• Day By Day,  Democrats,  GOP

    Day By Day November 29, 2009 – Card Sharks



    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    Chris, you make a great precise with your cartoon above for the coming campaign for Congress in November 2010. The Republican Party considered moribund just one year ago will make a comeback.

    How much of a comeback will depend upon how many good candidates who will make a run at incumbent Democrats.

    However, shouild health care reform be rammed through the Congress, the economy remains weak with high unemployment, the Republican candidates will be lining up en masse.

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  • Barbara Boxer,  Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  David Paterson,  Democrats,  George Pataki,  GOP,  Kirsten Gillibrand,  Rudy Giuliani

    Are the United States Senate Democrats With 60 Members At Their High-Water Mark?

    The composition of the United States Senate, September 2009

    Apparently so, according to Charlie Cook.

    One of Vice President Joe Biden‘s long-standing and endearing qualities is his gift of hyperbole. The Washington Post recently quoted Biden as saying at a Democratic fundraiser that, of the 54 House seats Democrats have flipped in the last two elections cycles, “If [Republicans] take them back, this is the end of the road for what [President Obama] and I are trying to do.”

    While he overstates the case, Biden’s worry applies at least as much in the Senate. The Democrats’ majority status next year is not in doubt, but their 60-seat majority is in grave danger and the odds of their maintaining control after 2012 and 2014 are increasingly remote.

    The Senate seats up in next year’s midterm elections are evenly split, with 19 on each side. But in 2012, Democrats have 23 seats at risk (counting Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.) compared to only nine for the GOP. In 2014, it’s 20 Democrats up, to only 13 for Republicans.

    Good news for the GOP.

    California:

    In California, it’s unclear how tough the re-election challenge will be for Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer. The biggest question there is whether Carly Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, is ready for prime time politics.

    Note: there is NO mention of Carly Fiorina’s GOP challenger Assemblyman Chuck DeVore.

    New York:

    New York is also very murky. Former Republican Gov. George Pataki might run. Remember that he knocked off Democratic Gov. Mario Cuomo in 1994, the last really bad year for Democrats. There are other first-tier Republicans — former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and former Rep. Rick Lazio — who are looking at the gubernatorial race but might be enticed to take on Gillibrand.

    Probably Rudy for Governor against Paterson and Pataki against Gillibrand. Then, a likely dual pick-up for the GOP.


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  • Day By Day,  Democrats

    Day By Day by Chris Muir September 20, 2009 Let the Market Speak

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    Interesting isn’t it that the Democratic Party constituencies that Obama cherishes so much have been under his party’s rule for over fifty years.

    And, how about “BLUE” bankrupt California whose legislature has been dominated by Democrats for decades.

    When will these communities figure out they have been ill served?

    Another fifty years?

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  • Day By Day,  Democrats

    Day By Day by Chris Muir September 19, 2009 – Dodge City

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    Well. Chris, America is remembering that “BIG GOVERNMENT” does NOT work. Obama was elected with  this mandate and elections have consequences.

    Should Americans NOT like the direction of the country then they can throw the bums out in 2010.

    This is why Blue Dog Democrats who were elected in conservative districts are so worried. If Obama’s and the Democrat Leadership’s policies are so dispised, they will be swept out of office FIRST.

    And, they will be.

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  • Democrats,  GOP,  Obamacare

    Will The Democrats OWN Obamacare?

    Why, of course they will.

    Given hardening Republican opposition to congressional health care proposals, Democrats now say they see little chance for the minority’s cooperation in approving any overhaul, and are increasingly focused on drawing support for a final plan from within their own ranks.

    Top Democrats said Tuesday that their go-it-alone view was being shaped by what they saw as Republicans’ purposely strident tone against health care legislation during this month’s congressional recess, as well as remarks by leading Republicans that current proposals were flawed beyond repair.

    The White House spokesman, Robert Gibbs, said of Republican lawmakers, “Only a handful seem interested in the type of comprehensive reform that so many people believe is necessary to ensure the principles and the goals that the president has laid out.”

    The Democratic shift may not make producing a final bill much easier. The party must still reconcile the views of moderate and conservative Democrats worried about the cost and scope of the legislation with those of more progressive lawmakers determined to win a government-run insurance option to compete with private insurers.

