff and will go negative when and if it is required – probably later in the summer.
Here is a more formal post about Mitt Romney’s poll lead.
President Obama’s claim that the GOP is mounting a war on women has proven to be a failure. A month into his assault on the Republicans and Mitt Romney, the new CBS-New York Times poll shows that the GOP presidential candidate now leads among women–and men.
Since April, women have gone from strongly backing Obama to endorsing Romney. In April, Obama held a 49 percent to 43 percent lead among women. That has now flipped to 46 percent backing Romney with 44 percent for Obama, an 8-point switch.
Ironically, Romney’s support among men has dropped, but he still edges Obama 45 percent to 42 percent.
And here’s a surprise: Despite the media hyping the so-called war on women, no major outlet today noticed Romney’s new lead with women voters.
Mitt Romney holds a 3 percent lead over President Obama nationally in the latest CBS News-New York Times poll. Romney took 46 percent in the poll, compared to Obama’s 43 percent. The 3 percent difference is within the poll’s 4 point margin of error. Obama and Romney were tied at 46 in the same poll conducted last month.
The president’s endorsement of same-sex marriage has dominated the headlines recently, but the poll found the economy will be the most important issue to voters in the fall. Sixty-two percent said the economy was the most important issue, while the deficit was a distant second at 11 percent. Only 7 percent said same-sex marriage was the most important issue in the election. President Obama’s job approval rating has been hovering around break-even, and is at 48 percent approval and 48 disapproval, according to the poll. Romney continues to lead Obama among independents, 43 to 36, while Obama leads among moderates, 50 to 39.
This is a good poll for Mitt Romney and to be so close to Obama with the campaign barely starting demonstrates the President’s vulnerability. This election is ALL about the economy and jobs and Obama’s pivot to gay marriage has to be viewed as a cynical attempt to change the national discourse.
It hasn’t and it won’t.
Mitt Romney’s campaign has demonstrated a discipline, unlike McCain’s and will stay like a laser beam trained on the economy.
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