• Dick Armey,  Mitch Daniels,  President 2012,  Tea Party

    President 2012 Video: Tea Party’s Dick Armey – Mitch Daniels Would Be Perfect Pick for Us

    Watch around 6:30 for former Rep. Dick Armey’s comments on Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels

    Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels with his expressed intent today to sign legislation cutting Indiana Planned Parenthood funding has risen to the top of Presidential candidate discussion.

    Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) would be the “perfect pick” for the Republican presidential nominee in 2012, said Tea Party figurehead and former House Majority Leader Dick Armey (R-Texas).

    Armey, in a video posted Friday to the website of the conservative magazine Newsmax, effused praise for Daniels and expressed a preference for one of the other former governors expected to join the race as a possible alternative.

    “I think Mitch Daniels would be the perfect pick for us; he’s exactly the man with the proven record that we’re looking for,” Armey said. “He has no need for sensation, but he knows how to get focused on the work and get it done.”

    If not Daniels, Armey said, one of the other governors should get the nod.

    The GOP establishment likes Mitch Daniels as the anti-Romney as does the Bush organization. Daniels should decide in the next day or so and then Mike Huckabee will make his intentions known.

    The race for 2012 will be heating up this next week or so.

  • Mitch Daniels,  Planned Parenthood,  President 2012

    President 2012: Mitch Daniels Will Sign Indiana Legislation Cutting Planned Parenthood Funding

    Not really a surprise.

    Gov. Mitch Daniels says he will sign into law a tough anti-abortion measure that would block government dollars from going to Planned Parenthood.

    The move means Medicaid recipients who use the agency’s clinics – including the 400 per year who use the one in Evansville – will be separated from their doctors.

    But Daniels said in a statement that reproductive health care will still be readily available in the areas those clinics serve.

    “I have ordered the Family and Social Services Administration to see that Medicaid recipients receive prompt notice of nearby care options. We will take any actions necessary to ensure that vital medical care is, if anything, more widely available than before,” he said.

    The governor’s office said the bill will block government dollars from going to all 28 of Planned Parenthood’s clinics in Indiana, as well as six clinics operated by other agencies.

    Those dollars – about $3 million per year for Planned Parenthood of Indiana – do not directly cover abortions. But proponents of the measure said no taxpayer dollars should go to agencies that offer the procedure.

    “Any organization affected by this provision can resume receiving taxpayer dollars immediately by ceasing or separating its operations that perform abortions,” Daniels said.

    The governor’s decision comes on the last day of this year’s legislative session. He has said that after the session, he will decide whether to enter the Republican presidential primary.

    Next, Planned Parenthood will go to federal court and fight the defunding and Mitch Daniels may or may not announce he will be a candidate for the Presidency.

    Stay tuned…..

  • Mitch Daniels,  President 2012

    President 2012: Mitch Daniels Will NOT Announce This Weekend

    Gov Mitch Daniels speaks at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington, February 11, 2011. Daniels is nearing a self-imposed deadline for declaring whether he will run for president as the Indiana Legislature wraps up a session that has given him big victories fiscal conservatives are likely to favor.

    No decision yet for Mitch Daniels.

    Indiana governor Mitch Daniels said Thursday that supporters will have to wait through the weekend for his decision regarding the 2012 Republican presidential campaign.

    The Indiana Republican says he will wait until next month to announce his decision.

    Mr. Daniels told The Indianapolis Star that “it absolutely won’t be (announced this weekend) because you can’t announce a decision you haven’t made.”

    The Indiana governor said he remains focused on the current legislative session, where he may face a decision concerning a controversial abortion measure that is making its way through the legislature.

    Mr. Daniels acknowledged concerns over the timeline, noting that he “feels some responsibility not to just keep [supporters] dangling.”

    The abortion legislation will tip the scales, if Daniels vetoes the bill. But, I doubt he will and I bet he runs.

    Stay tuned…..

  • Abortion,  Mitch Daniels,  President 2012

    President 2012: Abortion Bill Key to Mitch Daniels Run for Presidency?

    Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, left, and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice watch the first half of a women’s NCAA Final Four semifinal college basketball game between Texas A&M and Stanford in Indianapolis, Sunday, April 3, 2011

    Apparently so.

    The Indiana House of Representatives voted 66-32 on Wednesday to approve a controversial bill tightening the state’s abortion restrictions and cutting off funding to Planned Parenthood, which now awaits the signature of Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), a potential presidential candidate who has yet to comment publicly on the politically sensitive legislation.

    Daniels has seven days to take action on the bill, and has three options once it arrives on his desk: 1) Sign the bill into law; 2) Veto the bill; 3) Do nothing, and allow the bill to become law after seven days without taking a stance.

    Daniels’ decision on signing the bill will likely provide the clearest indication yet of which way he’s leaning on a presidential bid. If he signs it, Daniels can proudly tout two blockbuster legislative achievements — the abortion bill, along with his recently passed landmark education reform bill — and enter the Republican primary with two significant ideological victories under his belt, providing him an incredible running start in the slow-developing contest.

