• Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for March 10th on 14:35

    These are my links for March 10th from 14:35 to 14:47:

    • President 2012: Presidential candidates staffing up in Iowa – Eric Woolson, Mike Huckabee's key organizer in Iowa in 2008, has joined Tim Pawlenty's team. The Des Moines Register reports:

      The top Iowa adviser to former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee said Wednesday he will support former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty should Pawlenty seek the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

      Eric Woolson, a 52-year-old veteran campaign press operative and media strategist, said he did not know whether Huckabee would run again. Woolson managed Huckabee's winning 2008 Iowa caucuses campaign.

      Woolson said he likes Pawlenty's record, style and profile as a governor. And Woolson worries that Huckabee's summer time frame for deciding whether to run again may be too long.

      This tells us a few things. First, either by intention or by tardiness, Huckabee is taking himself out of the race….


      Iowa is not that important in that it is a caucus and not a primary state.

      John McCain ignored Iowa twice and won the nomination the second time.

      Tim Pawlenty has no choice but to compete since his name recognition is very low.

      I am positive Haley Barbour will be in there soon but who knows aobut Mitch Daniels – if Daniels is even running.

      And, Huckabee – he ain't running.

    • So unfav? Sarah Palin’s poll plunge – Bloomberg Poll is Crap – Sarah Palin’s unfavorable rating is off the charts.
      Continue Reading

      The former Alaska governor’s numbers are astonishingly upside-down, according to a new Bloomberg poll showing a 32 percentage point spread between those who have an unfavorable rating of Palin and those who view her favorably.

      Of the 60 percent in the poll who have an unfavorable opinion of Palin, more than half of them – 38 percent among the whole survey – said they have a “very” unfavorable view of Palin.

      Her “very” unfavorable rating is higher than the total favorability ratings of Newt Gingrich, Donald Trump and Chris Christie.

      The new poll is a dip from a December Bloomberg poll showing Palin with a net favorable rating of 33 percent and a net unfavorable rating of 57 percent.

      The survey is just one more indicator that if Palin were to run, she'd face a very strong headwind whenever trying to reach out to voters beyond her hardcore supporters.

      More people surveyed had an opinion of Palin than any other politician surveyed except for Barack Obama, indicating that her numbers are not likely to swing wildly one way or the other.

      The poll of 1,001 adults was conducted March 4-7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.


      There are other polls which are MORE alarming from this poll which is full of crap. Look at the Favorable of public employees and unions and Obama.

      Major sampling errors – so move on.

  • Chris Christie,  John Huntsman,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin,  Tim Pawlenty

    President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Insiders Poll Hot on Mitch Daniels and Tim Pawlenty – NOT Hot on Sarah Palin

    According to the latest National Journal “Insiders” poll.

    In the view of Democratic and Republican political operatives, the potential 2012 GOP White House hopefuls whose fortunes are most on the rise are Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels and former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, while former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is a rapidly depreciating asset, according to this week’s National Journal Political Insiders Poll.

    While no Republican could-be candidate towered above the field, GOP Insiders focused on Daniels and Pawlenty as two whose stock has been rising in recent months, but for very different reasons. Daniels, who has taken few overt steps towards mounting a national campaign, is seen as someone who could champion the Republican themes of shrinking government and cutting spending and also has the record in Indiana to back up that message in a campaign. “The more it becomes about deficit reduction, the better he does,” said one GOP Insider. Even Daniels’ serious demeanor is considered a positive. “Increasingly seen as the anti-Obama — no flash and slogans, but real leadership and a plan,” swooned another Republican.

    Pawlenty was rated equally well by GOP Insiders who have been impressed by his disciplined courtship of the party faithful in the early caucus and primary states. Pawlenty is also viewed as a candidate who is acceptable to a broad range of Republicans and has relatively little political baggage. “[He] continues to methodically define himself as the mainstream conservative Republican who can appeal to traditional and new Republican activists,” said one GOP Insider. “Daniels may not run because of family, Barbour has proven surprisingly tone deaf, Gingrich has failed to turn around the marital issue, Palin excites her core group and is unacceptable to everyone else, Romney-care has become the mark of death for Romney,” noted another GOP Insider. “It looks more and more as though everyone has a fatal weakness, other than Pawlenty.”

