Job Approval Vs. Disapproval:
- President Barack Obama – 51% vs. 44%
Democrats are united for the President.
The biggest key for him is that he has the Democratic base completely behind him- 94% approve to only 4% who disapprove. Virginia still has a lot of white conservative Democrats, particularly in certain parts of the state, so for Obama to have almost unanimous approval within his party is very impressive. He even has more Republicans (albeit a paltry 7%) who approve of him than there are Democrats (4%) who disapprove. That’s not something we’re seeing in our polling very often right now. Independents narrowly give him good marks, 48/46, as well.
Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:
- Mike Huckabee – 37% Vs. 42%
- Mitt Romney – 35% Vs. 43%
- Newt Gingrich – 26% Vs. 54%
- Sarah Palin – 31% Vs. 62%
- Donald Trump – 22% vs. 69%
General Election Head to Head:
- Obama – 52% Vs Huckabee – 43%
- Obama – 51% Vs. Romney – 40%
- Obama – 54% Vs. Gingrich – 37%
- Obama – 55% Vs. Palin – 40%
- Obama – 54% Vs. Trump – 32%
Virginia is a key battleground sate that the GOP needs to flip in 2012. Compare the results of the most recent Washington Post poll of Virginia.
In Virginia, the GOP Presidential candidate field is not very popular and well received. If the Republicans want to take back Virginia’s Electoral College votes, they will need to run candidates other than the current field. Calling on Mitch Daniels and/or Chris Christie.
Even if Obama was unpopular in Virginia he’d still be in a decent position to win the state again because the GOP contenders are so weak there. Take those unpopular Republicans and combine them with a decently popular Obama and you have a very difficult battle for the GOP to get Virginia back. And it’s hard to imagine the party winning back the White House without Virginia- because of that fact and because of Obama’s relative strength there, this is looking to me like the most important state in the Presidential race next year.
Exactly and why Mitch Daniels or Chris Christie will jump into the race.
The entire poll is here.