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Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polling, President 2012, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty
President 2012 Nevada GOP Poll Watch: Romney 24% Trump 16% Gingrich 11% Huckabee 10%
According to the latest PPP Poll.
Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:
- Mitt Romney – 64% Vs. 23%
- Mike Huckabee – 61% Vs. 26%
- Newt Gingrich – 61% Vs. 21%
- Sarah Palin – 65% Vs. 26%
- Donald Trump – 47% Vs. 40%
But, Mitt Romney’s lead is declining as Donald Trump has entered the field.
Mitt Romney continues to be the early favorite to win the Republican race in Nevada next year, as he did in 2008. But his support in the state is on the decline, suggesting he may not be able to take a repeat victory for granted.
This is the fourth look we’ve taken at the GOP contest in Nevada and Romney’s support there has been on a steady decline. Last July he was at 34% in the state and he maintained that 34% standing in an October poll of Republican voters. But in January he dropped to 31% and now he’s at this 24% level. It’s no coincidence that Romney’s loss of support coincides with Pawlenty vaulting from 1% in January to now 8% in the Nevada polling. The two appeal to a similar type of voter and generally any time we’ve seen Pawlenty gain we’ve seen a corresponding Romney fall.
Mitt Romney has to be considered the favorite in the Nevada caucuses. He is Mormon and there is a large population of LDS voters who WILL march to the caucuses to vote for one of their own. Donald Trump will fade as the weeks meander towards summer.
The GOP Caucus preference:
- Romney – 24%
- Trump – 16%
- Gingrich – 11%
- Huckabee 10%
- Palin – 8%
- Pawlenty – 8%
- Bachmann – 7%
- Paul – 5%
Yeah, I would be shocked if Romney did not win Nevada.
So, let’s see how it breaks out:
- Iowa = Huckabee (if he runs)
- New Hampshire = Romney (but by how much?)
- Nevada = Romney
- South Carolina = Huckabee (if he runs)
- Florida (where the real race starts)
- Super Tuesday – ?
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President 2012 Pennsylvania Poll Watch: Obama Approval at 42% Vs. 53% Disapproval
According to the latest Quinnipiac Poll.
President Barack Obama’s job approval rating in Pennsylvania is a negative 42 – 53 percent, an all-time low and a major drop from his 51 – 44 percent approval February 17, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Pennsylvania voters say 52 – 42 percent he does not deserve a second term, his worst showing on that measure also. In a mythical matchup, he gets 40 percent to an unnamed Republican challenger’s 41 percent in the 2012 presidential race.
In a marginally important key battleground state, the GOP must be licking its chops that the President is polling so poorly. If Pennsylvania is going against Obama without EVEN a GOP nominee, he is in serious trouble there. -
Poll Watch: 55% Say the United States is in Recession or Depression
According to the latest Gallup Poll.More than half of Americans (55%) describe the U.S. economy as being in a recession or depression, even as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reports that “the economic recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace.” Another 16% of Americans say the economy is “slowing down,” and 27% believe it is growing.
This poll is better than September 2008 which was the height of the financial melt down, but still higher than 6 months earlier. Most Californians I speak to perceive the economy continuing in recession.
What are the implications?
Although economists announced that the recession ended in mid-2009, more than half of Americans still don’t agree. These ratings are consistent with Gallup’s mid-April findings that 47% of Americans rate the economy “poor” and 19.2% report being underemployed.
It also seems likely that most Americans would not agree with the FOMC’s assessment of the current economic recovery. Nor does it seem likely that — given surging gas and food prices — most would agree with the Committee that “longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and measures of underlying inflation are subdued.”
Although the FOMC seems to perceive current economic conditions differently than most Americans, it does say it needs to “promote a stronger pace of economic recovery” by continuing its aggressive monetary policy, often referred to as “quantitative easing,” through June. On the other hand, in the press conference after the FOMC’s April meeting — the first ever by a Fed chairman — Ben Bernanke said that, “the trade-offs are getting less attractive at this point,” meaning it is getting harder to aggressively add liquidity to stimulate stronger economic growth while avoiding inflation.