    On the other hand, such a change could alter the dynamic of talks surrounding health care legislation, and even change the substance of a final bill. With no need to negotiate with Republicans, Democrats might be better able to focus their energy to move more quickly, relying on their large majorities in both houses.

    And, just wait until the taxes hit to pay for Obamacare. And, it is reported that illegal aliens are receiving better care than citizens.

    The midterm Congressional elections will be a wipe out for the Democrats, particularly in the House. When Obama then starts vetoing bills to reverse Obamacare, he will be the next electoral target.

    The Republicans are dancing on The Hill.


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  • Democrats,  GOP,  Obamacare

    Obamacare: Democrat Infighting Intensifies

    ramrieztoon072809

    Political Cartoon by Michael Ramirez

    Well, the Democrats in Congress were all GIDDY when Al Franken became the 60th vote in the United States Senate.

    Now, what is the problem?

    A House fight among Democrats on overhauling the nation’s healthcare system has spread to the Senate, where centrists and liberals are clashing over the direction the legislation should take.

    Trouble is brewing now that a bipartisan group of senators — led by Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) — has signaled it will exclude a government-run insurance option from the committee’s draft legislation that could be marked up next week.

    Leaving it out would be a major step toward attracting Republican support for President Barack Obama’s signature issue. But it also would alienate liberals, who say the effort is wasted without it and are preparing a barrage of amendments for the Finance markup.

    The House legislation has divided Democrats in that chamber along similar lines and is built around a public option to be paid for by raising taxes on the wealthy, an idea that has almost no chance of winning GOP votes. The Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) Committee this month voted along partisan lines to approve legislation with a public option at its core.

    Infighting among House Democrats has led to an impasse at the Energy and Commerce Committee that is expected to prevent House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) from meeting her deadline of completing work before the August recess.

    And on Tuesday it prompted Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) to hint that more liberal members of the party should consider challenging centrist Blue Dogs in next year’s primaries.

    Well. some Democrats know that they will have to run on Obamacare in 2010 with NO political cover and that will be – RISKY.

    Remember self-preservation on being re-elected TRUMPS party loyalty every time.


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  • Barack Obama,  Democrats,  GOP,  Polling

    Poll Watch: Voters Trust Republicans More Than Democrats on Economic and National Security Issues

    The latest Rasmussen poll drops this bombshell on President Obama and Congressional Democrats.

    Voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on six out of 10 key issues, including the top issue of the economy.

    This is the first time in over two years of polling that the GOP has held the advantage on this issue. The parties were close in May, with the Democrats holding a modest 44% to 43% edge. The latest survey was taken just after General Motors announced it was going into bankruptcy as part of a deal brokered by the Obama administration that gives the government majority ownership of the failing automaker.

    Voters not affiliated with either party now trust the GOP more to handle economic issues by a two-to-one margin.

    Here are the results:

    GOP-vs-Dems-on-issues

    Now, we know why President Obama is ramping up his economic stimulus tour today.

    He can read pollls too or at least Rahm can.


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  • Democrats,  GOP,  Independent voters,  Polling

    Republican Pary Identification Lowest in 30 Years But No Movement Away From Conservatism

    gop-party-identification

    Check out the Pew Research Center interactive graph

    An interesting study that heralds the rise of the independent voter in the era of Barack Obama.

    The proportion of independents now equals its highest level in 70 years. Owing to defections from the Republican Party, independents are more conservative on several key issues than in the past. While they like and approve of Barack Obama, as a group independents are more skittish than they were two years ago about expanding the social safety net and are reluctant backers of greater government involvement in the private sector. Yet at the same time, they continue to more closely parallel the views of Democrats rather than Republicans on the most divisive core beliefs on social values, religion and national security.

    While the Democrats gained a sizable advantage in partisan affiliation during George Bush’s presidency, their numbers slipped between December 2008 and April 2009, from 39% to 33%. Republican losses have been a little more modest, from 26% to 22%, but this represents the lowest level of professed affiliation with the GOP in at least a quarter century. Moreover, on nearly every dimension the Republican Party is at a low ebb – from image, to morale, to demographic vitality.