    Democrats generally concurred and saw Daniels as an “adult” and Pawlenty as “organized.”


    As the GOP primary season heats up, voters will be looking for someone new – not Mitt Romney and not Newt Gingrich. 

    Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels (if he runs), former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman or New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (if he runs) would fit the bill.

    Note: The “Insiders” are NOT too high on Sarah Palin.

  • Mike Huckabee,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  Newt Gingrich,  Paul Ryan,  Polling,  President 2012,  Ron Paul,  Sarah Palin,  Tim Pawlenty

    Wisconsin GOP President 2012 Poll Watch: Ryan 30% Vs Huckabee 17% Vs Gingrich 12% Vs Palin and Romney 9%

    According to the latest PPP poll.

    • Paul Ryan – 30%
    • Mike Huckabe – 17%
    • Newt Gingrich – 12%
    • Sarah Palin – 9%
    • Mitt Romney – 9%
    • Ron Paul – 5%
    • Tim Pawlenty – 4%
    • Mitch Daniels – 3%

    What is surprising is how poorly Mitt Romney is doing in Wisconsin, finishing tied with Sarah in fourth place. He does no better if you take Rep Paul Ryan out of the race, continuing to finish fourth.

    If you take the Wisconsin favorite son, Rep. Paul Ryan out of the race then:

    • Mike Huckabee – 23%
    • Sarah Palin – 15%
    • Newt Gingrich – 15%
    • Mitt Romney – 12%
    • Tim Pawlenty – 10%
    • Ron Paul – 5%
    • Mitch Daniels – 3%

    Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:

    • Ryan – 67% Vs. 10%
    • Palin – 65% Vs. 25%
    • Huckabee – 58% Vs. 18%
    • Gingrich – 54% Vs. 23%
    • Romney – 49% Vs. 25%

    So, the race is bunched and two of the frontrunners, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin are doubtful candidates.

    Huckabee’s shaping up to be the strongest Republican candidate in the Big Ten states- in addition to his lead on this Wisconsin poll, he’s also led in every other every state we’ve polled in the region so far in 2011- Pennsylvania, Nebraska, and Iowa. If Huckabee does end up running you’re going to have his strength in the South and Midwest butting up against Romney’s strength in the Northeast and West.

    This is a bit of a broken record but still an important point: Republican voters love Sarah Palin but don’t want her to be their Presidential candidate. She has the highest favorability of the GOPers besides Ryan, 7 points higher than Huckabee’s and 11 points higher than Gingrich’s. But she still runs 8 points behind Huckabee on Presidential nomination choice and just ties with Gingrich. Liking someone and thinking they should occupy the White House are two very different things.

    The entire poll is here.

  • Chris Christie,  Haley Barbour,  Jon Huntsman,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012,  Tim Pawlenty

    President 2012: Republicans Looking for the Anti-Romney Presidential Candidate?

    Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney speaks at the Values Voter Summit on Sept. 17, 2010, in Washington

    Such astute punditry from the Los Angeles Times this morning – NOT.

    Isn’t it obvious?

    1. Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels
    2. Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour
    3. Former Utah Gov. and departing ambassador to China Jon Huntsman
    4. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie
    5. Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty
  • Barack Obama,  Chris Christie,  Haley Barbour,  Jon Huntsman,  Mike Huckabee,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012,  Tim Pawlenty

    President 2012: The GOP Weirdness Factor – OUT Goes Mike Huckabee and Newt Gingrich

    Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee

    Goerge Will DISSES both Mike Huckabee and Newt Gingrich this morning.

    If pessimism isn’t creeping into Republicans’ thinking about their 2012 presi dential prospects, that is another rea son for pessimism. This is because it indicates they do not understand that sensible Americans, who pay scant attention to presidential politics at this point in the electoral cycle, must nevertheless be detecting vibrations of weirdness emanating from people associated with the party.