    If he vetoes the bill, Daniels effectively confirms the suspicions of social conservatives who cringe at the idea of compromising on sensitive issues like abortion — and in doing so, provides the strongest indication yet that he’s putting state governance over presidential politics.

    The legislation would introduce some of the nation’s strictest anti-abortion laws to the Hoosier State, including a provision that outlaws abortions performed after the fetus reaches 20 weeks — four weeks earlier than under current state law. Indiana would join Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma as the only states that outlaw abortions after 20 weeks.

    A potential sticking point for Daniels, however, is the recent inclusion of a provision that cuts off funding for Planned Parenthood, the non-profit agency that provides reproductive health services to millions of women, including many of the state’s Medicaid patients. Roughly half of Indiana births are covered by Medicaid, and Planned Parenthood’s 28 state offices performed more than 5,500 abortions last year alone. Here’s where it gets tricky for Daniels: due to federal statutes that prohibit states from selectively allocating funds to agencies that serve Medicaid recipients, the measure could cost Indiana millions of federal Medicaid dollars if it becomes law.

    Yet despite internal Republican concerns over the Planned Parenthood provision, which was tacked on by the state Senate and approved by the bill’s author, state Rep. Eric Turner (R), the bill passed on Wednesday with only slightly less support than last month, when the original version was approved by a 72-23 vote. The fight is far from over, however, as Planned Parenthood has indicated that it will seek an immediate injunction if and when the bill becomes law.

    The bill provides a unique opportunity for Daniels, who will announce his presidential decision after the legislative session ends on Friday, to prove his social bona fides in the eyes of conservative voters who have viewed him with suspicion since he famously called for a “truce” on social issues in order to address the country’s fiscal crisis.

    My bet is that Daniels signs the bill AND runs for the Presidency.

    Of course, if Daniels vetoes the bill, his Presidential days are over and as a political director for Ronald Reagan’s White House, he knows the political calculus in Iowa and South Carolina.

    But, Mitch has been pro-life throughout his career, so he could sign the legislation and then not run for the White House anyway.

    Stay tuned as a lot is happening in the GOP Presidential field in the next week.

  • Chris Christie,  Donald Trump,  Mike Huckabee,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin,  Tim Pawlenty

    President 2012 Poll Watch: 65% will Not Vote for Sarah Palin, 64% Will Not Vote for Donald Trump

    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    More than 6 in 10 registered voters nationwide say they would definitely not vote for Donald Trump or Sarah Palin for president in 2012, significantly more than say the same about possible Republican candidates Mitt Romney or Mike Huckabee, or about President Barack Obama.

    This is not really surprising but I doubt it means much. I doubt Sarah Palin or Donald Trump will be candidates for the GOP nomination for President.

    What is most interesting to me is that 46% of Americans polled say they will NOT vote for President Obama which is about the same for Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney.

    While the Donald Trump show has been amuzing the past few weeks, it has served as an outlet for Americans who have decided that they do not wish to re-elect President Obama. There are sufficient Republican canddates in Huckabee and Romney who can make a credible run against the President. I, also believe, there will be other candidates who will emerge within the next 30-60 days who have accomplished records that can also be viewed as viable candidates, including Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniels, Chris Christie and Paul Ryan.

    Trump’s attention-grabbing, high-visibility statements and his ability to generate large amounts of news coverage cut two ways. On the one hand, Trump has undeniably dominated news coverage of the Republican race in the last several weeks, vaulting him into the middle of political and election news discussion and coverage. On the other hand, Trump’s ability to generate publicity apparently has its costs, as his image has turned more negative and as more than 6 in 10 voters across the country already say they would definitely not vote for him.

    Trump also faces apparent obstacles in his efforts to gain the Republican nomination, should he decide to run. Almost half of Republican registered voters at this point say they would definitely not vote for him, the highest of any of the four possible GOP candidates measured in this survey.

  • Barack Obama,  Donald Trump,  Mike Huckabee,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 Video: The First Lap of the Presidential Race

    Pundit Dick Morris offers his analysis of the Presidential race such as it is today

    I agree with Dick and disagree as well.

    Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels should he decide to run (watch his D.C. speech next week, May 4th at the American Enterprise Institute), will give Mitt Romney fits in the right of center and moderate wing of the GOP. Most of the big GOP donors will pull any of their money away from a late-starting race of Mike Huckabee.

    The race will be between Daniels, Huckabee and Romney.

    If Daniels runs Donald Trump will not be a factor in the race. If he does not, look for Huckabee to jump in with the Tea Party and battle Trump and Romney.

    Everyone else at this point, including Sarah Palin, is noise.

    With regards to President Obama, the economy has not dramatically improved and unless gasoline prices drop precipitously, he is looking like a failed, one term President.

  • Haley Barbour,  Mitch Daniels,  President 2012

    President 2012: Haley Barbour is OUT – Is Mitch Daniels IN?

    Governor Haley and Marsha Barbour – Governor Mitch and Cheri Daniels

    Republican Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour has withdrawn from an exploratory campaign for the Presidency. His statement is here.

    “I will not be a candidate for president next year. This has been a difficult, personal decision, and I am very grateful to my family for their total support of my going forward, had that been what I decided.

