• Barack Obama,  Federal Budget,  Polling,  Tea Party

    Tea Party Maintains Strength During Federal Budget Debate?

    Well, sort of, according to this analysis by Karl Rove.

    But, there is another graph from Pew, after the budget agreement between President Obama and Speaker Boehner.

    The fact is the American people are fed up and want their politicians to work out a deal without the threat of shutting down the government. Americans know it is political theater.

    The public has an overwhelmingly negative reaction to the budget negotiations that narrowly avoided a government shutdown. A weekend survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press and the Washington Post finds that “ridiculous” is the word used most frequently to describe the budget negotiations, followed by “disgusting,” “frustrating,” “messy,” “disappointing” and “stupid.”

    Overall, 69% of respondents use negative terms to describe the budget talks, while just 3% use positive words; 16% use neutral words to characterize their impressions of the negotiations. Large majorities of independents (74%), Democrats (69%) and Republicans (65%) offer negative terms to describe the negotiations.

    So, the LEFT is blaming the Tea Party and the RIGHT is blaming President Obama.

    And, the American people are saying a POX on both of their houses – a lose – lose.

    The House just passed the compromise budget deal 260-167 and so it is on to the Senate where passage is likely. 

    Now, next on the agenda are the federal debt ceiling and this year’s 2011-2012 budget.

  • Barack Obama,  Mike Huckabee,  Mitt Romney,  Newt Gingrich,  Polling,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 Florida Poll Watch: Mitt Romney 43% Vs. Barack Obama 42%

    According to the latest Suffolk University Poll.

    Job Approval Vs. Disapproval:

    • President Barack Obama – 41% Vs. 48%

    Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:

    • President Barack Obama – 48% Vs. 44%
    • Senator Bill Nelson (D) – 43% Vs. 24%
    • Senator Marco Rubio (R) – 41% Vs. 30%
    • Jeb Bush – 53% Vs. 33%

    GOP Head to Head:

    • Romney – 33%
    • Huckabee – 14%
    • Gingrich – 9%
    • Trump – 8%
    • Palin – 8%
    • Barbour – 4%
    • Pawlenty – 3%
    • Paul – 2%
    • Bachmann -1%

    General Election:

    • Romney – 43% Vs.Obama – 42%
    • Obama – 44% Vs. Huckabee – 41%
    • Obama – 41% Vs. Pawlenty – 28%
    • Obama – 45% Vs. Bachmann – 30%
    • Obama – 47% Vs. Gingrich – 36%
    • Obama – 52% Vs. Palin – 34%
    • Obama – 49% Vs. Trump – 34%
    • Obama – 47% Vs. Barbour – 26%
    • Obama – 48% Vs. Paul – 30%

    This is a very good poll for Mitt Romney. Everyone knows that Romney will likely win New Hampshire, lose the next primary in South Carolina and likely win Nevada. So, who will have the Big Mo going into Florida and then into Super Tuesday?

    If Romney continues to poll Florida well, Mike Huckabee may not even declare his candidacy, acknowledging a difficult race against Mitt.

    Note that Romney runs well against President Obama in this key battleground state and today the race is a toss-up within the margin of error.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for April 14th on 06:25

    These are my links for April 14th from 06:25 to 07:55:

  • Federal Budget,  Polling

    Poll Watch: Federal Budget Deficit is Most Important Problem for 17% of Americans



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    The April 7-11 poll was conducted in the final days of negotiations that led to a budget agreement late Friday night that averted a government shutdown, and in the initial days after the deal was reached. Americans were just as likely to mention the budget as the most important problem on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday as they were on Thursday and Friday.

    Americans’ increasing likelihood to cite the federal budget as the most important problem could be a function of its status as a dominant issue in the news media. Gallup has historically found that it ranks low on the most important problem list, but it has risen at times when the president and Congress make it a major focus. This occurred during the 1990 negotiations on the budget between President George H.W. Bush and congressional Democrats on a plan to reduce the deficit that led to Bush’s breaking his campaign promise not to raise taxes. It also happened during the budget standoff between President Bill Clinton and the Republicans in Congress in 1995 and 1996.

    The issue of the federal deficit is not an immediate issue but a generational one. Americans are just now understanding what crushing debt will do to the countries standing in the world. I suspect while the economy and unemployment will remain as the top issues concerning Americans, this issue will be at the forefront at least until the Presidential elction in 2012.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for April 14th on 06:00

    These are my links for April 14th from 06:00 to 06:04:

    • The Uneven Senate Landscape of 2012 (and 2014) – Republican won 24 of the 37 Senate contests last year, giving them a head start not only on winning a Senate majority in 2012 but possibly winning a 60-seat supermajority two years later.

      They will need to net 26 or 27 of the remaining 67 contests over the next two cycles to win a majority in 2014, or 36 of the next 67 to get to 60 seats during the next midterm elections.

      The Senate is always a different kind of numbers game than the House. With unbalanced classes, Senate control — to say nothing about a filibuster-proof majority — hinges on which party has more seats up for election in a particular election cycle.

      When one of the political parties has a huge election night, as Republicans did last year, it automatically gives that party an opportunity to take over the Senate, whether two years later or four.

      The 2012 Senate class includes 23 Democrats and only 10 Republicans, and the stunning imbalance means that Democrats will be on the defensive throughout the cycle unless the political environment shifts dramatically to their party.

      ======

      Read all of Stuart Rothenberg's analysis.

      The chances of GOP gains in the Senate in 2012 and 2014 look good.

    • Jobless Claims Unexpectedly Rise; Inflation Pressure Grows – New claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week, bouncing back above the key 400,000 level, while core producer prices clumbed faster than expected in March, government reports showed on Thursday.

      Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 412,000, the Labor Department said.

      ======

      Obamanomics is a failure – just like Jimmy Carter.

      A slow economy with high unemployment and inflation.

  • Day By Day,  Federal Budget,  John Boehner,  Tea Party

    Day by Day April 12, 2011 – The Sun King



    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    The 2010-11 Federal Budget deal between President Obama, Senator Harry Reid and Speaker John Boehner has turned out to be a stinker to Tea Party activists. The deal which averted a government shut down at the last hour last week is not something that conservatives can tout.

    On the night the budget deal was struck to avert a shutdown, I argued that it was a deal that conservatives should be happy about. In light of further details that have emerged, I would no longer make such a statement.

     Today, the Associated Press reports on a new Congressional Budget Office report showing that the deal that purported to slash spending by $38.5 billion for the remainder of the year, really only reduces outlays by a fraction of that amount, and only cuts this year’s deficit by a mere $352 million. If the $38.5 billion was chump change in the context of $14 trillion debt, I wouldn’t even know what to call $352 million. Bread crumbs, maybe?

    It appears that Speaker Boehner’s deal will pass today with the Reppublican majority voting Yes. What will be the most interesting development will be how many Tea Party Representatives defect and vote NO.

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    @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-04-14

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