-
President 2012 Poll Watch: GOP Insiders Pick Romney Over Perry to Beat Obama
According to the latest National Journal Poll.Texas Gov. Rick Perry may be surging in polls of Republican primary voters, but his party’s Insiders aren’t convinced he’d be the best general election candidate. More than two-thirds of Republican Insiders say Mitt Romney has a better chance than Perry of defeating President Obama in 2012, according to this week’s National Journal Political Insiders Poll.
This is the first poll in weeks that can please Mitt Romney. But, GOP Insiders do not vote in Iowa, South Carolina and Florida.
Many Republican Insiders acknowledged Perry’s appeal to conservatives but questioned his ability to win over independent voters. “Perry can fire up the base, but this election will be won in the middle, not on the fringes,” said one. Said another, “Having trouble ID-ing a single independent who’d vote for Perry.”
Democratic Insiders echoed that assessment by an even larger majority. “This election is sitting on a platter for Republicans if they do it right,” said one. “Romney is probably good enough. Perry will get drilled by independent voters and women.” Another quipped, “Rick Perry is all base and no swing.”
Insiders in both parties raised questions about Perry’s durability under the intense scrutiny of a presidential campaign. “As a conservative Republican, I love Rick Perry,” said one Republican Insider, who added “but as a campaign strategist, I know the degree to which a few self-reinforcing oppo-hits can devastate a candidate.” A Democratic Insider said plainly, “Perry’s mouth will do him in.”
-
President 2012 Poll Watch: Perry 44% Vs. Obama 41%
According to the latest Rasmussen Poll.
For the first time this year, Texas Governor Rick Perry leads President Obama in a national Election 2012 survey. Other Republican candidates trail the president by single digits.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows Perry picking up 44% of the vote while the president earns support from 41%. Given the margin of sampling error (+/- 3 percentage points) and the fact that the election is more than a year away, the race between the two men is effectively a toss-up. Just over a week ago, the president held a three-point advantage over Perry.
Rick Perry has vaulted ahead of the field and is now beating the incumbent President. President Obama is in trouble.
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney currently trails the president by four percentage points, 43% to 39%. That’s a slight improvement for the Republican compared to a week ago. Earlier in the year, Romney held a one-point edge when matched against the president. Prior to today’s release, that was the only time a named Republican has held any kind of lead over President Obama. A Generic Republican currently leads the president 48% to 40%.
-
President 2012: Perry Panic Grips Romney Campaign?
If not now, then when?Politico leads off its home page today with this headline: “Romney Camp Not Panicking — Yet.” The story that follows describes how the Romney campaign plans to respond in the coming months to Perry’s remarkable surge.
Taegan Goddard (who edits the excellent Political Wire website) neatly summarizes the Romney campaign’s stop-Perry plan: “1)…Sarah Palin jumps into the race and pulls Tea Party voters away from Perry, 2)…. Michigan moves up its primary in the GOP calendar, and 3)….Perry (makes) a mistake in the series of post-Labor Day debates.”
I don’t think Mitt Romney will wait for Sarah Palin or Michigan.
He will start after Rick Perry in South Carolina on Labor Day. The anti-Perry mail will start in Iowa and Florida.
Romney is a brutal campaigner and he is not going to have this nomination stolen from him.
-
Rick Perry: They Called Reagan Dumb Too
Republican presidential candidate, Texas Gov. Rick Perry gestures while addressing the Veterans of Foreign Wars 112th National Conference, Monday, Aug. 29, 2011, in San Antonio. Perry was invited to speak on behalf of Texas before he formally entered the presidential race
Actually, they called Ronald Reagan worse, as I recall.Texas governor Rick Perry called into the Sean Hannity radio program Tuesday afternoon, where he responded to questions about his intelligence first raised in a Politico article with the blunt headline: “Is Rick Perry Dumb?”
Perry, who has surged in the polls since he announced his candidacy just over two weeks ago, shrugged off the speculation that has become fodder for cable news.
“It’s kind of the same old attacks that they made on President Reagan,” he said. “The better we do down here in Texas, my bet is the more they’re going to attack us and that’s fine. I think my record is going to stand the scrutiny of time across the country.”
Perry, who made many C’s and D’s as a student at Texas A&M, turned the attack on the Harvard-educated Barack Obama — whose transcripts have not been released to the public.
“What’s dumb is to oversee an economy that has lost that many millions of jobs, to put unemployment numbers – over his four years will stay probably at 9 percent, to downgrade the credit of this good country, to put fiscal policies in place that were a disaster back in the ’30s and try them again in the 2000s — that’s what I consider to be the definition of dumb,” he charged.Who cares about the grades.
What does Perry stand for and what is his record?
Obviously, the three time elected Governor of Texas is NOT dumb.
-
President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Another Poll – Another Rick Perry Lead – Perry 26% Vs. Romney 20% Vs. Bachmann 12%
According to the latest Quinnipiac Poll.
Among Republicans and independent voters leaning Republican, Perry gets 24 percent to Romney’s 18 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s 11 percent, Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann’s 10 percent, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul’s 9 percent and businessman Herman Cain’s 5 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 3 percent, while former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, former Sen. Rick Santorum and Michigan U.S. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter get 1 percent each.