    “Hundreds of people have encouraged me to run and offered both to give and raise money for a presidential campaign.  Many volunteers have organized events in support of my pursuing the race.  Some have dedicated virtually full time to setting up preliminary organizations in critical, early states and to helping plan what has been several months of intensive activity.

    “I greatly appreciate each and every one of them and all their outstanding efforts.  If I have disappointed any of them in this decision, I sincerely regret it.

    “A candidate for president today is embracing a ten-year commitment to an all-consuming effort, to the virtual exclusion of all else.  His (or her) supporters expect and deserve no less than absolute fire in the belly from their candidate.  I cannot offer that with certainty, and total certainty is required.

    “This decision means I will continue my job as Governor of Mississippi, my role in the Republican Governors Association and my efforts to elect a new Republican president in 2012, as the stakes for the nation require that effort to be successful.”

    Haley Barbour has not been polling particularly well and as a Republican operative of the highest order can read the handwriting on the wall. But, now does this open the path for Barbour’s good personal friend Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels to run?

    Daniels has kept his decision close to the vest and will not announce one way or another until the Indiana Legislative session is over. The session ends this Friday. And, as Daniels has said, “It’s time to cut bait.”

    So, is this a convenient withdrawal?

    Stay tuned…..

  • Donald Trump,  Mike Huckabee,  Mitch Daniels,  Mitt Romney,  Newt Gingrich,  Polling,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Huckabee 16% Trump 16% Romney 13% Palin 10%



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    Donald Trump debuts in a first-place tie in Gallup’s latest update of Republicans’ preferences for the party’s 2012 presidential nomination among potential contenders. Trump ties Mike Huckabee at 16%, with Mitt Romney close behind at 13%. Sarah Palin is the only other potential Republican candidate to earn double-digit support.

    Again, another national poll that does not reflect the reality of early state GOP caucuses and primary elections.

    But, the fact that Donald Trump is polling better than Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty cannot give each of these declared candidates much pleasure.

    With Ed Rollins, Mike Huckabee’s former 2008 Presidential campaign manager leaking that he thought Huck would make the run, folks looking at these polls will have to consider his numerous first place finishes as being significant. If and when Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin drop out of potential candidacies then the heads up battle between Huckabee and Romney will be the race – unless Mitch Daniels enters the race as the Fred Thompson of 2012.

    So, what does this all mean?

    Trump’s strong showing in Republican nomination preferences is partly a function of his high profile. Currently, the top vote-getters are generally the best-known Republicans. Lesser-known potential candidates such as Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniels, and Rick Santorum have more limited support on the nomination ballot at this point.

    That is a typical pattern in early nomination preference polls. Once campaigning gets underway in earnest later this year, and after the initial primaries and caucuses next year, some of the currently lesser-known candidates may emerge as stronger candidates, and some of the better-known candidates may fade.

    In fact, the leaders in early nomination polls for the last two presidential election cycles — Joe Lieberman in 2003 and Hillary Clinton in 2007 on the Democratic side and Rudy Giuliani in 2007 on the Republican side — did not eventually win their party’s nomination, with Lieberman and Giuliani having poor showings in the early primaries.

    Giuliani’s performance aside, the early leader in GOP primaries has usually gone on to win the nomination. The lack of a clear front-runner in this year’s field is a distinct departure from prior Republican contests. That situation could still change in the current campaign, since Romney is the only one of the four leading contenders who has taken any formal steps toward running for president.

  • Barack Obama,  Jeb Bush,  Mitch Daniels

    President 2012 Florida Poll Watch Angst: Jeb Bush 57% Vs. Barack Obama 38%

    President Obama shakes hands with former Florida Governor Jeb Bush

    According to the latest Viewpoint Florida Poll.

    If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush would defeat President Barack Obama in the Sunshine State by nearly 20 points.

    Governor Bush’s 57%-38% lead over Obama can be attributed to several interesting figures found in the crosstabs of our statewide survey of likely voters in Florida. For example, Bush enjoys a 66%-31% lead over President Obama among male voters, but only leads Obama 50%-44% among women.

    Governor Bush leads President Obama among all age groups except voters aged 18-34, where Obama hangs on to a slim 48%-45% lead. Bush holds a 56%-40% lead with voters over 65, and crushes Obama 66%-32% with voters between 35 and 49 years old.

    26% of Democrats stated they would vote for the younger brother of former President George W. Bush over Barack Obama if the Presidential election were held today. Bush has almost unanimous support from his base with 89% of Republicans supporting him, while Obama gets just 71% support from members of his own party. Governor Bush also leads President Obama 46%-40% among independent voters.

    Finally, our regional crosstabs show Governor Bush dominating the President in Jacksonville and Florida’s Panhandle. 71% of respondents in that region preferred Governor Bush, to just 27% who said they would pull the lever for President Obama. Bush earns 60% support in Orlando and the Space Coast, beating Obama in that swing region by 27 points. Bush even bests Obama in South Florida, where he holds a narrow 48%-46% lead.

    Except Jeb is not running…..

    But, can Bush help a candidate, perhaps like Mitch Daniels?