In another possible disconnect with monetary policymakers, many Americans may not see the trade-off Bernanke suggests between promoting a stronger economy and experiencing higher inflation. Right now, prices are soaring, yet the latest Gallup Daily tracking data show that 67% of Americans say the economy is “getting worse.”
So, is the predicted inflation the answer?
Doubtful – as some Americans continue to remember the days of Jimmy Carter.
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Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th through April 28th
These are my links for April 27th through April 28th:
- President 2012: Abortion Bill Key to Mitch Daniels Run for Presidency? | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – President 2012: Abortion Bill Key to Mitch Daniels Run for Presidency? #tcot #catcot
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-04-28 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-04-28 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42 #tcot #catcot
- Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
- Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
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Day By Day April 28, 2011 – Shiny
I am glad the entire “BIRTHER” question has been put to rest.Did President Obama obtain an advantage over the flap? Maybe yes or maybe no.
But, the issue has NOT hurt the GOP Presidential candidates and it is very early in the race for 2012.
Now Obama will have to answer to Americans about his failure as a political leader and this will not be defined by the Hawaii Hall of Records.
Previous:
The Day By Day Archive -
President 2012: Abortion Bill Key to Mitch Daniels Run for Presidency?
Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, left, and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice watch the first half of a women’s NCAA Final Four semifinal college basketball game between Texas A&M and Stanford in Indianapolis, Sunday, April 3, 2011
Apparently so.The Indiana House of Representatives voted 66-32 on Wednesday to approve a controversial bill tightening the state’s abortion restrictions and cutting off funding to Planned Parenthood, which now awaits the signature of Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), a potential presidential candidate who has yet to comment publicly on the politically sensitive legislation.
Daniels has seven days to take action on the bill, and has three options once it arrives on his desk: 1) Sign the bill into law; 2) Veto the bill; 3) Do nothing, and allow the bill to become law after seven days without taking a stance.
Daniels’ decision on signing the bill will likely provide the clearest indication yet of which way he’s leaning on a presidential bid. If he signs it, Daniels can proudly tout two blockbuster legislative achievements — the abortion bill, along with his recently passed landmark education reform bill — and enter the Republican primary with two significant ideological victories under his belt, providing him an incredible running start in the slow-developing contest.
If he vetoes the bill, Daniels effectively confirms the suspicions of social conservatives who cringe at the idea of compromising on sensitive issues like abortion — and in doing so, provides the strongest indication yet that he’s putting state governance over presidential politics.
The legislation would introduce some of the nation’s strictest anti-abortion laws to the Hoosier State, including a provision that outlaws abortions performed after the fetus reaches 20 weeks — four weeks earlier than under current state law. Indiana would join Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma as the only states that outlaw abortions after 20 weeks.
A potential sticking point for Daniels, however, is the recent inclusion of a provision that cuts off funding for Planned Parenthood, the non-profit agency that provides reproductive health services to millions of women, including many of the state’s Medicaid patients. Roughly half of Indiana births are covered by Medicaid, and Planned Parenthood’s 28 state offices performed more than 5,500 abortions last year alone. Here’s where it gets tricky for Daniels: due to federal statutes that prohibit states from selectively allocating funds to agencies that serve Medicaid recipients, the measure could cost Indiana millions of federal Medicaid dollars if it becomes law.
Yet despite internal Republican concerns over the Planned Parenthood provision, which was tacked on by the state Senate and approved by the bill’s author, state Rep. Eric Turner (R), the bill passed on Wednesday with only slightly less support than last month, when the original version was approved by a 72-23 vote. The fight is far from over, however, as Planned Parenthood has indicated that it will seek an immediate injunction if and when the bill becomes law.
The bill provides a unique opportunity for Daniels, who will announce his presidential decision after the legislative session ends on Friday, to prove his social bona fides in the eyes of conservative voters who have viewed him with suspicion since he famously called for a “truce” on social issues in order to address the country’s fiscal crisis.
My bet is that Daniels signs the bill AND runs for the Presidency.
Of course, if Daniels vetoes the bill, his Presidential days are over and as a political director for Ronald Reagan’s White House, he knows the political calculus in Iowa and South Carolina.
But, Mitch has been pro-life throughout his career, so he could sign the legislation and then not run for the White House anyway.
