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President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich 28% Vs. Cain 25% Vs. Romney 18% Vs. Perry 6%
According to the latest PPP Poll.Newt Gingrich has taken the lead in PPP’s national polling. He’s at 28% to 25% for Herman Cain and 18% for Mitt Romney. The rest of the Republican field is increasingly looking like a bunch of also rans: Rick Perry is at 6%, Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul at 5%, Jon Huntsman at 3%, and Gary Johnson and Rick Santorum each at 1%.
Compared to a month ago Gingrich is up 13 points, while Cain has dropped by 5 points and Romney has gone down by 4. Although a fair amount of skepticism remains about the recent allegations against Cain there is no doubt they are taking a toll on his image- his net favorability is down 25 points over the last month from +51 (66/15) to only +26 (57/31). What is perhaps a little more surprising is that Romney’s favorability is at a 6 month low in our polling too with only 48% of voters seeing him favorably to 39% with a negative opinion.
Gingrich’s lead caps an amazing comeback he’s made over the last 5 months. In June his favorability nationally with Republican voters plummeted all the way to 36/49. Now he’s at 68/23, representing a 58 point improvement in his spread since then. As recently as August Gingrich was mired in single digits at 7%, and even in September he was at just 10%. He’s climbed 18 points in less than 2 months.
There’s reason to think that if Cain continues to fade, Gingrich will continue to gain. Among Cain’s supporters 73% have a favorable opinion of Gingrich to only 21% with a negative one. That compares to a 33/55 spread for Romney with Cain voters and a 32/53 one for Perry. They like Gingrich a whole lot more than they do the other serious candidates in the race.
Cain’s base of strength continues to be with Tea Party voters, where he gets 33% to 31% for Gingrich, and only 11% for Romney. This is where you can really see that Gingrich will be the beneficiary if Cain continues to implode- Gingrich’s favorability with Tea Partiers is 81/14. Romney’s is 43/45. There’s a lot of room for Gingrich to build up support with that key group of Republican voters.
So, despite Gingrich’s conservative flaws will Newt be able to curry favor with The Tea Party more than Romney?
Probably and with Herman Cain all but out of the race, Gingrich is looking like the comeback kid.
Guess those Gingrich staffers who quit him and went to work for Rick Perry are feeling fairly low about now.
Stay tuned since the race remains very fluid.
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President 2012: Is Newt Gingrich the Next Conservative Anti-Romney Candidate?
Republican presidential candidate, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, poses for a picture with ten-year-old Carmella Adair and her eight-year-old brother George at a kick-off party for the opening of the Newt2012 office in Manchester, N.H., Friday, Nov. 11, 2011
So, is former House Speaker Newt Gingrich the newest anti-Romney conservative candidate?
Perhaps, but Jennifer Rubin does the vetting of the former House Speaker.
In short, Gingrich isn’t exactly the conservative dreamboat the right has been pining for. Just as his dexterity in debates has given him a lift, the penchant for gaffes places him in constant peril. He’s better informed than Perry and Cain and actually knows something about foreign affairs, but the idea that he is the solution to the ideologically erratic Romney is, well, absurd. That said, for those now embarrassed to vote for Cain or Perry, Gingrich may be a more acceptable choice, so long as he doesn’t once again blow himself up.
But, unless there is a draft candidate movement, the ONLY real choice for GOP voters will be Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich. The others like Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry just won’t cut it.
At present, it is a hard choice, but I am leaning towards Gingrich.
Stay tuned…..
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Day By Day October 30, 2011 – Outside of the Box
Chris, many conservatives are happy with the prospect that Mitt Romney will be the GOP nominee to face off against President Obama. Romney is NOT a conservative and has some real policy baggage e.g. flip-flops, RomneyCare.What is the Republican Party to do?
They better get busy and draft someone else (like Rep. Paul Ryan, Mike Huckabee, Mitch Daniels) or go with the only other qualified conservative candidate for President, Newt Gingrich.
Sorry, but Herman Cain, who has never held political office before, does not have the policy chops, or the experience in government to be the Republican nominee.
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President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Cain 29% Vs. Romney 29% Vs. Gingrich 11% – Gingrich Moves Into Show
Matt Drudge screams that Newt Gingrich is back in the race.Indeed, he is…….
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President 2012: Newt Gingrich to Speak in Newbury Park Tomorrow Morning
Republican presidential candidate former Rep. Newt Gingrich speaks at the American Principles Project Palmetto Freedom Forum Monday, Sept. 5, 2011, in Columbia, S.C..
At 10 AM tomorrow.From the press release:
This is so close, I may just have to walk over and cover the event. -
Michele Bachmann, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polling, President 2012, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty
President 2012 New Hampshire GOP Poll Watch: Michele Bachmann Now in Second Place to Mitt Romney
According to the latest Suffolk University Poll.
While former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney remains a front-runner in New Hampshire, Michele Bachmann climbed 8 points since May, to 11 percent, according to a Suffolk University/7NEWS (WHDH TV) poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s GOP presidential primary.
Bachmann’s gain was more than that of any other candidate. Romney, with 36 percent support, gained 1 point since Suffolk University’s last Granite State poll was released nearly two months ago.
GOP Primary election:
- Mitt Romney – 36%
- Michele Bachmann – 11%
- Ron Paul – 8%
- Rudy Giuliani – 5%
- Sarah Paln – 4%
- Jon Huntsman – 4%
- Tim Pawlenty – 2%
- Newt Gingrich – 2%
Michele Bachmann distinguished herself in he Manchester, New Hampshire debate a few weeks ago and it is paying her dividends in the polls.
Among those who watched the Republican Presidential debate in Manchester earlier this month, 33 percent said Romney won the debate, while 31 percent gave the win to Bachmann.
