• Barack Obama,  John Boehner

    Wall Street Journal Bags on New Obama Regulations to Cost in Excess of $1 Billion

    +++++Update Below+++++
    President Barack Obama yesterday while addressing the American Legion

    Remember last week when Speaker Boehner wrote the President about Obama Administration regulations and the American economy. Here is my post.

    Well, President Obama HAS responded.

    President Barack Obama says his administration is considering seven new government regulations that would cost the economy more than $1 billion a year, a tally Republicans will pounce on to argue that Congress needs the power to approve costly government rules.

    In a letter to House Speaker John Boehner, Obama lists four proposed Environmental Protection Agency rules and three Department of Transportation rules estimated to cost in excess of $1 billion. One of the proposed EPA rules – an update to the health-based standard for smog – is estimated to cost the economy between $19 billion and $90 billion.

    The letter, dated Tuesday, comes as the Republican-controlled House prepares to consider legislation that would require congressional approval for any new regulations that would impose a significant cost on industries.

    The four environmental regulations, which target air pollution and coal residue primarily from coal-fired power plants, have already been attacked by House Republicans, who have said they would kill jobs and harm the economy.

    The letter was in response to a Boehner request last week for more details from the president on the proposed costs of the most expensive regulations under consideration by his administration. Obama’s administration has identified 219 proposed regulations this year with a cost to the economy of more than $100 million.

    Obama said a number of regulations being contemplated are in such preliminary stages of review that they have no reliable cost estimates.

    The president said the seven proposals he did identify are not final and that his administration will give careful consideration to cost-savings. He said his administration already has made changes that have saved more than $10 billion in regulatory costs over the next five years, and said new regulations must meet cost-saving requirements that he ordered earlier this year.

    He also defended his regulatory record, saying the cost of final rules adopted in 2007 and 2008, during the administration of President George W. Bush, were higher than in the first two years of his administration.

    Now, I see the Obama Administration’s strategy = blame the Bush Administration.

    I don’t think this is going to fly in the GOP dominated House, especially when you have American business already complaining.

    Update:

    Here is a piece in the Wall Street Journal that directly answers the problems with regulations and the Obama Administration.

    Among the core assumptions of modern liberalism is that future regulations have no more effect on the economy than future taxes, as if expectations don’t matter and businesses don’t prepare now for their costs tomorrow. President Obama’s letter to John Boehner yesterday is a classic of the genre.

    Last week the Speaker asked the White House to disclose any federal rules in the works with economic costs of $1 billion or more. Proposed or final rule-makings are defined as “major” when their estimated annual costs exceed $100 million. The Obama regulatory agenda for 2011 contains 219 such items. Last year, that figure was 191, versus the combined total for the first two years of the Bush Administration of 103. Amid this surge, Mr. Boehner’s underlying point was that the regulatory ambitions of the Obamanauts are redefining “major,” much in the way trillion is the new billion for government spending.

    Mr. Obama responded by identifying seven pending major rules topping $1 billion, like the Department of Transportation’s federal motor vehicle safety standard No. 111 for rearview mirrors ($3 billion) and the Environmental Protection Agency’s ozone regulations (as much as $90 billion). But even that understates the costs, as Mr. Obama explains at length. The regulatory agenda is “merely a list of rules that are under general contemplation” and “merely proposed” and “includes a large number of rules that are in a highly preliminary state, with no reliable cost estimate.”

    In other words, regulations that the Administration plans to issue don’t count. The President’s health-care plan doesn’t affect hiring because it doesn’t really kick in until 2014, and the Dodd-Frank financial reregulation isn’t a drag on lending because no one knows what dozens of agencies may do, except that it will be very expensive.

    Mr. Obama adds that “it is extremely important to minimize regulatory burdens and to avoid unjustified regulatory costs.” That “unjustified” is doing a lot of work in that sentence, but we’ll merely note that you can’t minimize or avoid them if you pretend they don’t exist until they formally enter the Federal Register.

  • Barack Obama,  John Boehner

    New Obama Regulations to Cost in Excess of $1 Billion

    President Barack Obama yesterday while addressing the American Legion

    Remember last week when Speaker Boehner wrote the President about Obama Administration regulations and the American economy. Here is my post.

    Well, President Obama HAS responded.