If Palin doesn’t run, Perry leads Romney 26 – 20 percent with Bachmann at 12 percent.
Romney is viewed favorably by 36 percent, unfavorably by 27 percent – somewhat better than Perry’s split 22 – 23 percent favorable rating, with 55 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. Among Republicans, however, Perry is 44 – 5 percent favorable, compared to Romney’s 57 – 14 favorable rating. Bachmann is 36 – 26 percent unfavorable among all voters and 50 – 14 percent favorable among Republicans.
In general election match-ups, Romney is tied with Obama and Obama leads Perry by 3 points.
Again, this is a national poll and means less than the early GOP states where the race will occur first.
The only unknown in this race is whether Sarah Palin will run. Otherwise, it will be Perry as the front-runner Vs. Romney the moderate-establishment candidate.
-
President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Perry 41% Vs. Romney 12% Vs. Paul 11% Vs. Bachmann 9%
According to the latest Zogby Poll.It is a Zogby Poll, which is somewhat unreliable, but even so what a big lead for Governor Rick Perry. Unless the Zogby Poll folks have really screwed up the sample, Perry really is the front-runner now – by a large margin.
One thing is positive: Two candidate race = Perry and Romney.
The rest are done.
-
President 2012 GOP South Carolina Poll Watch: Perry 36% Vs. Romney 16% Vs. Bachmann 13%
According to the lastest PPP Poll.
There might not be a state that betters symbolizes the fundamental shift that’s occurred in the Republican Presidential race over the last few months than South Carolina. When PPP last polled there in early June, Mitt Romney led everyone in the field by at least 15 points. But now with Rick Perry’s entry Romney has lost almost half of his support. That leaves Perry with a 20 point lead- he’s at 36% to 16% for Romney, 13% for Michele Bachmann, 9% for Herman Cain, 8% for Newt Gingrich, 5% for Ron Paul, 4% for Rick Santorum, and 2% for Jon Huntsman.
Voters on the far right side of the Republican spectrum have been dying for a candidate they can call their own and Perry is filling that void. With folks describing themselves as ‘very conservative,’ which is the largest segment of the GOP electorate in South Carolina, Perry’s at 44% to 14% for Bachmann, with Romney mired in single digits at 9%.
Now, we know why Romney is suddenly attending South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint’s Labor Day forum.
-
President 2012: Romney NOW going to Attend DeMint’s South Carolina Forum
Jen Rubin has the news.Right Turn has learned that, after several weeks of schedule adjustment, Mitt Romney will now appear at the candidate forum hosted by Sen. Jim DeMint in South Carolina. The Romney camp dismisses the suggestion that this is in response to Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s rise in the polls. Romney spokeswoman Andrea Saul tells me: “We’re pleased we were able to arrange our schedule so that Gov. Romney can attend Labor Day events in both New Hampshire and South Carolina.”
With Texas Governor Rick Perry swamping Mitt Romney in the polls, Romney had to make an appearance. Why, he did not previously committ in South Carolina is anyone’s guess?
Remember these two will face off with the rest of the field, including Michele Bachmann next Wednesday at the Reagan Presidential Library here in California. The debate will be televised on MSNBC at 8 PM Eastern.
-
President 2012 Poll Watch: Rick Perry and Herman Cain Gain in GOP Field – Perry the CLEAR Front-Runner
According to the latest Gallup Poll.Herman Cain and Rick Perry continue to generate strongly favorable impressions among Republicans familiar with them. Meanwhile, those familiar with Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, and Ron Paul express less intensely positive opinions of those candidates now than at any point this year. The result is a clear separation of 12 percentage points between the top and middle tiers of Republican presidential candidates in Gallup’s Positive Intensity Score from Aug. 15-28 Gallup Daily tracking. The average Positive Intensity Scores show much smaller gaps between the current top- and middle-tier candidates.
Two potential candidates included in the measurement, Sarah Palin and Rudy Giuliani, fall between the middle and top tiers, with current scores of 16 and 17, respectively.
Of all the candidates Gallup tracks, Jon Huntsman has the lowest score, 1. That is also his personal low, and he is one of four candidates, along with Romney, Bachmann, and Paul, to have a personal low in the current data. Newt Gingrich, still mired in the lower tier of candidates with Huntsman and Paul, has shown some improvement in his score in recent weeks, now 7 after descending to 1 at the end of July.
So, what does this all mean?
Texas Governor Rick Perry is solidfying his front-runner status in this race. Governor Perry is the CLEAR front-runner at this point.
Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann are starting to fade and the rest of the field are non-starters.
Game over for Perry – unless there is some monumental gaffe.
The Chart:
-
President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Perry 27% Vs. Romney 14% Vs. Palin 10% Vs. Bachmann and Giuliani 9%
According to the latest CNN Poll.
The survey, released Monday, indicates that 27 percent of Republicans nationwide support Perry for their party’s nomination, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who’s making his second bid for the White House, at 14 percent. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin follows at ten percent, with Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at nine percent, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who’s making his third bid for the presidency, at six percent. Every one else listed on the questionnaire registered in the low single digits.
Another national poll, like Gallup, last week that shows Texas Governor Rick Perry as the front-runner.
The momentum has been clear and it is all Perry.
Wonder what Sarah Palin is thinking now?