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Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polling, President 2012, Rick Perry, Sarah Palin
President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Romney 30% Palin 14% Cain 12% Perry 8%
According to the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.
- Mitt Romney ………………….. 30
- Sarah Palin …………………… 14
- Herman Cain ………………….. 12
- Rick Perry ……………………… 8
- Ron Paul ……………………….. 7
- Newt Gingrich ………………… 6
- Tim Pawlenty ………………… 4
- Rick Santorum ……………….. 4
- Michele Bachmann …………. 3
- Jon Huntsman ………………… 1
- Other (VOL) ………………… 1
- None (VOL) …………………. 2
- Not sure ………………………… 8
As, I said earlier today, Mitt Romney is starting to consoldiate his position as a front-runner in the GOP field. If conservatives have an alternative, they had better declare now or the current field will battle it out and Romney looks like a winner.
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President 2012: South Carolina Pols To Draft Chris Christie?
Some South Carolina POLS will try to persuade the New Jersey Governor.
Multiple South Carolina state representatives plan on holding a news conference next week to urge New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie to enter the presidential race.
Republican state Rep. Kris Crawford told POLITICO the goal was to entice a candidate capable of going “toe to toe with the Obama political machine,” and at least a few state lawmakers think Christie fits the bill.
Crawford and state Rep. Phyllis Henderson — who previously told Roll Call she hoped to spark a Christie draft — have scheduled a “Draft Chris Christie for President” event from the statehouse steps at 3:30 p.m. on Wednesday. Crawford said he and Henderson are taking point for the event, but hope that between half a dozen and a dozen legislators show up.
“Having had conversations on the floor for the last two months, I know that there’s interest out there,” Crawford said. “Here’s a guy who’s willing to have the hard conversation, speak the truth and take on what is, frankly, going to be a really tough political operation on the Democratic side.”
Yesterday it was Rudy Giuliani, today it is Texas Governor Rick Perry, next week it is Chris Christie.
The GOP Presidential field is growing and getting a little crowded, although the race probably lost one today in Newt Gingrich.
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President 2012: Newt Gingrich’s Campaign Staff Resigns En Masse – Going Over to Rick Perry?
Probably so, as I am tweeted the name and Hot Air seems to confirm.
Newt Gingrich’s top staff quit en masse Thursday, throwing into question whether his already troubled presidential campaign can continue.
Two sources close to the situation confirmed that campaign manager Rob Johnson, strategists Sam Dawson and Dave Carney, spokesman Rick Tyler, and consultants Katon Dawson in South Carolina and Craig Schoenfeld in Iowa have all quit to protest what one called a “different vision” for the campaign.
The sources said Gingrich was staying in the race.
The mass resignation was, one source said, “a team decision.”
“We just had a different direction in which we wanted to take the campaign,” said a second source.
Gingrich was intent on using technology and standing out at debates to get traction while his advisers believed he needed to run a campaign that incorporated both traditional, grassroots techniques as well as new ideas.
One official said the last straw came when Gingrich went forward with taking a long-planned cruise with his wife last week in the Greek isles.
After his bumpy start, rumors began to circulate in the political community the former House speaker’s days as a candidate were numbered. But the collective decision by his high command to quit makes it likely that his demise will be hastened.
Let’s see. Rudy Giuliani is thinking he is in and now Texas Governor Rick Perry. What does that say about the race?
It says that POLS think Obama is vulnerable.
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Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polling, President 2012, Rudy Giuliani, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty
President 2012 Poll Watch: Romney 49% Vs. Obama 46%
According to the latest Washington Post-ABC News Poll.The public opinion boost President Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden has dissipated, and Americans’ disapproval of how he is handling the nation’s economy and the deficit has reached new highs, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.
The survey portrays a broadly pessimistic mood in the country this spring as higher gasoline prices, sliding home values and a disappointing employment picture have raised fresh concerns about the pace of the economic recovery.
By 2 to 1, Americans say the country is pretty seriously on the wrong track, and nine in 10 continue to rate the economy in negative terms. Nearly six in 10 say the economy has not started to recover, regardless of what official statistics may say, and most of those who say it has improved rate the recovery as weak.
New Post-ABC numbers show Obama leading five of six potential Republican presidential rivals tested in the poll. But he is in a dead heat with former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, who formally announced his 2012 candidacy last week, making jobs and the economy the central issues in his campaign.
Again, this is a national poll, so take it with a grain of salt. We all know that it is the election in key battleground states that really matter.
Mitt Romney is leading President Obama, 49% to 46% among registered voters but it is within the margin of error, so it is not statistically relevant, although it does point out Obama’s vulnerability. The other GOP candidates do not fair as well as Mitt Romney (see the graphic above).
GOP Primary election:- Romney – 21% (16%, 4/172011)
- Palin – 17% (5%)
- Giuliani – 8% (NA)
- Gingrich – 6% (2%)
- Paul – 6% (2%)
- Pawlenty – 4% (1%)
- Cain – 4% (NA)
- Bachmann – 3% (1%)
- None of the above – 5% (12%)
Well, Mitt Romney is polling the best against Obama but it is uncertain as to whether he can win in the GOP nomination race. It is also uncertain whether Sarah Palin or Rudy Giuliani will run.
My best guess, is that should Sarah Palin decide to roll the dice and run, that Rudy Giuliani will also enter the race. Rudy will count on the divisiveness of a Romney Vs. Palin contest, while he easily wins East and West Coast Republican primary elections and delegates. He might also figure a deal with Romney to defeat Palin. A wild card in all of this will be Michele Bachmann who will run strong in the Iowa Caucus and may gather some momentum going into South Carolina.
So, what does this all mean?
The economy is weak, voters do not think it is improving, Obama is in trouble and the GOP Presidential field while hopeful, is uncertain, with no front runner.