    President Barack Obama says his administration is considering seven new government regulations that would cost the economy more than $1 billion a year, a tally Republicans will pounce on to argue that Congress needs the power to approve costly government rules.

    In a letter to House Speaker John Boehner, Obama lists four proposed Environmental Protection Agency rules and three Department of Transportation rules estimated to cost in excess of $1 billion. One of the proposed EPA rules — an update to the health-based standard for smog — is estimated to cost the economy between $19 billion and $90 billion.

    The letter, dated Tuesday, comes as the Republican-controlled House prepares to consider legislation that would require congressional approval for any new regulations that would impose a significant cost on industries.

    The four environmental regulations, which target air pollution and coal residue primarily from coal-fired power plants, have already been attacked by House Republicans, who have said they would kill jobs and harm the economy.

    The letter was in response to a Boehner request last week for more details from the president on the proposed costs of the most expensive regulations under consideration by his administration. Obama’s administration has identified 219 proposed regulations this year with a cost to the economy of more than $100 million.

    Obama said a number of regulations being contemplated are in such preliminary stages of review that they have no reliable cost estimates.

    The president said the seven proposals he did identify are not final and that his administration will “give careful consideration” to cost-savings. He said his administration already has made changes that have saved more than $10 billion in regulatory costs over the next five years, and said new regulations must meet cost-saving requirements that he ordered earlier this year.

    He also defended his regulatory record, saying the cost of final rules adopted in 2007 and 2008, during the administration of President George W. Bush, were higher than in the first two years of his administration.

    Now, I see the Obama Administration’s strategy = blame the Bush Administration.

    I don’t think this is going to fly in the GOP dominated House, especially when you have American business already complaining.

  • Michele Bachmann,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Another Poll – Another Rick Perry Lead – Perry 26% Vs. Romney 20% Vs. Bachmann 12%

    According to the latest Quinnipiac Poll.

    Among Republicans and independent voters leaning Republican, Perry gets 24 percent to Romney’s 18 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s 11 percent, Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann’s 10 percent, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul’s 9 percent and businessman Herman Cain’s 5 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 3 percent, while former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, former Sen. Rick Santorum and Michigan U.S. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter get 1 percent each. 

    If Palin doesn’t run, Perry leads Romney 26 – 20 percent with Bachmann at 12 percent. 

    Romney is viewed favorably by 36 percent, unfavorably by 27 percent – somewhat better than Perry’s split 22 – 23 percent favorable rating, with 55 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. Among Republicans, however, Perry is 44 – 5 percent favorable, compared to Romney’s 57 – 14 favorable rating. Bachmann is 36 – 26 percent unfavorable among all voters and 50 – 14 percent favorable among Republicans.

    In general election match-ups, Romney is tied with Obama and Obama leads Perry by 3 points.

    Again, this is a national poll and means less than the early GOP states where the race will occur first. 

    The only unknown in this race is whether Sarah Palin will run. Otherwise, it will be Perry as the front-runner Vs. Romney the moderate-establishment candidate.

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  • Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

    President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Perry 41% Vs. Romney 12% Vs. Paul 11% Vs. Bachmann 9%

    According to the latest Zogby Poll.

    It is a Zogby Poll, which is somewhat unreliable, but even so what a big lead for Governor Rick Perry. Unless the Zogby Poll folks have really screwed up the sample, Perry really is the front-runner now – by a large margin.

    One thing is positive: Two candidate race = Perry and Romney.

    The rest are done.

  • Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

    President 2012 GOP South Carolina Poll Watch: Perry 36% Vs. Romney 16% Vs. Bachmann 13%

    According to the lastest PPP Poll.

    There might not be a state that betters symbolizes the fundamental shift that’s occurred in the Republican Presidential race over the last few months than South Carolina. When PPP last polled there in early June, Mitt Romney led everyone in the field by at least 15 points. But now with Rick Perry’s entry Romney has lost almost half of his support. That leaves Perry with a 20 point lead- he’s at 36% to 16% for Romney, 13% for Michele Bachmann, 9% for Herman Cain, 8% for Newt Gingrich, 5% for Ron Paul, 4% for Rick Santorum, and 2% for Jon Huntsman.