    The most recent vibrator is Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, who won the 2008 GOP Iowa caucuses and reached that year’s national convention with more delegates than Mitt Romney and might run again. Huckabee was asked by Steve Malzberg, a talk-radio host, this:

    “Don’t you think it’s fair also to ask [Barack Obama] . . . how come we don’t have a health record, we don’t have a college record, we don’t have a birth cer — why, Mr. Obama, did you spend millions of dollars in courts all over this country to defend against having to present a birth certificate. It’s one thing to say, ‘I’ve — you’ve seen it. Goodbye.’ But why go to court and send lawyers to defend against having to show it? Don’t you think we deserve to know more about this man?”

    Huckabee should have replied, “I’ve seen paranoia. Goodbye.” Instead, he said:

    “I would love to know more. What I know is troubling enough. And one thing that I do know is his having grown up in Kenya . . .”

    And, then Gingrich:

    Republicans should understand that when self-described conservatives like Malzberg voice question-rants like the one above and Republicans don’t recoil from them, the conservative party is indirectly injured — as it is directly when Newt Gingrich, who seems to be theatrically tiptoeing toward a presidential candidacy, speculates about Obama’s having a “Kenyan, anti-colonial” mentality.

    An article containing what Gingrich calls a “stunning insight” is “the most profound insight I have read in the last six years about Barack Obama.” Gingrich begins with a faux question: “What if he is so outside our comprehension” that he can be understood “only if you understand Kenyan, anti-colonial, behavior?” Then Gingrich says this isn’t just a question; it’s “the most accurate, predictive model for his behavior.”

    To the notion that Obama has a “Kenyan, anti-colonial,” worldview, the sensible response is: If only. Obama’s natural habitat is as American as the nearest faculty club; he is a distillation of America’s academic mentality; he is as American as the other professor-president, Woodrow Wilson. A question for former history professor Gingrich: Why implicate Kenya?

    Granted the references to Kenya and Obama’s birth certificate are just weird bu these two fellows have other baggage problems and I have never considered them serious Presidential candidates.

    So, who are Will’s favorites for 2012?

    1. Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels
    2. Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour
    3. Former Utah Gov. and departing ambassador to China Jon Huntsman
    4. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney
    5. Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty

    Agreed, except I would add New Jersey governor Chris Christie as a 6th.

    Who do I think could beat President Obama?

    At this point, I would say Mitch Daniels and Chris Christie. The others will be trounced but will do NO harm to protect GOP gains in the House and the 2012 take over of the Senate.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for February 25th from 19:14 to 19:44

    These are my links for February 25th from 19:14 to 19:44:

    • Cato Institute Praises Pawlenty, Disses Daniels – Pawlenty's grades from Cato were slightly better than Daniels's during the years that both were in office. Here are the reports for 2010, 2008, 2006, 2004 in that order (click on any year to read the full report):

      Pawlenty: A, B, C, B

      Daniels: B, B, D, na

      The two earned their low marks during the years when they agreed to tax hikes. But the fiscal records of both Daniels and Pawlenty compare favorably to other potential 2012 candidates who were governors during that same period:

      Mike Huckabee (Ark.): na, na, F, D

      Mitt Romney (Mass.): na, na, C, C

      Haley Barbour (Miss.): C, D, C, na

      Rick Perry (Tex.): B, B, B, D

      Huckabee, the only aforementioned governor who was graded by Cato in previous years, got a "B" in 1998, a "C" in 2000, and a "C" in 2002. Cato doesn't score the governor of Alaska because of peculiarities of the state budget.


      Read it all

    • Report: California Pension benefits “unsustainable” – A respected California government watchdog commission issued a scathing report today on the state’s pension system, calling for cuts in benefits for current and future employees, caps on pensions, an end to “pension spiking” and other reforms.

      The Commission on California State Government Organization and Economy, known as the Little Hoover Commission, calls the current system “unsustainable” and says it has morphed from a program that provided retirement security into one that seeks “wealth accumulation” for public employees.