Stay tuned as a lot is happening in the GOP Presidential field in the next week.
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@Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-04-28
- Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting http://bit.ly/ihJ0hD #tcot #catcot #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 http://bit.ly/mAEP5E #tcot #catcot #
- Happy birth certificate, Mr. President http://bit.ly/iSlkDI #
- President 2012: Huckabee camp shoots down rumor he won't run in 2012 http://bit.ly/lzD8Wj #
- California Democrat State Senate Leader Darrell Steinberg considers cuts targeting GOP districts http://bit.ly/lEoHTD #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 08:01 http://bit.ly/lCLGVt #tcot #catcot #
- Census Watch: 2010 Latino Electorate = More Voters and More Non-Voters | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/lPtmK1 #
- Dilbert April 22, 2011 – Nice Way | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/mExOuH #
- President 2012 Poll Watch: Romney 46% Vs. Obama 43% | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/mLSBvK #
- Census Watch: 2010 Latino Electorate = More Voters and More Non-Voters http://bit.ly/kZOkRp #tcot #catcot #
- Dilbert April 22, 2011 – Nice Way http://bit.ly/jB6658 #tcot #catcot #
- President 2012 Poll Watch: Romney 46% Vs. Obama 43% http://bit.ly/jlc01a #tcot #catcot #
- The Daily Extraction: Upper Left Submerged Cuspid http://bit.ly/iBSdF6 #
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Donald Trump Polling Unpopular in Swing States http://bit.ly/mvWQK3 #tcot #catcot #
- Washington's Largest Private Dental Insurance Company Cuts Dentists Reimbursements 15 Per Cent http://bit.ly/dXn3ll #
- Medicare As We've Known It Isn't an Option http://on.wsj.com/h8T8pB #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 06:02 http://bit.ly/hQZoDw #tcot #catcot #
- Is Paul Ryan Republicans’ dream presidential candidate? http://wapo.st/fvZOzD #
- Day By Day April 27, 2011 – Above His Pay Grade | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/fG8UoY #
- President Obama's Long Form Birth Certificate | The White House http://bit.ly/gtRNGA #
- President 2012 North Carolina Poll Watch: Obama 48% Vs. Huckabee 47% http://bit.ly/fT09Yn #tcot #catcot #
- Day By Day April 27, 2011 – Above His Pay Grade http://bit.ly/eqdRjU #tcot #catcot #
- Question: What will Chris Matthews have to rant about on MSNBC this afternoon? Oh I know – it is Sarah Palin's fault #tcot #
- Winner of birth certificate release: GOP Presidential candidates #tcot #
- Here ya go folks : RT @rickklein: President Obama's long-form birth certificate: http://bit.ly/eck7zS #tcot #catcot #
- Also, the MSM can move on from the birther talk and ask some questions on why Obama's Presidency sucks so much – well, maybe #tcot #
- Now, the GOP can dispose with Donald Trump and move on to serious candidates to replace Obama who was born in Hawaiii #tcot #
- Joke of the Day: Obama finally releases his birth certificate. #tcot #
- Donald Trump: Now Can We Call Him A RINO? http://bit.ly/eOG1bU #
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-04-27 http://bit.ly/hHpjN1 #tcot #catcot #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 26th on 19:27 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/gboWfs #
- The Associated Press: Daniels' timeline for White House campaign ticking http://bit.ly/gZ0UVu #
- Giuliani leaving 'door open' to White House run – Washington Times http://bit.ly/e2BFjm #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 26th on 19:41 http://bit.ly/e4OpsZ #tcot #catcot #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 26th on 19:27 http://bit.ly/dYckLl #tcot #catcot #
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Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42
These are my links for April 27th from 16:42 to 20:03:
- Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger #tcot #catcot
- Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 #tcot #catcot
- Happy birth certificate, Mr. President – Happy birth certificate, Mr. President
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Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:42
These are my links for April 27th from 16:42 to 20:03:
- Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Chicago Cardinal Francis George Suspends Rev. Michael Pfleger #tcot #catcot
- Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Dilbert April 23, 2011 – Long Meeting #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for April 27th on 16:01 #tcot #catcot
- Happy birth certificate, Mr. President – Happy birth certificate, Mr. President