    Voters on the far right side of the Republican spectrum have been dying for a candidate they can call their own and Perry is filling that void. With folks describing themselves as ‘very conservative,’ which is the largest segment of the GOP electorate in South Carolina, Perry’s at 44% to 14% for Bachmann, with Romney mired in single digits at 9%.

    Now, we know why Romney is suddenly attending South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint’s Labor Day forum.

    The entire poll is here.

  • Jim DeMint,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

    President 2012: Romney NOW going to Attend DeMint’s South Carolina Forum

    Jen Rubin has the news.

    Right Turn has learned that, after several weeks of schedule adjustment, Mitt Romney will now appear at the candidate forum hosted by Sen. Jim DeMint in South Carolina. The Romney camp dismisses the suggestion that this is in response to Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s rise in the polls. Romney spokeswoman Andrea Saul tells me: “We’re pleased we were able to arrange our schedule so that Gov. Romney can attend Labor Day events in both New Hampshire and South Carolina.”

    With Texas Governor Rick Perry swamping Mitt Romney in the polls, Romney had to make an appearance. Why, he did not previously committ in South Carolina is anyone’s guess?

    Remember these two will face off with the rest of the field, including Michele Bachmann next Wednesday at the Reagan Presidential Library here in California. The debate will be televised on MSNBC at 8 PM Eastern.

  • Herman Cain,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry,  Rudy Giuliani,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 Poll Watch: Rick Perry and Herman Cain Gain in GOP Field – Perry the CLEAR Front-Runner



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    Herman Cain and Rick Perry continue to generate strongly favorable impressions among Republicans familiar with them. Meanwhile, those familiar with Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, and Ron Paul express less intensely positive opinions of those candidates now than at any point this year. The result is a clear separation of 12 percentage points between the top and middle tiers of Republican presidential candidates in Gallup’s Positive Intensity Score from Aug. 15-28 Gallup Daily tracking. The average Positive Intensity Scores show much smaller gaps between the current top- and middle-tier candidates.

    Two potential candidates included in the measurement, Sarah Palin and Rudy Giuliani, fall between the middle and top tiers, with current scores of 16 and 17, respectively.

    Of all the candidates Gallup tracks, Jon Huntsman has the lowest score, 1. That is also his personal low, and he is one of four candidates, along with Romney, Bachmann, and Paul, to have a personal low in the current data. Newt Gingrich, still mired in the lower tier of candidates with Huntsman and Paul, has shown some improvement in his score in recent weeks, now 7 after descending to 1 at the end of July.

    So, what does this all mean?

    Texas Governor Rick Perry is solidfying his front-runner status in this race. Governor Perry is the CLEAR front-runner at this point.

    Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann are starting to fade and the rest of the field are non-starters.

    Game over for Perry – unless there is some monumental gaffe.

    The Chart:

  • Barack Obama,  Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 Poll Watch: Obama Weekly Approval at Term-Low of 40%

    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    President Barack Obama’s job approval rating averaged 40% last week, tying his record-low 40% ratings for the two prior weeks that started on Aug. 8.

    The Aug. 22-28 weekly average of Gallup Daily tracking includes Obama’s worst three-day average approval rating thus far in his presidency: 38% approval and 55% disapproval from Aug. 25-27. Gallup suspended Daily tracking on Aug. 28 because of the hurricane conditions affecting much of the East Coast.

    Obama continues to receive broad support from blacks (83%); however, this is the third consecutive week he has earned less than majority support from Hispanics, and the current 44% — also registered the prior week — is his lowest from this group. Whites’ 32% average approval rating in each of the past two weeks is also a record low.

    The demographic chart.

    President Obama is between a rock and a hard spot with pandering to ethnic communities. If he delivers the political capital to one, he will alienate two others. Of course, this is what you reap when you play the race game and not the IDEA game.

    So, what does this mean?

    President Obama’s approval rating has leveled off at the low point of his presidency, averaging 40% for the third straight week. Notably, his approval rating among several groups that previously gave him strong majority support — postgraduates, Hispanics, 18- to 29-year-olds, and lower-income Americans — is now below the 50% threshold.

    Obama is now midway through his 11th quarter in office. While his current 40% approval could be a troubling sign for him heading into the 2012 election, previous Gallup analysis has found that incumbent presidents’ ratings in their 12th and 13th quarters are much more indicative of their re-election prospects.