    By contrast, the percentage of self-described political independents has steadily climbed, on a monthly basis, from 30% last December to 39% in April. Taking an average of surveys conducted this year, 36% say they are independents, 35% are Democrats, while 23% are Republicans. On an annual basis, the only previous year when independent identification has been this high was in 1992 when Ross Perot ran a popular independent candidacy.

    As has been the case in recent years, more independents “lean” Democratic than Republican (17% vs. 12%). Yet an increasing share of independents describe their views as conservative; in surveys conducted this year, 33% of independents say they are conservatives, up from 28% in 2007 and 26% in 2005. Again, this ideological change is at least in part a consequence of former Republicans moving into the ranks of independents.
    The latest values survey, conducted March 31-April 21 among 3,013 adults reached on landlines and cell phones, finds that there has been no consistent movement away from conservatism, nor a shift toward liberalism – despite the decline in Republican identification. In fact, fewer Americans say the government has a fundamental responsibility to provide a safety net than did so two years ago, and the share supporting increased help for the needy, even if the debt increases, has declined.

    How does this trend affect the future of the two party system? Will independent voters gradually assimilate back into the two majoer parties or will there arise a new third party?

    Will independent candidates first start at the state level and contest districts that normally are dominated by either the Democrats or GOP?

    Stay tuned……..


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  • Democrats,  GOP,  John Murtha,  National Republican Congressional Commitee

    House Democrats Vote for The Airport for No One

    Murtha-airport

    From the National Republican Congressional Committee – Book Your Flight Today

    Here it comes!

    While Californians are struggling with high unemployment and home foreclosures, the House Democrats have voted to spend government tax money to build an airport in Pennsylvania that an average 20 people use a day.

    It is an airport for no one.

    Except Congressman John Murtha.

    Eight House Democrats voted for this boondoggle and will be targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee today in radio ads to be aired in their districts.

    The lawmakers are Larry Kissell of North Carolina, Harry Teague of New Mexico, Kurt Schrader of Oregon, Michael Arcuri of New York, Carol Shea Porter of New Hampshire, Vic Snyder of Arkansas, Mark Schauer of Michigan, and Stephanie Herseth of South Dakota

    The version running against Kurt Schrader can be heard here. The core of the message is:

    “Kurt Schrader voted for Nancy Pelosi’s wasteful $787 billion spending plan. Schrader’s been voting with Pelosi 97 percent of the time. It’s unbridled power, with no accountability. ABC News says $800,000 went to repave for a runway at a Pennsylvania airport that only has three flights a day. It’s the airport for no one. The airport averages just 20 passengers a day — but one of those customers happens to be a powerful Democratic Congressman, John Murtha. Coincidence? You decide.”

    The stories of wasteful government spending are only beginning to surface. The earmarks, the special deals, the favoritism all in the name of economic stimulus.

    What a waste……


  • Democrats,  GOP,  Polling

    Poll Watch: The Rise of the Independent Voter

    There has been much discussion as of late as to the declining Republican Party and its demise as a “regional” party. Of course, this is bull and Flap has shown you why.

    Now, Mark Blumenthal over at Pollster has his latest Party ID Chart.

    • Democrats – 36.7%
    • Independents – 33.5%
    • Republicans – 26.4%

    And, here are the most recent trends:

    2009-05-01_PewParty

    The most striking feature of the above charts?

    The most striking feature of the chart is not the drop in Republicans, but rather the increase in independent identification. The decline in Republican ID is a nearly parallel decline for the Democrats. That trend is not surprising, as partisan identification often increases slightly during the last few months of an election year and fade afterward. However, note that the Pew Research report labels the magnitude of increase among independents as “noteworthy” as it appears much greater than what they observed in 2005.

    Why more independent voters?

    Well, for one, why register with a party when in some states you can vote in whichever primary election you wish.

    Or, perhaps American voters are tired of labels.

    In any case, the majority of elections will be won be appealing to the independents, on an election by election basis as their numbers increase. Judging success of a political party by its either increasing or decreasing registration numbers may not be that important any longer, especially since both major parties are shrinking.


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