      The commission traces the growth in pension obligations to 1999, during the stock market’s dot-com boom, when lawmakers approved pension increases that included retroactive bumps for employees who were about to retire. About a quarter of the growth in pension costs can be traced to that legislation, the report says. About half of the growth is tied to an increase in the number of employees and their average salaries, and the rest is attributable to demographics and investment losses.

      The most controversial proposal in the report is the idea of reducing benefits for current employees. Most pension experts have said that doing this would be legally questionable because the benefits are considered a “property right” that cannot be taken away. But the commission urges lawmakers to try this anyway, and test the legal theory in court.

      Download the full report here.


      A long legal battle if they change retirement benefits for existing employees.

    • Internet sales tax: California legislation would tighten rules on Internet sales tax – latimes.com – For the third time in three years, California lawmakers are pushing for legislation to make it harder for Internet sellers to avoid collecting sales taxes, and prospects for getting it passed are stronger than ever.

      Passing the bill is a question of "e-fairness," said Assemblywoman Nancy Skinner (D-Berkeley), who is sponsoring one of several Internet sales tax bills.

      It also would put an extra $300 million into the state's depleted coffers in its first year as a law, she said, and would add California to the growing group of states creating their own Internet sales tax rules.


      A big mistake for a little money and Californians who are affiliates will lose their business/jobs.

      I suspect there will be a federal court challenge as well.

    • Ex-congressman tapped for Chapman law school dean | campbell, law, school – News – The Orange County Register – Chapman School of Law has selected former Congressman Tom Campbell as its new dean, betting on the prominent academic and veteran politician to continue the 15-year-old school's ascent among the nation's law colleges.

      Campbell, 58, served as dean for the premier Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley, and prior to that was a tenured law professor at Stanford University. Campbell accepted a visiting professorship at Chapman School of Law and moved to Irvine from the Bay Area in 2009, part of a strategy of to broaden his geographic base for a statewide political campaign.

      The Republican then launched a campaign for governor before switching to the U.S. Senate race, in which he lost the primary to former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. But Chapman is keeping him in town.

      "I fell in love with Chapman," said Campbell, who graduated magna cum laude from Harvard Law School and has a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago. "This opportunity is great and might not come again. This is huge."

      Chapman School of Law has climbed steadily up the rankings since opening its doors in 1995, and cracked the top 100 in U.S. News and World Report's most recent ranking, landing at 93. It's 8.9 student-to-faculty ratio is seventh best on the list.

      Chapman University President James Doti said that despite its rapid ascent, the law school is remains relatively unknown – and is turning to Campbell after a national search to help change that.

      "One thing Tom Campbell will bring is recognition," he said, noting that Haas under Campbell's deanship went from 15th to second in the Wall Street Journal's ranking of business schools. "I'm quite confident in Tom recruiting the best and the brightest faculty, and the best and the brightest students."

      Doti is scheduled to formally announce the selection of Campbell today.


      I frankly don't care who Chapman Law School chooses as its Dean. But,

      I do care if Tom Campbell a RINO extraordinnaire ever runs for public office again.

      Campbell is a disaster and has moved from one political/government job after another.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links for February 24th from 08:07 to 08:55

    These are my links for February 24th from 08:07 to 08:55:

    • Romney antes up for Wisconsin GOP – As Does Pawlenty – Mitt Romney is sending cash to Wisconsin Republicans in a show of solidarity with Gov. Scott Walker’s push to end collective bargaining for state employees.

      “Liberal big government interests are fighting efforts to rein in out-of-control public employee pay and benefits in Wisconsin," Romney said in a Thursday statement. "It is critical that we stand with the Wisconsin GOP as it stands up for the rights of the taxpayer."

      Continue Reading
      His Free and Strong America PAC is sending the maximum $5,000 contribution to the Republican Party of Wisconsin.

      The fight is part of Walker’s battle to solve the state’s budget woes, and union protestors have come out in force to oppose his plan.

      Romney isn’t the only 2012-er to jump into the Wisconsin fray: Tim Pawlenty launched a website to back Walker’s push.


      As they should

    • Mitch Daniels addresses right-to-work bill — in Ohio – With Indiana House Democrats lodged in a hotel in Illinois, Gov. Mitch Daniels headed the other direction — to Ohio.

      Daniels spoke Wednesday at the Duke Energy Convention Center for the Hamilton County Republican Party's annual Lincoln-Reagan Dinner fundraiser.

      Though he is the 10th possible GOP presidential contender to make the pilgrimage to Southwest Ohio, a Republican stronghold that will be key to the 2012 Ohio presidential primary, Daniels stressed the visit was not a "stump speech." He praised Ohio Republicans, who this year took over control of the governor's office and the House of Representatives.


      Mitch Daniels realizes his initial response to the Wisconsin/Indiana Union Legislation was a non-starter and will try to crawl back.

    • Mitch Daniels ’71: Into the spotlight – Daniels’ classmates said they do not envision any future political ambitions being affected by the drug incident from 40 years ago.

      “It’s certainly ancient history by now. Mitch has made lots of public statements about not being involved with [the incident] for a long, long time,” Stuart said.

      Daniels said that he is not in an appropriate place to say whether the drug incident will impact any political hopes.

      “Since I became an elected officer, I have not suggested to any voter what they shouldn’t use as a criterion,” Daniels said.

      Engel, meanwhile, said Daniels’ past is unlikely to raise unease among potential voters.

      “He’s really competent and I would have no concern,” Engel said. “No one would take him to the cleaners. He’s too smart.”


      Mitch Daniel's drug coinviction will not affect a Presidential run.

      But, running away from conservative principles will

  • Mike Huckabee,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin,  Tim Pawlenty

    President 2012 Georgia Poll Watch: 19% Huckabee, 18% Gingrich, 14% Romney, 14% Cain, 11% Palin

    The latest Georgia Presidential poll is out from 20/20 Insight.

    GOP Presidential preference:

    • 19% Huckabee
    • 18% Gingrich
    • 14% Romney
    • 14% Cain
    • 11% Palin
    • 3% Pawlenty
    • 2% Barbour
    • 1% Daniels

    General election:

    • 47% Obama (D), 43% Palin (R)
    • 50% Romney (R), 44% Obama (D)
    • 50% Huckabee (R), 45% Obama (D)
    • 47% Gingrich (R), 45% Obama (D)

    Another poor poll for Sarah Palin against President Obama, as she fails to beat him in the very RED state of Georgia. The poll results have to be giving Mike Huckabee some pause as to whether he should run or not. I still believe he will pass on a run for the Presidency in 2012. 

    Exit question: If Palin is NOT the anti-Romney will Mitch Daniels step up to challenge him? Or, will it be Tim Pawlenty?

  • Sarah Palin,  Tim Pawlenty

    Tim Pawlenty Backs Away from Sarah Palin “Crosshairs” Comment

    Tim Pawlenty interview by Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey today

    OK, I will accept the former Minnesota Governor’s explanation. But, didn’t he know that his comment would be viewed and chewed by the left-slanting MSM?

    I think that Tim Pawlenty tried to get away with a cheap shot against Sarah Palin and got caught or is naive and not ready for the rough and tumble of a Presidential campaign.

    You take your pick.

  • Sarah Palin,  Tim Pawlenty

    Tim Pawlenty Takes a Jab at Sarah Palin Over “Crosshairs” – Needs to Go Away Now

    Former Minnesota Governor and Presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty and former Alaska Governor and VP Nominee Sarah Palin

    Go away Tim.

    Possible Republican presidential hopeful Tim Pawlenty took a jab at Sarah Palin, saying he wouldn’t have used gun crosshairs to target Rep Gabrielle Giffords and others.

    “I wouldn’t have done it,” the former Minnesota governor told The New York Times on Monday when asked if he would have created a map like the one posted last year on Sarah PAC’s website showing crosshairs on lawmakers who supported health care reform.

    Exploitation of the Tucson Massacre has been rampant on the LEFT. Tim, we really don’t need your banal comments about Sarah Palin.

    And, you REALLY think you can win the GOP Presidential nomination?